Luton

Luton

VS Scheduled Saturday 12 Dec 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 19

Wigan

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

LutonWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
WiganWins: 1

Goals per match: 1.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-18	25/26	Wigan1–0Luton
2025-08-19	25/26	Luton1–0Wigan

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Luton0–1Bradford
2026-09-10	26/27	Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05	26/27	Luton1–1Leyton Orient
2026-09-02	26/27	Luton2–0Stockport
2026-08-30	26/27	Mansfield5–2Luton
2026-08-22	26/27	Luton2–2Notts County
2026-08-15	26/27	Reading3–4Luton
2026-05-02	25/26	Bolton2–3Luton

Wigan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Wigan0–1Wycombe
2026-09-13	26/27	Sheffield Weds0–0Wigan
2026-09-12	26/27	Sheffield Weds0–0Wigan
2026-09-05	26/27	Wigan0–4Stockport
2026-09-02	26/27	Wigan3–1Milton Keynes Dons
2026-08-30	26/27	AFC Wimbledon1–0Wigan
2026-08-22	26/27	Wigan0–2Leyton Orient
2026-08-15	26/27	Cambridge3–2Wigan

Luton Wigan

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Luton

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Luton	0–1	Bradford	1	4′ Away
18	Luton		Plymouth	2
18	Luton		Cambridge	3
18	Luton		Sheffield Weds	4
18	Luton		AFC Wimbledon	5
18	Luton		Oxford	6
18	Luton	2–0	Stockport	7	50′ Home
18	Luton		Huddersfield	8
18	Luton		Wycombe	9
18	Luton		Leicester	10
18	Luton		Burton	11
18	Luton		Reading	12
18	Luton	1–1	Leyton Orient	13	25′ Home
18	Luton		Stevenage	14
18	Luton		Blackpool	15
18	Luton		Mansfield	16
18	Luton		Bromley	17
18 · Luton
18	Luton		Barnsley	19
18	Luton		Milton Keynes Dons	20
18	Luton	2–2	Notts County	21	42′ Home
18	Luton		Doncaster	22
18	Luton		Peterboro	23
18	Luton		Wigan	24

Wigan

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Wigan	24
2	Plymouth		Wigan	24
3	Cambridge	3–2	Wigan	24	3′ Home
4	Sheffield Weds	0–0	Wigan	24	–
4	Sheffield Weds	0–0	Wigan	24	–
5	AFC Wimbledon	1–0	Wigan	24	88′ Home
6	Oxford		Wigan	24
7	Stockport		Wigan	24
8	Huddersfield		Wigan	24
9	Wycombe		Wigan	24
10	Leicester		Wigan	24
11	Burton		Wigan	24
12	Reading		Wigan	24
13	Leyton Orient		Wigan	24
14	Stevenage		Wigan	24
15	Blackpool		Wigan	24
16	Mansfield		Wigan	24
17	Bromley		Wigan	24
18	Luton		Wigan	24
19	Barnsley		Wigan	24
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Wigan	24
21	Notts County		Wigan	24
22	Doncaster		Wigan	24
23	Peterboro		Wigan	24
24 · Wigan

Luton Home Wigan Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

25%

Over 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

75%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Luton

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.00	1.14
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.25	2.33	1.71
Goals conceded / match	1.00	3.33	2.00
Total goals / match	2.25	5.67	3.71
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	0.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 3	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wigan

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.75	0.50	0.62
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	0.50	0.62
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Total goals / match	2.75	1.50	2.12
Failed to score	75.0%	75.0%	75.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Luton	Draw	Wigan	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.2%	21.0%	24.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	44.8%	25.6%	29.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.50–1.15 Model expected goals

49.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.2%

1-010.5%

2-19.1%

0-18.1%

2-07.9%

1-27.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Luton	Wigan	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1537	1443	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-11	-52	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1493	1487	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	54.8%	50.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.5%	44.1%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1050	1013	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.8%	34.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.3%	66.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Luton	1.00	0.90	0.95	0.55
Wigan	0.42	0.53	0.58	0.63

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Luton	2%	15%	22%	28%	32%
Wigan	12%	25%	28%	18%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Luton at home, 10 matches

0.78 Wigan away, 9 matches

84d Days of rest for Luton

84d Days of rest for Wigan

— Manager of Luton

— Manager of Wigan

0 Matches for Luton in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wigan in the last 14 days

10 Points for Luton behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Wigan behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Luton, the right bar represents Wigan.

On the ball

20 matches

15.05

shots

11.88

4.79

shots on target

3.06

31.8%

accuracy

25.7%

6.45

corners

5.47

11.2

fouls

10.95

2.05

yellow cards

1.89

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Luton	LLDWLDWWWW	1.70	1.90–1.70	2L
Wigan	LDDLWLLLLL	0.50	0.50–1.40	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Luton	7	7	6	2	2
Wigan	6	8	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Luton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wigan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.