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Cambridge
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 18
Leicester
Recent matches

Cambridge

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League One 26/27 Cambridge1–1AFC Wimbledon
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Oxford1–1Cambridge
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Cambridge2–1Reading
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Cambridge2–1Reading
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Burton2–2Cambridge
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Bradford1–2Cambridge
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Cambridge1–2Huddersfield
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Bromley1–1Cambridge

Leicester

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Barnsley1–1Leicester
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Stockport3–4Leicester
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Stockport3–4Leicester
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Leicester2–0Plymouth
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons0–0Leicester
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Leicester1–2Burton
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Notts County1–1Leicester
Cambridge Leicester

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

100%
62%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cambridge

Home · League One

Leicester

Away · League One
Cambridge Home Leicester Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cambridge

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.001.501.78
Draws20.0%75.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.801.501.67
Goals conceded / match1.401.251.33
Total goals / match3.202.753.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Leicester

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway5 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.001.801.50
Draws0.0%60.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.002.001.62
Goals conceded / match2.001.601.75
Total goals / match3.003.603.38
Failed to score33.3%20.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%60.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCambridgeDraw LeicesterHow it works
Strength (Elo) 39.0% 25.2% 35.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 32.0% 22.3% 43.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.56–1.87 Model expected goals
64.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
65.5% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 9.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-19.4%
1-28.8%
2-17.4%
2-26.9%
0-16.0%
0-25.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCambridgeLeicester How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1487 1513 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 79 12 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1520 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 46.2% 56.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 45.5% 53.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1015 813 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 36.4% 18.2% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.2% 63.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Cambridge 0.420.84 0.470.89
Leicester 0.860.43 0.571.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Cambridge 0%18%28%30%25%
Leicester 12%0%38%12%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Cambridge at home, 11 matches
1.80 Leicester away, 5 matches
66d Days of rest for Cambridge
73d Days of rest for Leicester
— Manager of Cambridge
— Manager of Leicester
0 Matches for Cambridge in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Leicester in the last 14 days
2 Points for Cambridge behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Leicester behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cambridge, the right bar represents Leicester.

On the ball

20 matches
10.19
shots
16.0
3.44
shots on target
4.4
33.7%
accuracy
27.5%
5.37
corners
6.71
10.58
fouls
9.71
1.78
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Cambridge DDWWDWLDWL 1.60 1.60–1.40 2D
Leicester DWWLWDLD 1.50 1.62–1.75 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Cambridge3 115 12
Leicester3 22 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cambridge

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Leicester

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams