Head-to-head overview
3 meetings- MalagaWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Real MadridWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 4.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 66.7%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Real Madrid4–0Malaga |
| 2018-04-15 |
17/18
|
Malaga1–2Real Madrid |
| 2017-11-25 |
17/18
|
Real Madrid3–2Malaga |
Recent matches
Malaga
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Getafe1–0Malaga |
| 2026-09-17 |
26/27
|
Malaga1–3Villarreal |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Celta1–1Malaga |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Celta1–1Malaga |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Malaga0–0Levante |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Real Madrid4–0Malaga |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Malaga1–1La Coruna |
| 2026-08-19 |
26/27
|
Ath Madrid2–0Malaga |
Real Madrid
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Elche2–3Real Madrid |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Real Madrid4–1Vallecano |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Real Madrid4–1Vallecano |
| 2026-09-04 |
26/27
|
Betis1–0Real Madrid |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Real Madrid4–0Malaga |
| 2026-08-26 |
26/27
|
Real Madrid4–1Sociedad |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Espanol1–2Real Madrid |
Malaga
Real Madrid
Wins
0%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
88%
Both teams scored
50%
75%
Clean sheets
12%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Malaga
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Malaga | Barcelona | 1 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Ath Madrid | 2 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Betis | 4 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Sevilla | 5 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Alaves | 6 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | 1–1 | La Coruna | 7 | 21′ Away |
| 19 | Malaga | Espanol | 8 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Sociedad | 9 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Santander | 10 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Ath Bilbao | 11 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Getafe | 12 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Celta | 13 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | 1–3 | Villarreal | 14 | 12′ Home |
| 19 | Malaga | Vallecano | 15 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Osasuna | 16 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Elche | 17 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | 0–0 | Levante | 18 | – |
| 19 · Malaga | |||||
| 19 | Malaga | Valencia | 20 | ||
Real Madrid
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 2–1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 53′ Home |
| 3 · Real Madrid | |||||
| 4 | Betis | 1–0 | Real Madrid | 3 | 81′ Home |
| 5 | Sevilla | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 6 | Alaves | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 7 | La Coruna | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 8 | Espanol | 1–2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 9′ Away |
| 9 | Sociedad | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 10 | Santander | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 11 | Ath Bilbao | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 12 | Getafe | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 13 | Celta | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 14 | Villarreal | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 15 | Vallecano | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 16 | Osasuna | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 17 | Elche | 2–3 | Real Madrid | 3 | — |
| 18 | Levante | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 19 | Malaga | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
| 20 | Valencia | Real Madrid | 3 | ||
Malaga Home
Real Madrid Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
LaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Malaga
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away5 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Draws | 66.7% | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 1.80 | 1.62 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.12 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 80.0% | 75.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 7/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 2 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Real Madrid
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away4 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 4.00 | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 1.50 | 1.12 |
| Total goals / match | 4.75 | 3.00 | 3.88 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 25.0% | 12.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 25.0% | 12.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 2— | 50%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 2— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 7/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Malaga | Draw | Real Madrid | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 22.0% | 19.1% | 59.0% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 5.0% | 10.8% | 76.3% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.61–2.96
Model expected goals
61.2%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
39.9%
Both teams to score
0-2
Most likely score, at 12.3%
Most likely scores
0-212.3%
0-312.1%
0-49.0%
0-18.3%
1-27.6%
1-37.4%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Malaga | Real Madrid | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1453 | 1689 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 100 | -30 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1523 | 1519 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 41.2% | 58.8% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 33.6% | 65.6% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 873 | 1023 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 24.3% | 30.8% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 63.0% | 71.4% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 0.42 | 0.16 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Real Madrid | 1.00 | 1.16 | 0.42 | 0.68 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 10% | 25% | 35% | 15% | 15% |
| Real Madrid | 2% | 10% | 28% | 25% | 35% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.89
Malaga at home, 9 matches
1.60
Real Madrid away, 10 matches
119d
Days of rest for Malaga
119d
Days of rest for Real Madrid
—
Manager of Malaga
—
Manager of Real Madrid
0
Matches for Malaga in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Real Madrid in the last 14 days
20
Points for Malaga behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
6
Points for Real Madrid behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.72
League goals per match
24.5%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Malaga, the right bar represents Real Madrid.
On the ball
9.25
16.56
shots
2.31
6.69
shots on target
25.0%
40.4%
accuracy
4.32
6.11
corners
15.05
9.32
fouls
2.53
1.83
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | LLDDDLDLLL | 0.40 | 0.50–1.80 | 2L |
| Real Madrid | LWWWLWWWWW | 2.40 | 2.70–1.10 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Malaga
No absences reported.
Real Madrid
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout
The Guardian
09-12
Video: Inter star Dimarco trains with knee bandage before Real Madrid clash
Football Italia
09-07