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Oxford
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 18
Sheffield Weds

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
OxfordWins
2
Draws50.0% of meetings
2
Sheffield WedsWins
0
Goals per match
2.50
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
75.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2023-04-07 England, League One 22/23 Oxford1–1Sheffield Weds
2022-12-17 England, League One 22/23 Sheffield Weds0–0Oxford
2022-01-22 England, League One 21/22 Oxford3–2Sheffield Weds
2021-10-02 England, League One 21/22 Sheffield Weds1–2Oxford
Recent matches

Oxford

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Oxford1–1Cambridge
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Huddersfield3–1Oxford
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
2024-04-27 England, League One 23/24 Exeter1–2Oxford

Sheffield Weds

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Sheffield Weds0–0Stockport
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Sheffield Weds0–0Wigan
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Sheffield Weds0–0Wigan
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro1–2Sheffield Weds
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe1–2Sheffield Weds
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Sheffield Weds7–2Bromley
2026-08-20 England, League One 26/27 Sheffield Weds0–1Bradford
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Leyton Orient1–2Sheffield Weds
Oxford Sheffield Weds

Wins

62%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

38%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Oxford

Home · League One
HomeAway1st goal
6 Oxford Bradford 1
6 Oxford Plymouth 2
6 Oxford 1–1 Cambridge 3 15′ Home
6 Oxford Sheffield Weds 4
6 Oxford AFC Wimbledon 5
6 · Oxford
6 Oxford Stockport 7
6 Oxford Huddersfield 8
6 Oxford Wycombe 9
6 Oxford Leicester 10
6 Oxford 3–0 Burton 11 76′ Home
6 Oxford 3–0 Burton 11 —
6 Oxford Reading 12
6 Oxford Leyton Orient 13
6 Oxford Stevenage 14
6 Oxford Blackpool 15
6 Oxford Mansfield 16
6 Oxford Bromley 17
6 Oxford Luton 18
6 Oxford Barnsley 19
6 Oxford 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons 20 20′ Home
6 Oxford Notts County 21
6 Oxford Doncaster 22
6 Oxford Peterboro 23
6 Oxford Wigan 24
Oxford Home Sheffield Weds Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Oxford

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.002.002.00
Draws50.0%0.0%28.6%
Goals scored / match2.252.332.29
Goals conceded / match0.751.331.00
Total goals / match3.003.673.29
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%0.0%14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 4 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sheffield Weds

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.203.001.88
Draws60.0%0.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.402.001.62
Goals conceded / match0.601.000.75
Total goals / match2.003.002.38
Failed to score80.0%0.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelOxfordDraw Sheffield WedsHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.2% 25.0% 33.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 34.6% 23.8% 40.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.48–1.62 Model expected goals
58.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
61.2% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.8%
1-28.8%
2-18.0%
0-17.3%
1-06.7%
2-26.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureOxfordSheffield Weds How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1565 1573 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -7 -85 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1502 1484 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 55.0% 61.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 59.5% 59.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1018 1029 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 36.2% 34.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 65.6% 68.2% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Oxford 0.891.11 0.370.84
Sheffield Weds 0.890.84 0.530.58

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Oxford 5%5%22%30%38%
Sheffield Weds 12%28%18%22%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 Oxford at home, 11 matches
1.70 Sheffield Weds away, 10 matches
73d Days of rest for Oxford
73d Days of rest for Sheffield Weds
— Manager of Oxford
— Manager of Sheffield Weds
0 Matches for Oxford in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Sheffield Weds in the last 14 days
4 Points for Oxford behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
3 Points for Sheffield Weds behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Oxford, the right bar represents Sheffield Weds.

On the ball

20 matches
15.41
shots
16.12
5.53
shots on target
5.59
35.9%
accuracy
34.7%
4.89
corners
6.05
10.68
fouls
11.79
1.44
yellow cards
1.79

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Oxford DWWWLWDWDL 1.80 1.90–1.00 1D
Sheffield Weds DDDWWWLWWW 2.10 1.70–0.60 3D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Oxford9 73 02
Sheffield Weds8 83 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Oxford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sheffield Weds

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams