Bromley

Bromley

VS Scheduled Tuesday 29 Dec 202619:45

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 22

Oxford

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Bromley2–1Huddersfield
2026-09-13	26/27	Blackpool2–2Bromley
2026-09-12	26/27	Blackpool2–2Bromley
2026-09-07	26/27	Bromley0–2AFC Wimbledon
2026-09-01	26/27	Bromley0–5Leyton Orient
2026-08-29	26/27	Sheffield Weds7–2Bromley
2026-08-22	26/27	Bromley1–1Cambridge
2026-08-15	26/27	Barnsley0–1Bromley

Oxford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Oxford1–1Cambridge
2026-09-13	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05	26/27	Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01	26/27	Huddersfield3–1Oxford
2026-08-22	26/27	Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15	26/27	Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
2024-04-27	23/24	Exeter1–2Oxford

Bromley Oxford

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Bromley

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Bromley		Bradford	1
17	Bromley		Plymouth	2
17	Bromley	1–1	Cambridge	3	67′ Away
17	Bromley		Sheffield Weds	4
17	Bromley	0–2	AFC Wimbledon	5	8′ Away
17	Bromley		Oxford	6
17	Bromley		Stockport	7
17	Bromley	2–1	Huddersfield	8	9′ Home
17	Bromley		Wycombe	9
17	Bromley		Leicester	10
17	Bromley		Burton	11
17	Bromley		Reading	12
17	Bromley	0–5	Leyton Orient	13	36′ Away
17	Bromley		Stevenage	14
17	Bromley		Blackpool	15
17	Bromley		Mansfield	16
17 · Bromley
17	Bromley		Luton	18
17	Bromley		Barnsley	19
17	Bromley		Milton Keynes Dons	20
17	Bromley		Notts County	21
17	Bromley		Doncaster	22
17	Bromley		Peterboro	23
17	Bromley		Wigan	24

Oxford

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Oxford	6
2	Plymouth		Oxford	6
3	Cambridge		Oxford	6
4	Sheffield Weds		Oxford	6
5	AFC Wimbledon		Oxford	6
6 · Oxford
7	Stockport		Oxford	6
8	Huddersfield	3–1	Oxford	6	56′ Home
9	Wycombe		Oxford	6
10	Leicester	0–4	Oxford	6	8′ Away
11	Burton		Oxford	6
12	Reading		Oxford	6
13	Leyton Orient		Oxford	6
14	Stevenage	1–2	Oxford	6	67′ Away
15	Blackpool		Oxford	6
16	Mansfield		Oxford	6
17	Bromley		Oxford	6
18	Luton		Oxford	6
19	Barnsley		Oxford	6
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Oxford	6
21	Notts County		Oxford	6
22	Doncaster		Oxford	6
23	Peterboro		Oxford	6
24	Wigan		Oxford	6

Bromley Home Oxford Away

Wins

25%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

25%

67%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

25%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bromley

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.25	1.12
Draws	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.75	1.25
Goals conceded / match	2.25	2.75	2.50
Total goals / match	3.00	4.50	3.75
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	2
61–75	1	3
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Oxford

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.25	2.33	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.33	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.67	3.29
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bromley	Draw	Oxford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	31.5%	24.4%	44.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	9.7%	13.6%	69.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.99–2.92 Model expected goals

67.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 8.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-28.5%

1-28.4%

0-38.3%

1-38.2%

0-46.1%

1-46.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bromley	Oxford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1466	1565	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	-7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1489	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	32.8%	55.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	21.4%	59.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	992	1018	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.3%	36.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.9%	65.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bromley	0.29	0.86	1.14	1.43
Oxford	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bromley	0%	12%	25%	12%	50%
Oxford	5%	5%	22%	30%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Bromley at home, 4 matches

1.78 Oxford away, 9 matches

101d Days of rest for Bromley

101d Days of rest for Oxford

— Manager of Bromley

— Manager of Oxford

0 Matches for Bromley in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Oxford in the last 14 days

9 Points for Bromley behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Oxford behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bromley, the right bar represents Oxford.

On the ball

20 matches

8.8

shots

15.41

2.4

shots on target

5.53

27.3%

accuracy

35.9%

3.14

corners

4.89

15.14

fouls

10.68

1.83

yellow cards

1.44

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bromley	WDDLLLDW	1.12	1.25–2.50	1W
Oxford	DWWWLWDWDL	1.80	1.90–1.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bromley	0	3	4	0	0
Oxford	9	7	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bromley

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Oxford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Leicester failed to produce bare minimum in Oxford thrashing - Souttar BBC Sport 09-07