Luton

Luton

VS Scheduled Saturday 28 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 17

Oxford

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

LutonWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
OxfordWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.50
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2019-05-04	18/19	Luton3–1Oxford
2018-10-02	18/19	Oxford1–2Luton

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Luton0–1Bradford
2026-09-10	26/27	Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05	26/27	Luton1–1Leyton Orient
2026-09-02	26/27	Luton2–0Stockport
2026-08-30	26/27	Mansfield5–2Luton
2026-08-22	26/27	Luton2–2Notts County
2026-08-15	26/27	Reading3–4Luton
2026-05-02	25/26	Bolton2–3Luton

Oxford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Oxford1–1Cambridge
2026-09-13	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05	26/27	Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01	26/27	Huddersfield3–1Oxford
2026-08-22	26/27	Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15	26/27	Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
2024-04-27	23/24	Exeter1–2Oxford

Luton Oxford

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Luton

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Luton	0–1	Bradford	1	4′ Away
18	Luton		Plymouth	2
18	Luton		Cambridge	3
18	Luton		Sheffield Weds	4
18	Luton		AFC Wimbledon	5
18	Luton		Oxford	6
18	Luton	2–0	Stockport	7	50′ Home
18	Luton		Huddersfield	8
18	Luton		Wycombe	9
18	Luton		Leicester	10
18	Luton		Burton	11
18	Luton		Reading	12
18	Luton	1–1	Leyton Orient	13	25′ Home
18	Luton		Stevenage	14
18	Luton		Blackpool	15
18	Luton		Mansfield	16
18	Luton		Bromley	17
18 · Luton
18	Luton		Barnsley	19
18	Luton		Milton Keynes Dons	20
18	Luton	2–2	Notts County	21	42′ Home
18	Luton		Doncaster	22
18	Luton		Peterboro	23
18	Luton		Wigan	24

Oxford

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Oxford	6
2	Plymouth		Oxford	6
3	Cambridge		Oxford	6
4	Sheffield Weds		Oxford	6
5	AFC Wimbledon		Oxford	6
6 · Oxford
7	Stockport		Oxford	6
8	Huddersfield	3–1	Oxford	6	56′ Home
9	Wycombe		Oxford	6
10	Leicester	0–4	Oxford	6	8′ Away
11	Burton		Oxford	6
12	Reading		Oxford	6
13	Leyton Orient		Oxford	6
14	Stevenage	1–2	Oxford	6	67′ Away
15	Blackpool		Oxford	6
16	Mansfield		Oxford	6
17	Bromley		Oxford	6
18	Luton		Oxford	6
19	Barnsley		Oxford	6
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Oxford	6
21	Notts County		Oxford	6
22	Doncaster		Oxford	6
23	Peterboro		Oxford	6
24	Wigan		Oxford	6

Luton Home Oxford Away

Wins

25%

67%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

100%

Over 3.5

25%

67%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

25%

33%

Scores first

75%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Luton

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.00	1.14
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.25	2.33	1.71
Goals conceded / match	1.00	3.33	2.00
Total goals / match	2.25	5.67	3.71
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	0.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 3	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Oxford

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.25	2.33	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.33	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.67	3.29
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Luton	Draw	Oxford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	38.8%	25.2%	36.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.2%	17.8%	56.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.50–2.63 Model expected goals

72.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

67.8% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.3%

1-37.3%

1-16.3%

2-26.3%

0-25.5%

2-35.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Luton	Oxford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1537	1565	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-11	-7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1493	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	54.8%	55.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.5%	59.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1050	1018	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.8%	36.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.3%	65.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Luton	1.00	0.90	0.95	0.55
Oxford	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Luton	2%	15%	22%	28%	32%
Oxford	5%	5%	22%	30%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Luton at home, 10 matches

1.78 Oxford away, 9 matches

70d Days of rest for Luton

70d Days of rest for Oxford

— Manager of Luton

— Manager of Oxford

0 Matches for Luton in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Oxford in the last 14 days

10 Points for Luton behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Oxford behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Luton, the right bar represents Oxford.

On the ball

20 matches

15.05

shots

15.41

4.79

shots on target

5.53

31.8%

accuracy

35.9%

6.45

corners

4.89

11.2

fouls

10.68

2.05

yellow cards

1.44

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Luton	LLDWLDWWWW	1.70	1.90–1.70	2L
Oxford	DWWWLWDWDL	1.80	1.90–1.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Luton	7	7	6	2	2
Oxford	9	7	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Luton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Oxford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Leicester failed to produce bare minimum in Oxford thrashing - Souttar BBC Sport 09-07