Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 20

Notts County

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Leyton Orient1–0Stevenage
2026-09-13	26/27	Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe
2026-09-12	26/27	Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe
2026-09-05	26/27	Luton1–1Leyton Orient
2026-09-01	26/27	Bromley0–5Leyton Orient
2026-08-29	26/27	Leyton Orient1–3Barnsley
2026-08-22	26/27	Wigan0–2Leyton Orient
2026-08-15	26/27	Leyton Orient1–2Sheffield Weds

Notts County

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Reading2–0Notts County
2026-09-13	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-12	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-05	26/27	Huddersfield1–1Notts County
2026-09-01	26/27	Doncaster1–1Notts County
2026-08-29	26/27	Notts County2–1Burton
2026-08-22	26/27	Luton2–2Notts County
2026-08-15	26/27	Notts County1–1Leicester

Leyton Orient Notts County

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Leyton Orient

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Leyton Orient		Bradford	1
13	Leyton Orient		Plymouth	2
13	Leyton Orient		Cambridge	3
13	Leyton Orient	1–2	Sheffield Weds	4	19′ Away
13	Leyton Orient		AFC Wimbledon	5
13	Leyton Orient		Oxford	6
13	Leyton Orient		Stockport	7
13	Leyton Orient		Huddersfield	8
13	Leyton Orient	2–3	Wycombe	9	—
13	Leyton Orient	2–3	Wycombe	9	—
13	Leyton Orient		Leicester	10
13	Leyton Orient		Burton	11
13	Leyton Orient		Reading	12
13 · Leyton Orient
13	Leyton Orient	1–0	Stevenage	14	79′ Home
13	Leyton Orient		Blackpool	15
13	Leyton Orient		Mansfield	16
13	Leyton Orient		Bromley	17
13	Leyton Orient		Luton	18
13	Leyton Orient	1–3	Barnsley	19	15′ Away
13	Leyton Orient		Milton Keynes Dons	20
13	Leyton Orient		Notts County	21
13	Leyton Orient		Doncaster	22
13	Leyton Orient		Peterboro	23
13	Leyton Orient		Wigan	24

Notts County

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Notts County	21
2	Plymouth		Notts County	21
3	Cambridge		Notts County	21
4	Sheffield Weds		Notts County	21
5	AFC Wimbledon		Notts County	21
6	Oxford		Notts County	21
7	Stockport		Notts County	21
8	Huddersfield	1–1	Notts County	21	12′ Home
9	Wycombe		Notts County	21
10	Leicester		Notts County	21
11	Burton		Notts County	21
12	Reading	2–0	Notts County	21	49′ Home
13	Leyton Orient		Notts County	21
14	Stevenage		Notts County	21
15	Blackpool		Notts County	21
16	Mansfield		Notts County	21
17	Bromley		Notts County	21
18	Luton	2–2	Notts County	21	42′ Home
19	Barnsley		Notts County	21
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Notts County	21
21 · Notts County
22	Doncaster	1–1	Notts County	21	36′ Home
23	Peterboro		Notts County	21
24	Wigan		Notts County	21

Leyton Orient Home Notts County Away

Wins

20%

0%

Over 1.5

80%

100%

Over 2.5

80%

25%

Over 3.5

60%

25%

Both teams scored

80%

75%

Clean sheets

20%

0%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Leyton Orient

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.60	2.33	1.25
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.40	2.67	1.88
Goals conceded / match	2.20	0.33	1.50
Total goals / match	3.60	3.00	3.38
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Notts County

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.75	0.88
Draws	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.88
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	1.75	2.50	2.12
Failed to score	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	75.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Leyton Orient	Draw	Notts County	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.6%	24.9%	33.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	43.1%	28.8%	27.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.25–0.94 Model expected goals

37.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.0%

1-113.2%

0-011.2%

0-110.6%

2-08.7%

2-18.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Leyton Orient	Notts County	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1476	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	11	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1518	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.0%	52.4%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	47.2%	55.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1105	975	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	35.8%	35.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	74.7%	62.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Leyton Orient	0.58	0.84	0.74	0.42
Notts County	0.29	0.71	0.57	0.71

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Leyton Orient	10%	10%	18%	30%	32%
Notts County	0%	25%	50%	12%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Leyton Orient at home, 11 matches

0.75 Notts County away, 4 matches

91d Days of rest for Leyton Orient

91d Days of rest for Notts County

— Manager of Leyton Orient

— Manager of Notts County

0 Matches for Leyton Orient in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Notts County in the last 14 days

8 Points for Leyton Orient behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Notts County behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Leyton Orient, the right bar represents Notts County.

On the ball

20 matches

10.88

shots

13.0

3.94

shots on target

4.0

36.2%

accuracy

30.8%

4.53

corners

4.43

12.58

fouls

12.29

2.33

yellow cards

2.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Leyton Orient	WLLDWLWLDL	1.10	1.70–1.50	1W
Notts County	LLLDDWDD	0.88	0.88–1.25	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Leyton Orient	4	9	6	1	0
Notts County	0	5	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Leyton Orient

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Notts County

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.