Reading

Reading

VS Scheduled Friday 1 Jan 202715:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 23

Milton Keynes Dons

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Wycombe2–2Reading
2026-09-19	26/27	Reading2–0Notts County
2026-09-13	26/27	Cambridge2–1Reading
2026-09-12	26/27	Cambridge2–1Reading
2026-09-05	26/27	Reading3–1Blackpool
2026-09-02	26/27	Reading5–0Mansfield
2026-08-22	26/27	AFC Wimbledon0–0Reading
2026-08-15	26/27	Reading3–4Luton

Milton Keynes Dons

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	26/27	AFC Wimbledon0–0Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-13	26/27	Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-12	26/27	Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-05	26/27	Wycombe3–3Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-02	26/27	Wigan3–1Milton Keynes Dons
2026-08-29	26/27	Milton Keynes Dons0–0Leicester
2026-08-22	26/27	Milton Keynes Dons1–1Huddersfield
2026-08-15	26/27	Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons

Reading Milton Keynes Dons

Wins

38%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Reading

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Reading		Bradford	1
12	Reading		Plymouth	2
12	Reading		Cambridge	3
12	Reading		Sheffield Weds	4
12	Reading		AFC Wimbledon	5
12	Reading		Oxford	6
12	Reading		Stockport	7
12	Reading		Huddersfield	8
12	Reading		Wycombe	9
12	Reading		Leicester	10
12	Reading		Burton	11
12 · Reading
12	Reading		Leyton Orient	13
12	Reading		Stevenage	14
12	Reading	3–1	Blackpool	15	12′ Home
12	Reading	5–0	Mansfield	16	35′ Home
12	Reading		Bromley	17
12	Reading	3–4	Luton	18	6′ Away
12	Reading		Barnsley	19
12	Reading		Milton Keynes Dons	20
12	Reading	2–0	Notts County	21	49′ Home
12	Reading		Doncaster	22
12	Reading		Peterboro	23
12	Reading		Wigan	24

Milton Keynes Dons

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Milton Keynes Dons	20
2	Plymouth		Milton Keynes Dons	20
3	Cambridge		Milton Keynes Dons	20
4	Sheffield Weds		Milton Keynes Dons	20
5	AFC Wimbledon	0–0	Milton Keynes Dons	20	–
6	Oxford	2–2	Milton Keynes Dons	20	20′ Home
7	Stockport		Milton Keynes Dons	20
8	Huddersfield		Milton Keynes Dons	20
9	Wycombe	3–3	Milton Keynes Dons	20	11′ Home
10	Leicester		Milton Keynes Dons	20
11	Burton		Milton Keynes Dons	20
12	Reading		Milton Keynes Dons	20
13	Leyton Orient		Milton Keynes Dons	20
14	Stevenage		Milton Keynes Dons	20
15	Blackpool		Milton Keynes Dons	20
16	Mansfield		Milton Keynes Dons	20
17	Bromley		Milton Keynes Dons	20
18	Luton		Milton Keynes Dons	20
19	Barnsley		Milton Keynes Dons	20
20 · Milton Keynes Dons
21	Notts County		Milton Keynes Dons	20
22	Doncaster		Milton Keynes Dons	20
23	Peterboro		Milton Keynes Dons	20
24	Wigan	3–1	Milton Keynes Dons	20	36′ Home

Reading Home Milton Keynes Dons Away

Wins

75%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

75%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Scores first

75%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Reading

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.25	0.50	1.38
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	3.25	1.00	2.12
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.50	1.38
Total goals / match	4.50	2.50	3.50
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	5	0
46–60	3	2
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milton Keynes Dons

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.75	0.88
Draws	100.0%	75.0%	87.5%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.50	1.12
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.38
Total goals / match	1.50	3.50	2.50
Failed to score	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	3	1
61–75	0	2
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Reading	Draw	Milton Keynes Dons	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.6%	23.1%	28.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	36.7%	26.7%	36.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.28–1.27 Model expected goals

46.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.7%

1-010.0%

0-19.9%

2-18.1%

1-28.1%

0-07.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Reading	Milton Keynes Dons	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1526	1473	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-3	11	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1505	1486	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	48.5%	50.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	48.4%	46.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1089	1014	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.7%	30.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	67.2%	70.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Reading	0.79	0.79	0.37	0.95
Milton Keynes Dons	0.37	0.74	0.63	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Reading	2%	15%	25%	22%	35%
Milton Keynes Dons	12%	22%	32%	5%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.44 Reading at home, 9 matches

0.90 Milton Keynes Dons away, 10 matches

97d Days of rest for Reading

106d Days of rest for Milton Keynes Dons

— Manager of Reading

— Manager of Milton Keynes Dons

0 Matches for Reading in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Milton Keynes Dons in the last 14 days

7 Points for Reading behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Milton Keynes Dons behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Reading, the right bar represents Milton Keynes Dons.

On the ball

20 matches

11.44

shots

14.18

3.75

shots on target

3.82

32.8%

accuracy

27.0%

4.16

corners

6.21

12.11

fouls

10.95

1.74

yellow cards

1.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Reading	DWLLWWDLLD	1.20	1.80–1.30	1D
Milton Keynes Dons	DDDDLDDDDD	0.90	1.30–1.50	4D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Reading	7	9	3	0	4
Milton Keynes Dons	4	7	8	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Reading

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Milton Keynes Dons

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.