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Wycombe
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 22
Stevenage

Head-to-head overview

6 meetings
WycombeWins
3
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
StevenageWins
3
Goals per match
1.83
Over 2.5 goals
33.3%
Both teams scored
16.7%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-21 England, League One 25/26 Wycombe3–1Stevenage
2025-08-30 England, League One 25/26 Stevenage1–0Wycombe
2025-04-12 England, League One 24/25 Wycombe1–0Stevenage
2024-12-26 England, League One 24/25 Stevenage0–3Wycombe
2024-02-24 England, League One 23/24 Stevenage1–0Wycombe
2023-11-11 England, League One 23/24 Wycombe0–1Stevenage
Recent matches

Wycombe

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe2–2Reading
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Wigan0–1Wycombe
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe3–3Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe1–2Sheffield Weds
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Stockport5–1Wycombe
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe1–1Plymouth

Stevenage

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Leyton Orient1–0Stevenage
2026-09-10 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Barnsley1–5Stevenage
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro0–0Stevenage
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–2Doncaster
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Burton1–1Stevenage
2026-05-02 England, League One 25/26 Stevenage1–0Wigan
Wycombe Stevenage

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

88%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Wycombe

Home · League One
HomeAway1st goal
9 Wycombe Bradford 1
9 Wycombe 1–1 Plymouth 2 25′ Away
9 Wycombe Cambridge 3
9 Wycombe 1–2 Sheffield Weds 4 6′ Home
9 Wycombe AFC Wimbledon 5
9 Wycombe Oxford 6
9 Wycombe Stockport 7
9 Wycombe Huddersfield 8
9 · Wycombe
9 Wycombe Leicester 10
9 Wycombe Burton 11
9 Wycombe 2–2 Reading 12 47′ Away
9 Wycombe Leyton Orient 13
9 Wycombe Stevenage 14
9 Wycombe Blackpool 15
9 Wycombe Mansfield 16
9 Wycombe Bromley 17
9 Wycombe Luton 18
9 Wycombe Barnsley 19
9 Wycombe 3–3 Milton Keynes Dons 20 11′ Home
9 Wycombe Notts County 21
9 Wycombe Doncaster 22
9 Wycombe Peterboro 23
9 Wycombe Wigan 24

Stevenage

Away · League One
Wycombe Home Stevenage Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Wycombe

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.752.001.44
Draws75.0%20.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match1.751.801.78
Goals conceded / match2.002.002.00
Total goals / match3.753.803.78
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%40.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3001
31–4511
46–6004
61–7520
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Stevenage

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.331.251.29
Draws33.3%50.0%42.9%
Goals scored / match1.671.501.57
Goals conceded / match1.670.751.14
Total goals / match3.332.252.71
Failed to score0.0%50.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%75.0%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4510
46–6020
61–7511
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWycombeDraw StevenageHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.9% 24.8% 33.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 21.6% 21.8% 55.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.14–1.97 Model expected goals
58.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
57.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.0%
1-29.9%
0-18.8%
0-28.6%
1-36.5%
2-15.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWycombeStevenage How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1526 1526 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 2 12 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1517 1502 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 50.2% 49.2% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.0% 54.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 862 1018 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.2% 32.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 57.0% 69.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Wycombe 0.740.95 0.791.21
Stevenage 0.450.70 0.250.70

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Wycombe 8%10%28%18%38%
Stevenage 15%32%10%20%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Wycombe at home, 9 matches
1.30 Stevenage away, 10 matches
94d Days of rest for Wycombe
101d Days of rest for Stevenage
— Manager of Wycombe
— Manager of Stevenage
0 Matches for Wycombe in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Stevenage in the last 14 days
5 Points for Wycombe behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Stevenage behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wycombe, the right bar represents Stevenage.

On the ball

20 matches
13.56
shots
10.0
5.56
shots on target
3.68
41.0%
accuracy
36.8%
6.53
corners
3.85
10.21
fouls
12.4
1.39
yellow cards
1.8

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Wycombe DWWWDLLDDW 1.60 1.90–2.00 1D
Stevenage LWWDDLDWDW 1.60 1.40–0.90 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Wycombe7 57 05
Stevenage6 131 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wycombe

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Stevenage

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.