Bromley

Bromley

VS Scheduled Saturday 28 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 17

Burton

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Bromley2–1Huddersfield
2026-09-13	26/27	Blackpool2–2Bromley
2026-09-12	26/27	Blackpool2–2Bromley
2026-09-07	26/27	Bromley0–2AFC Wimbledon
2026-09-01	26/27	Bromley0–5Leyton Orient
2026-08-29	26/27	Sheffield Weds7–2Bromley
2026-08-22	26/27	Bromley1–1Cambridge
2026-08-15	26/27	Barnsley0–1Bromley

Burton

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Plymouth0–1Burton
2026-09-19	26/27	Burton2–2Mansfield
2026-09-13	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05	26/27	Burton2–2Cambridge
2026-09-02	26/27	Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon
2026-08-29	26/27	Notts County2–1Burton
2026-08-22	26/27	Leicester1–2Burton

Bromley Burton

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Bromley

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Bromley		Bradford	1
17	Bromley		Plymouth	2
17	Bromley	1–1	Cambridge	3	67′ Away
17	Bromley		Sheffield Weds	4
17	Bromley	0–2	AFC Wimbledon	5	8′ Away
17	Bromley		Oxford	6
17	Bromley		Stockport	7
17	Bromley	2–1	Huddersfield	8	9′ Home
17	Bromley		Wycombe	9
17	Bromley		Leicester	10
17	Bromley		Burton	11
17	Bromley		Reading	12
17	Bromley	0–5	Leyton Orient	13	36′ Away
17	Bromley		Stevenage	14
17	Bromley		Blackpool	15
17	Bromley		Mansfield	16
17 · Bromley
17	Bromley		Luton	18
17	Bromley		Barnsley	19
17	Bromley		Milton Keynes Dons	20
17	Bromley		Notts County	21
17	Bromley		Doncaster	22
17	Bromley		Peterboro	23
17	Bromley		Wigan	24

Burton

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Burton	11
2	Plymouth	0–1	Burton	11	70′ Away
3	Cambridge		Burton	11
4	Sheffield Weds		Burton	11
5	AFC Wimbledon		Burton	11
6	Oxford	3–0	Burton	11	76′ Home
6	Oxford	3–0	Burton	11	—
7	Stockport		Burton	11
8	Huddersfield		Burton	11
9	Wycombe		Burton	11
10	Leicester	1–2	Burton	11	5′ Away
11 · Burton
12	Reading		Burton	11
13	Leyton Orient		Burton	11
14	Stevenage		Burton	11
15	Blackpool		Burton	11
16	Mansfield		Burton	11
17	Bromley		Burton	11
18	Luton		Burton	11
19	Barnsley		Burton	11
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Burton	11
21	Notts County	2–1	Burton	11	22′ Away
22	Doncaster		Burton	11
23	Peterboro		Burton	11
24	Wigan		Burton	11

Bromley Home Burton Away

Wins

25%

40%

Over 1.5

100%

80%

Over 2.5

50%

80%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

40%

Clean sheets

0%

20%

Scores first

25%

60%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bromley

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.25	1.12
Draws	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.75	1.25
Goals conceded / match	2.25	2.75	2.50
Total goals / match	3.00	4.50	3.75
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	2
61–75	1	3
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Burton

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.20	1.33
Draws	75.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.25	0.80	1.44
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.80	1.67
Total goals / match	3.75	2.60	3.11
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bromley	Draw	Burton	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.4%	25.1%	34.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	13.7%	16.7%	64.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.08–2.56 Model expected goals

65.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.7% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.3%

0-28.6%

1-37.9%

0-37.4%

1-17.2%

0-16.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bromley	Burton	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1466	1480	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	14	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1489	1493	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	32.8%	49.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	21.4%	51.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	992	1053	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.3%	36.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.9%	69.1%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bromley	0.29	0.86	1.14	1.43
Burton	0.68	0.58	0.42	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bromley	0%	12%	25%	12%	50%
Burton	5%	18%	22%	30%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Bromley at home, 4 matches

1.20 Burton away, 10 matches

70d Days of rest for Bromley

63d Days of rest for Burton

— Manager of Bromley

— Manager of Burton

0 Matches for Bromley in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Burton in the last 14 days

9 Points for Bromley behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Burton behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bromley, the right bar represents Burton.

On the ball

20 matches

8.8

shots

10.62

2.4

shots on target

3.62

27.3%

accuracy

34.1%

3.14

corners

4.32

15.14

fouls

11.21

1.83

yellow cards

1.47

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bromley	WDDLLLDW	1.12	1.25–2.50	1W
Burton	WDLLDWLWDD	1.30	1.50–1.70	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bromley	0	3	4	0	0
Burton	7	10	2	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bromley

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Burton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.