Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- BurtonWins
- 1
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Sheffield WedsWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 5.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75.0%
- Both teams scored
- 75.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-15 |
22/23
|
Burton3–2Sheffield Weds |
| 2022-10-29 |
22/23
|
Sheffield Weds4–2Burton |
| 2022-03-01 |
21/22
|
Sheffield Weds5–2Burton |
| 2022-02-05 |
21/22
|
Burton0–2Sheffield Weds |
Recent matches
Burton
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Plymouth0–1Burton |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Burton2–2Mansfield |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Oxford3–0Burton |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Oxford3–0Burton |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Burton2–2Cambridge |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Notts County2–1Burton |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Leicester1–2Burton |
Sheffield Weds
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Sheffield Weds0–0Stockport |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Sheffield Weds0–0Wigan |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Sheffield Weds0–0Wigan |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Peterboro1–2Sheffield Weds |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Wycombe1–2Sheffield Weds |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Sheffield Weds7–2Bromley |
| 2026-08-20 |
26/27
|
Sheffield Weds0–1Bradford |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Leyton Orient1–2Sheffield Weds |
Burton
Sheffield Weds
Wins
38%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
50%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
12%
38%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Burton
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Burton | Bradford | 1 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Plymouth | 2 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 2–2 | Cambridge | 3 | 19′ Home |
| 11 | Burton | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 4–1 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | — |
| 11 | Burton | Oxford | 6 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Stockport | 7 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Huddersfield | 8 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Wycombe | 9 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Leicester | 10 | ||
| 11 · Burton | |||||
| 11 | Burton | Reading | 12 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 1–1 | Stevenage | 14 | 74′ Home |
| 11 | Burton | Blackpool | 15 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 2–2 | Mansfield | 16 | — |
| 11 | Burton | Bromley | 17 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Luton | 18 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Barnsley | 19 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Milton Keynes Dons | 20 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Notts County | 21 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Doncaster | 22 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Peterboro | 23 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Wigan | 24 | ||
Sheffield Weds
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 2 | Plymouth | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 3 | Cambridge | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 4 · Sheffield Weds | |||||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 6 | Oxford | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 7 | Stockport | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 8 | Huddersfield | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 9 | Wycombe | 1–2 | Sheffield Weds | 4 | 6′ Home |
| 10 | Leicester | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 12 | Reading | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Sheffield Weds | 4 | 19′ Away |
| 14 | Stevenage | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 15 | Blackpool | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 16 | Mansfield | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 17 | Bromley | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 18 | Luton | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 19 | Barnsley | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 21 | Notts County | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 22 | Doncaster | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 23 | Peterboro | 1–2 | Sheffield Weds | 4 | — |
| 24 | Wigan | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
Burton Home
Sheffield Weds Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Burton
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 75.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.25 | 0.80 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Total goals / match | 3.75 | 2.60 | 3.11 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 40.0% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/4 home.Scoring order known: 7/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Sheffield Weds
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away3 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.20 | 3.00 | 1.88 |
| Draws | 60.0% | 0.0% | 37.5% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Failed to score | 80.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 80.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 22 of 3 | 50%67% |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 23 of 3 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 11 of 2 | 100%50% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 8/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Burton | Draw | Sheffield Weds | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 32.2% | 24.6% | 43.2% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 18.1% | 23.2% | 57.7% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.87–1.76
Model expected goals
47.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
47.4%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 12.7%
Most likely scores
0-112.7%
0-211.2%
1-111.0%
1-29.7%
0-07.2%
0-36.6%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Burton | Sheffield Weds | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1480 | 1573 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 14 | -85 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1493 | 1484 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 49.0% | 61.4% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 51.3% | 59.0% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1053 | 1029 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 36.2% | 34.7% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 69.1% | 68.2% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 0.68 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0.74 |
| Sheffield Weds | 0.89 | 0.84 | 0.53 | 0.58 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 5% | 18% | 22% | 30% | 25% |
| Sheffield Weds | 12% | 28% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.40
Burton at home, 10 matches
1.70
Sheffield Weds away, 10 matches
91d
Days of rest for Burton
98d
Days of rest for Sheffield Weds
—
Manager of Burton
—
Manager of Sheffield Weds
0
Matches for Burton in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Sheffield Weds in the last 14 days
6
Points for Burton behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3
Points for Sheffield Weds behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
2.62
League goals per match
25.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Burton, the right bar represents Sheffield Weds.
On the ball
10.62
16.12
shots
3.62
5.59
shots on target
34.1%
34.7%
accuracy
4.32
6.05
corners
11.21
11.79
fouls
1.47
1.79
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | WDLLDWLWDD | 1.30 | 1.50–1.70 | 1W |
| Sheffield Weds | DDDWWWLWWW | 2.10 | 1.70–0.60 | 3D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Sheffield Weds | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Burton
No absences reported.
Sheffield Weds
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.