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Valencia
VS Scheduled Spain 26/27 LaLiga · Matchday 12
Real Madrid

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
ValenciaWins
4
Draws16.7% of meetings
3
Real MadridWins
11
Goals per match
3.28
Over 2.5 goals
66.7%
Both teams scored
61.1%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-08 Spain, LaLiga 25/26 Valencia0–2Real Madrid
2025-11-01 Spain, LaLiga 25/26 Real Madrid4–0Valencia
2025-04-05 Spain, LaLiga 24/25 Real Madrid1–2Valencia
2025-01-03 Spain, LaLiga 24/25 Valencia1–2Real Madrid
2024-03-02 Spain, LaLiga 23/24 Valencia2–2Real Madrid
2023-11-11 Spain, LaLiga 23/24 Real Madrid5–1Valencia
2023-05-21 Spain, LaLiga 22/23 Valencia1–0Real Madrid
2023-02-02 Spain, LaLiga 22/23 Real Madrid2–0Valencia
Recent matches

Valencia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Valencia2–3Sociedad
2026-09-15 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Alaves0–1Valencia
2026-09-11 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Sevilla1–0Valencia
2026-09-06 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Valencia0–5Barcelona
2026-08-30 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 La Coruna3–1Valencia
2026-08-25 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Valencia0–1Betis
2026-08-22 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Valencia0–0Celta
2026-05-23 Spain, LaLiga 25/26 Valencia3–1Barcelona

Real Madrid

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-09-15 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Elche2–3Real Madrid
2026-09-13 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-12 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-04 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Betis1–0Real Madrid
2026-08-30 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–0Malaga
2026-08-26 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–1Sociedad
2026-08-22 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Espanol1–2Real Madrid
Valencia Real Madrid

Wins

25%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
88%

Both teams scored

38%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Valencia

Home · LaLiga
HomeAway1st goal
20 Valencia 0–5 Barcelona 1 6′ Away
20 Valencia Ath Madrid 2
20 Valencia Real Madrid 3
20 Valencia 0–1 Betis 4 83′ Away
20 Valencia Sevilla 5
20 Valencia Alaves 6
20 Valencia La Coruna 7
20 Valencia Espanol 8
20 Valencia 2–3 Sociedad 9 —
20 Valencia Santander 10
20 Valencia Ath Bilbao 11
20 Valencia Getafe 12
20 Valencia 0–0 Celta 13 –
20 Valencia Villarreal 14
20 Valencia Vallecano 15
20 Valencia Osasuna 16
20 Valencia Elche 17
20 Valencia Levante 18
20 Valencia Malaga 19
20 · Valencia

Real Madrid

Away · LaLiga
Valencia Home Real Madrid Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Valencia

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.251.000.57
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match0.500.670.57
Goals conceded / match2.251.331.86
Total goals / match2.752.002.43
Failed to score75.0%33.3%57.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%66.7%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Real Madrid

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match3.001.502.25
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match4.001.502.75
Goals conceded / match0.751.501.12
Total goals / match4.753.003.88
Failed to score0.0%25.0%12.5%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelValenciaDraw Real MadridHow it works
Strength (Elo) 24.0% 20.7% 55.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 9.0% 14.0% 70.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.86–2.76 Model expected goals
63.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.4% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 10.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-210.2%
0-39.4%
1-28.8%
1-38.1%
0-17.4%
0-46.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureValenciaReal Madrid How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1480 1689 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -19 -30 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1526 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 51.3% 58.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 47.0% 65.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 982 1023 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.9% 30.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 64.3% 71.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Valencia 0.350.85 0.451.00
Real Madrid 1.001.16 0.420.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Valencia 5%22%30%15%28%
Real Madrid 2%10%28%25%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.27 Valencia at home, 11 matches
1.60 Real Madrid away, 10 matches
49d Days of rest for Valencia
49d Days of rest for Real Madrid
Óscar Sánchez Manager of Valencia, since 13/09/26
— Manager of Real Madrid
0 Matches for Valencia in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Real Madrid in the last 14 days
20 Points for Valencia behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Real Madrid behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.72 League goals per match
24.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Valencia, the right bar represents Real Madrid.

On the ball

20 matches
12.59
shots
16.56
3.65
shots on target
6.69
29.0%
accuracy
40.4%
4.95
corners
6.11
11.35
fouls
9.32
1.7
yellow cards
1.83

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Valencia LWLLLLDWWD 1.10 1.20–1.80 1L
Real Madrid LWWWLWWWWW 2.40 2.70–1.10 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Valencia3 125 11
Real Madrid9 73 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Valencia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Real Madrid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams