Barcelona

Barcelona

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202620:00

Spain 26/27 LaLiga · Matchday 10

Real Madrid

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

BarcelonaWins: 8
Draws11.1% of meetings: 2
Real MadridWins: 8

Goals per match: 3.39
Over 2.5 goals: 77.8%
Both teams scored: 61.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-10	25/26	Barcelona2–0Real Madrid
2025-10-26	25/26	Real Madrid2–1Barcelona
2025-05-11	24/25	Barcelona4–3Real Madrid
2024-10-26	24/25	Real Madrid0–4Barcelona
2024-04-21	23/24	Real Madrid3–2Barcelona
2023-10-28	23/24	Barcelona1–2Real Madrid
2023-03-19	22/23	Barcelona2–1Real Madrid
2022-10-16	22/23	Real Madrid3–1Barcelona
2022-03-20	21/22	Real Madrid0–4Barcelona
2021-10-24	21/22	Barcelona1–2Real Madrid
2021-04-10	20/21	Real Madrid2–1Barcelona
2020-10-24	20/21	Barcelona1–3Real Madrid
2020-03-01	19/20	Real Madrid2–0Barcelona
2019-12-18	19/20	Barcelona0–0Real Madrid
2019-03-02	18/19	Real Madrid0–1Barcelona
2018-10-28	18/19	Barcelona5–1Real Madrid
2018-05-06	17/18	Barcelona2–2Real Madrid
2017-12-23	17/18	Real Madrid0–3Barcelona

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sevilla1–3Barcelona
2026-09-16	26/27	Barcelona7–2Santander
2026-09-14	26/27	Levante2–4Barcelona
2026-09-13	26/27	Levante2–4Barcelona
2026-09-06	26/27	Valencia0–5Barcelona
2026-08-31	26/27	Barcelona5–2Vallecano
2026-08-27	26/27	Barcelona2–0Ath Bilbao
2026-08-23	26/27	Elche0–5Barcelona

Real Madrid

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-09-15	26/27	Elche2–3Real Madrid
2026-09-13	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-12	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-04	26/27	Betis1–0Real Madrid
2026-08-30	26/27	Real Madrid4–0Malaga
2026-08-26	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Sociedad
2026-08-22	26/27	Espanol1–2Real Madrid

Barcelona Real Madrid

Wins

100%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Barcelona

Home · LaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Barcelona
1	Barcelona		Ath Madrid	2
1	Barcelona		Real Madrid	3
1	Barcelona		Betis	4
1	Barcelona		Sevilla	5
1	Barcelona		Alaves	6
1	Barcelona		La Coruna	7
1	Barcelona		Espanol	8
1	Barcelona		Sociedad	9
1	Barcelona	7–2	Santander	10	—
1	Barcelona	2–0	Ath Bilbao	11	37′ Home
1	Barcelona		Getafe	12
1	Barcelona		Celta	13
1	Barcelona		Villarreal	14
1	Barcelona	5–2	Vallecano	15	—
1	Barcelona		Osasuna	16
1	Barcelona		Elche	17
1	Barcelona		Levante	18
1	Barcelona		Malaga	19
1	Barcelona		Valencia	20

Real Madrid

Away · LaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barcelona		Real Madrid	3
2	Ath Madrid	2–1	Real Madrid	3	53′ Home
3 · Real Madrid
4	Betis	1–0	Real Madrid	3	81′ Home
5	Sevilla		Real Madrid	3
6	Alaves		Real Madrid	3
7	La Coruna		Real Madrid	3
8	Espanol	1–2	Real Madrid	3	9′ Away
9	Sociedad		Real Madrid	3
10	Santander		Real Madrid	3
11	Ath Bilbao		Real Madrid	3
12	Getafe		Real Madrid	3
13	Celta		Real Madrid	3
14	Villarreal		Real Madrid	3
15	Vallecano		Real Madrid	3
16	Osasuna		Real Madrid	3
17	Elche	2–3	Real Madrid	3	—
18	Levante		Real Madrid	3
19	Malaga		Real Madrid	3
20	Valencia		Real Madrid	3

Barcelona Home Real Madrid Away

Wins

100%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

67%

75%

Over 3.5

67%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Barcelona

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.67	4.20	4.38
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.00	1.12
Total goals / match	6.00	5.20	5.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	0.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 1/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Real Madrid

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.50	2.75
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.50	1.12
Total goals / match	4.75	3.00	3.88
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Barcelona	Draw	Real Madrid	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.3%	20.7%	24.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	43.5%	20.7%	32.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.11–1.81 Model expected goals

71.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

70.8% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 8.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-18.0%

1-17.6%

2-27.2%

1-26.8%

3-15.6%

3-25.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Barcelona	Real Madrid	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1770	1689	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-29	-30	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1519	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	65.0%	58.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	69.7%	65.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1135	1023	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.4%	30.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.1%	71.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Barcelona	1.37	1.53	0.32	0.58
Real Madrid	1.00	1.16	0.42	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Barcelona	0%	10%	15%	25%	50%
Real Madrid	2%	10%	28%	25%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Barcelona at home, 9 matches

1.60 Real Madrid away, 10 matches

36d Days of rest for Barcelona

35d Days of rest for Real Madrid

— Manager of Barcelona

— Manager of Real Madrid

0 Matches for Barcelona in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Real Madrid in the last 14 days

0 Points for Barcelona behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Real Madrid behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

2.72 League goals per match

24.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Barcelona, the right bar represents Real Madrid.

On the ball

20 matches

15.06

shots

16.56

6.19

shots on target

6.69

41.1%

accuracy

40.4%

5.56

corners

6.11

9.74

fouls

9.32

1.61

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Barcelona	WWWWWWWWLW	2.70	3.90–1.30	8W
Real Madrid	LWWWLWWWWW	2.40	2.70–1.10	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Barcelona	13	5	1	0	0
Real Madrid	9	7	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Barcelona

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Real Madrid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

European football: Lamine Yamal keeps Barcelona perfect, Leipzig rout Hamburg The Guardian 09-13

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12

Signed instead of Rashford, Gordon is proving worth at Barca BBC Sport 09-12

Champions League review: Irish heroics, rejected resignations and Mourinho’s return The Guardian 09-11

Champions League roundup: Raphinha shines as Barcelona thrash Feyenoord The Guardian 09-09

Dani Olmo: ‘Winning the World Cup changes you, it changes your life’ The Guardian 09-09

Video: Inter star Dimarco trains with knee bandage before Real Madrid clash Football Italia 09-07

European football: Lamine Yamal’s double powers Barcelona to rout of Valencia The Guardian 09-06

World Cup wishlists, early movers, big clearouts: 2026 summer transfer window trends The Guardian 09-03

Barcelona breeze past Rayo but all eyes in Spain remain on Julián Álvarez The Guardian 09-01