Santander

Santander

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202600:00

Spain 26/27 LaLiga · Matchday 11

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Celta5–0Santander
2026-09-16	26/27	Barcelona7–2Santander
2026-09-13	26/27	Santander2–1Alaves
2026-09-12	26/27	Santander2–1Alaves
2026-09-05	26/27	Vallecano3–2Santander
2026-08-28	26/27	Santander3–2Elche
2026-08-23	26/27	Getafe1–0Santander
2026-08-16	26/27	Santander2–2Villarreal

Real Madrid

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-09-15	26/27	Elche2–3Real Madrid
2026-09-13	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-12	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-04	26/27	Betis1–0Real Madrid
2026-08-30	26/27	Real Madrid4–0Malaga
2026-08-26	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Sociedad
2026-08-22	26/27	Espanol1–2Real Madrid

Santander Real Madrid

Wins

38%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

0%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Santander

Home · LaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Santander		Barcelona	1
10	Santander		Ath Madrid	2
10	Santander		Real Madrid	3
10	Santander		Betis	4
10	Santander		Sevilla	5
10	Santander	2–1	Alaves	6	18′ Away
10	Santander	2–1	Alaves	6	—
10	Santander		La Coruna	7
10	Santander		Espanol	8
10	Santander		Sociedad	9
10 · Santander
10	Santander		Ath Bilbao	11
10	Santander		Getafe	12
10	Santander		Celta	13
10	Santander	2–2	Villarreal	14	21′ Home
10	Santander		Vallecano	15
10	Santander		Osasuna	16
10	Santander	3–2	Elche	17	15′ Home
10	Santander		Levante	18
10	Santander		Malaga	19
10	Santander		Valencia	20

Real Madrid

Away · LaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barcelona		Real Madrid	3
2	Ath Madrid	2–1	Real Madrid	3	53′ Home
3 · Real Madrid
4	Betis	1–0	Real Madrid	3	81′ Home
5	Sevilla		Real Madrid	3
6	Alaves		Real Madrid	3
7	La Coruna		Real Madrid	3
8	Espanol	1–2	Real Madrid	3	9′ Away
9	Sociedad		Real Madrid	3
10	Santander		Real Madrid	3
11	Ath Bilbao		Real Madrid	3
12	Getafe		Real Madrid	3
13	Celta		Real Madrid	3
14	Villarreal		Real Madrid	3
15	Vallecano		Real Madrid	3
16	Osasuna		Real Madrid	3
17	Elche	2–3	Real Madrid	3	—
18	Levante		Real Madrid	3
19	Malaga		Real Madrid	3
20	Valencia		Real Madrid	3

Santander Home Real Madrid Away

Wins

75%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

50%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

75%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Santander

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.00	1.25
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.25	1.00	1.62
Goals conceded / match	1.50	4.00	2.75
Total goals / match	3.75	5.00	4.38
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Real Madrid

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.50	2.75
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.50	1.12
Total goals / match	4.75	3.00	3.88
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Santander	Draw	Real Madrid	How it works
Strength (Elo)	24.5%	21.1%	54.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	11.8%	14.3%	65.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.16–2.96 Model expected goals

69.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

59.5% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.3%

1-38.1%

0-27.1%

0-37.0%

1-46.0%

1-15.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Santander	Real Madrid	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1486	1689	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-14	-30	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1541	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	43.7%	58.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	39.0%	65.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1118	1023	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	43.8%	30.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.0%	71.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Santander	1.29	0.29	1.57	1.43
Real Madrid	1.00	1.16	0.42	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Santander	0%	12%	0%	25%	62%
Real Madrid	2%	10%	28%	25%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Santander at home, 4 matches

1.60 Real Madrid away, 10 matches

43d Days of rest for Santander

42d Days of rest for Real Madrid

— Manager of Santander

— Manager of Real Madrid

0 Matches for Santander in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Real Madrid in the last 14 days

14 Points for Santander behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Real Madrid behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

2.72 League goals per match

24.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Santander, the right bar represents Real Madrid.

On the ball

20 matches

11.25

shots

16.56

4.0

shots on target

6.69

35.6%

accuracy

40.4%

5.0

corners

6.11

14.14

fouls

9.32

2.57

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Santander	LLWWLWLD	1.25	1.62–2.75	2L
Real Madrid	LWWWLWWWWW	2.40	2.70–1.10	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Santander	1	4	2	0	0
Real Madrid	9	7	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Santander

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Real Madrid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12

Video: Inter star Dimarco trains with knee bandage before Real Madrid clash Football Italia 09-07

European football: Lamine Yamal’s double powers Barcelona to rout of Valencia The Guardian 09-06

World Cup wishlists, early movers, big clearouts: 2026 summer transfer window trends The Guardian 09-03