Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- AFC WimbledonWins
- 0
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 1
- LutonWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 2.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 25.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 |
25/26
|
AFC Wimbledon0–3Luton |
| 2025-08-01 |
25/26
|
Luton1–0AFC Wimbledon |
| 2019-04-23 |
18/19
|
Luton2–2AFC Wimbledon |
| 2018-10-27 |
18/19
|
AFC Wimbledon0–2Luton |
Recent matches
AFC Wimbledon
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Cambridge1–1AFC Wimbledon |
| 2026-09-17 |
26/27
|
AFC Wimbledon0–0Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster |
| 2026-09-07 |
26/27
|
Bromley0–2AFC Wimbledon |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
AFC Wimbledon1–0Wigan |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
AFC Wimbledon0–0Reading |
Luton
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Luton0–1Bradford |
| 2026-09-10 |
26/27
|
Stevenage2–1Luton |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Luton1–1Leyton Orient |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Luton2–0Stockport |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Mansfield5–2Luton |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Luton2–2Notts County |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Reading3–4Luton |
| 2026-05-02 |
25/26
|
Bolton2–3Luton |
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
Wins
50%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
12%
62%
Both teams scored
25%
75%
Clean sheets
75%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
AFC Wimbledon
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Bradford | 1 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Plymouth | 2 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Cambridge | 3 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 5 · AFC Wimbledon | |||||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Oxford | 6 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Stockport | 7 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Huddersfield | 8 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Wycombe | 9 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Leicester | 10 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Burton | 11 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Reading | 12 | – |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Stevenage | 14 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | 15 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Mansfield | 16 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Bromley | 17 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Luton | 18 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Barnsley | 19 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Milton Keynes Dons | 20 | – |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Notts County | 21 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Doncaster | 22 | 43′ Home |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Doncaster | 22 | — |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Peterboro | 23 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Wigan | 24 | 88′ Home |
Luton
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | Luton | 18 | ||
| 2 | Plymouth | Luton | 18 | ||
| 3 | Cambridge | Luton | 18 | ||
| 4 | Sheffield Weds | Luton | 18 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Luton | 18 | ||
| 6 | Oxford | Luton | 18 | ||
| 7 | Stockport | Luton | 18 | ||
| 8 | Huddersfield | Luton | 18 | ||
| 9 | Wycombe | Luton | 18 | ||
| 10 | Leicester | Luton | 18 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Luton | 18 | ||
| 12 | Reading | 3–4 | Luton | 18 | 6′ Away |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | Luton | 18 | ||
| 14 | Stevenage | 2–1 | Luton | 18 | 23′ Home |
| 15 | Blackpool | Luton | 18 | ||
| 16 | Mansfield | 5–2 | Luton | 18 | 17′ Home |
| 17 | Bromley | Luton | 18 | ||
| 18 · Luton | |||||
| 19 | Barnsley | Luton | 18 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Luton | 18 | ||
| 21 | Notts County | Luton | 18 | ||
| 22 | Doncaster | Luton | 18 | ||
| 23 | Peterboro | Luton | 18 | ||
| 24 | Wigan | Luton | 18 | ||
AFC Wimbledon Home
Luton Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
AFC Wimbledon
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.89 |
| Total goals / match | 0.60 | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Failed to score | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 50.0% | 77.8% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 3 of 3— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 0— | —— |
Scoring order known: 5/5 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | 0 |
| 16–30 | — | 0 |
| 31–45 | — | 0 |
| 46–60 | — | 0 |
| 61–75 | — | 0 |
| 76–90 | — | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Luton
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away3 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Draws | 50.0% | 0.0% | 28.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 2.33 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| Total goals / match | 2.25 | 5.67 | 3.71 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 10 of 4 | 0%0% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 12 of 4 | 100%50% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 7/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 3 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Luton | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 32.9% | 24.8% | 42.4% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 7.0% | 14.2% | 74.4% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.62–2.52
Model expected goals
56.3%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
40.4%
Both teams to score
0-2
Most likely score, at 13.8%
Most likely scores
0-213.8%
0-311.6%
0-110.9%
1-28.5%
0-47.3%
1-37.1%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | AFC Wimbledon | Luton | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1452 | 1537 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 35 | -11 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1506 | 1493 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 43.6% | 54.8% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 37.3% | 53.5% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 812 | 1050 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 19.1% | 41.8% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 62.0% | 63.3% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 1.05 |
| Luton | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 0.55 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 10% | 32% | 15% | 10% | 32% |
| Luton | 2% | 15% | 22% | 28% | 32% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.09
AFC Wimbledon at home, 11 matches
1.80
Luton away, 10 matches
94d
Days of rest for AFC Wimbledon
101d
Days of rest for Luton
—
Manager of AFC Wimbledon
—
Manager of Luton
0
Matches for AFC Wimbledon in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Luton in the last 14 days
3
Points for AFC Wimbledon behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Luton behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.62
League goals per match
25.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AFC Wimbledon, the right bar represents Luton.
On the ball
10.38
15.05
shots
2.94
4.79
shots on target
28.3%
31.8%
accuracy
5.63
6.45
corners
12.21
11.2
fouls
1.84
2.05
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | DDWWWLWDLL | 1.50 | 0.70–1.20 | 2D |
| Luton | LLDWLDWWWW | 1.70 | 1.90–1.70 | 2L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Luton | 7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
AFC Wimbledon
No absences reported.
Luton
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.