Notts County

Notts County

VS Scheduled Saturday 21 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 16

Stevenage

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Reading2–0Notts County
2026-09-13	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-12	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-05	26/27	Huddersfield1–1Notts County
2026-09-01	26/27	Doncaster1–1Notts County
2026-08-29	26/27	Notts County2–1Burton
2026-08-22	26/27	Luton2–2Notts County
2026-08-15	26/27	Notts County1–1Leicester

Stevenage

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Leyton Orient1–0Stevenage
2026-09-10	26/27	Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05	26/27	Barnsley1–5Stevenage
2026-09-01	26/27	Peterboro0–0Stevenage
2026-08-29	26/27	Stevenage2–2Doncaster
2026-08-22	26/27	Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15	26/27	Burton1–1Stevenage
2026-05-02	25/26	Stevenage1–0Wigan

Notts County Stevenage

Wins

12%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Notts County

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
21	Notts County	0–1	Bradford	1	52′ Away
21	Notts County	0–1	Bradford	1	—
21	Notts County		Plymouth	2
21	Notts County		Cambridge	3
21	Notts County		Sheffield Weds	4
21	Notts County		AFC Wimbledon	5
21	Notts County		Oxford	6
21	Notts County		Stockport	7
21	Notts County		Huddersfield	8
21	Notts County		Wycombe	9
21	Notts County	1–1	Leicester	10	62′ Away
21	Notts County	2–1	Burton	11	22′ Away
21	Notts County		Reading	12
21	Notts County		Leyton Orient	13
21	Notts County		Stevenage	14
21	Notts County		Blackpool	15
21	Notts County		Mansfield	16
21	Notts County		Bromley	17
21	Notts County		Luton	18
21	Notts County		Barnsley	19
21	Notts County		Milton Keynes Dons	20
21 · Notts County
21	Notts County		Doncaster	22
21	Notts County		Peterboro	23
21	Notts County		Wigan	24

Stevenage

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Stevenage	14
2	Plymouth		Stevenage	14
3	Cambridge		Stevenage	14
4	Sheffield Weds		Stevenage	14
5	AFC Wimbledon		Stevenage	14
6	Oxford		Stevenage	14
7	Stockport		Stevenage	14
8	Huddersfield		Stevenage	14
9	Wycombe		Stevenage	14
10	Leicester		Stevenage	14
11	Burton	1–1	Stevenage	14	74′ Home
12	Reading		Stevenage	14
13	Leyton Orient	1–0	Stevenage	14	79′ Home
14 · Stevenage
15	Blackpool		Stevenage	14
16	Mansfield		Stevenage	14
17	Bromley		Stevenage	14
18	Luton		Stevenage	14
19	Barnsley	1–5	Stevenage	14	17′ Home
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Stevenage	14
21	Notts County		Stevenage	14
22	Doncaster		Stevenage	14
23	Peterboro	0–0	Stevenage	14	–
24	Wigan		Stevenage	14

Notts County Home Stevenage Away

Wins

25%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Notts County

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.75	0.88
Draws	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.88
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	1.75	2.50	2.12
Failed to score	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	75.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Stevenage

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.25	1.29
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.50	1.57
Goals conceded / match	1.67	0.75	1.14
Total goals / match	3.33	2.25	2.71
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Notts County	Draw	Stevenage	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.8%	25.2%	38.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.6%	30.3%	51.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.58–1.23 Model expected goals

27.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

31.1% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 20.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-120.1%

0-016.4%

0-212.4%

1-111.7%

1-09.5%

1-27.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Notts County	Stevenage	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1479	1526	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-20	12	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1518	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	52.4%	49.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	55.6%	54.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	975	1018	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	35.0%	32.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	62.5%	69.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Notts County	0.29	0.71	0.57	0.71
Stevenage	0.45	0.70	0.25	0.70

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Notts County	0%	25%	50%	12%	12%
Stevenage	15%	32%	10%	20%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Notts County at home, 4 matches

1.30 Stevenage away, 10 matches

63d Days of rest for Notts County

63d Days of rest for Stevenage

— Manager of Notts County

— Manager of Stevenage

0 Matches for Notts County in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Stevenage in the last 14 days

11 Points for Notts County behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Stevenage behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Notts County, the right bar represents Stevenage.

On the ball

20 matches

13.0

shots

10.0

4.0

shots on target

3.68

30.8%

accuracy

36.8%

4.43

corners

3.85

12.29

fouls

12.4

2.29

yellow cards

1.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Notts County	LLLDDWDD	0.88	0.88–1.25	3L
Stevenage	LWWDDLDWDW	1.60	1.40–0.90	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Notts County	0	5	2	1	0
Stevenage	6	13	1	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Notts County

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Stevenage

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.