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Celta
VS Scheduled Spain 26/27 LaLiga · Matchday 29
Real Madrid

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
CeltaWins
1
Draws11.1% of meetings
2
Real MadridWins
15
Goals per match
3.72
Over 2.5 goals
72.2%
Both teams scored
61.1%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-06 Spain, LaLiga 25/26 Celta1–2Real Madrid
2025-12-07 Spain, LaLiga 25/26 Real Madrid0–2Celta
2025-05-04 Spain, LaLiga 24/25 Real Madrid3–2Celta
2024-10-19 Spain, LaLiga 24/25 Celta1–2Real Madrid
2024-03-10 Spain, LaLiga 23/24 Real Madrid4–0Celta
2023-08-25 Spain, LaLiga 23/24 Celta0–1Real Madrid
2023-04-22 Spain, LaLiga 22/23 Real Madrid2–0Celta
2022-08-20 Spain, LaLiga 22/23 Celta1–4Real Madrid
Recent matches

Celta

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Celta5–0Santander
2026-09-14 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Celta1–1Malaga
2026-09-13 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Celta1–1Malaga
2026-09-07 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Getafe1–1Celta
2026-09-03 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Sociedad0–0Celta
2026-08-30 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Celta0–2Ath Bilbao
2026-08-27 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Celta1–2Osasuna
2026-08-22 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Valencia0–0Celta

Real Madrid

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-09-15 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Elche2–3Real Madrid
2026-09-13 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-12 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-04 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Betis1–0Real Madrid
2026-08-30 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–0Malaga
2026-08-26 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Real Madrid4–1Sociedad
2026-08-22 Spain, LaLiga 26/27 Espanol1–2Real Madrid
Celta Real Madrid

Wins

12%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
88%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

38%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Celta

Home · LaLiga
HomeAway1st goal
13 Celta Barcelona 1
13 Celta Ath Madrid 2
13 Celta Real Madrid 3
13 Celta Betis 4
13 Celta Sevilla 5
13 Celta Alaves 6
13 Celta La Coruna 7
13 Celta Espanol 8
13 Celta Sociedad 9
13 Celta 5–0 Santander 10 32′ Home
13 Celta 0–2 Ath Bilbao 11 20′ Away
13 Celta Getafe 12
13 · Celta
13 Celta Villarreal 14
13 Celta Vallecano 15
13 Celta 1–2 Osasuna 16 14′ Home
13 Celta Elche 17
13 Celta Levante 18
13 Celta 1–1 Malaga 19 41′ Home
13 Celta 1–1 Malaga 19 —
13 Celta Valencia 20

Real Madrid

Away · LaLiga
Celta Home Real Madrid Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Celta

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.001.001.00
Draws40.0%100.0%62.5%
Goals scored / match1.600.331.12
Goals conceded / match1.200.330.88
Total goals / match2.800.672.00
Failed to score20.0%66.7%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%100.0%75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Real Madrid

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match3.001.502.25
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match4.001.502.75
Goals conceded / match0.751.501.12
Total goals / match4.753.003.88
Failed to score0.0%25.0%12.5%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCeltaDraw Real MadridHow it works
Strength (Elo) 26.5% 22.5% 51.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 11.4% 15.9% 68.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.93–2.57 Model expected goals
63.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.1% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-210.0%
1-29.3%
0-38.5%
1-37.9%
0-17.8%
1-17.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCeltaReal Madrid How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1511 1689 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -18 -30 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 36.3% 58.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 42.5% 65.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1009 1023 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.3% 30.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.5% 71.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Celta 0.680.63 0.630.74
Real Madrid 1.001.16 0.420.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Celta 10%15%28%22%25%
Real Madrid 2%10%28%25%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Celta at home, 11 matches
1.60 Real Madrid away, 10 matches
183d Days of rest for Celta
182d Days of rest for Real Madrid
— Manager of Celta
— Manager of Real Madrid
0 Matches for Celta in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Real Madrid in the last 14 days
16 Points for Celta behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Real Madrid behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.72 League goals per match
24.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Celta, the right bar represents Real Madrid.

On the ball

20 matches
8.06
shots
16.56
3.35
shots on target
6.69
41.6%
accuracy
40.4%
2.95
corners
6.11
11.58
fouls
9.32
1.84
yellow cards
1.83

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Celta WDDDDLLDWD 1.20 1.10–0.80 1W
Real Madrid LWWWLWWWWW 2.40 2.70–1.10 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Celta7 66 15
Real Madrid9 73 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Celta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Real Madrid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams