Real Madrid

Real Madrid

VS Scheduled Sunday 4 Apr 202701:00

Spain 26/27 LaLiga · Matchday 30

Ath Madrid

Head-to-head overview

19 meetings

Real MadridWins: 6
Draws47.4% of meetings: 9
Ath MadridWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.32
Over 2.5 goals: 31.6%
Both teams scored: 63.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-03-22	25/26	Real Madrid3–2Ath Madrid
2025-09-27	25/26	Ath Madrid5–2Real Madrid
2025-02-08	24/25	Real Madrid1–1Ath Madrid
2024-09-29	24/25	Ath Madrid1–1Real Madrid
2024-02-04	23/24	Real Madrid1–1Ath Madrid
2023-09-24	23/24	Ath Madrid3–1Real Madrid
2023-02-25	22/23	Real Madrid1–1Ath Madrid
2022-09-18	22/23	Ath Madrid1–2Real Madrid
2022-05-08	21/22	Ath Madrid1–0Real Madrid
2021-12-12	21/22	Real Madrid2–0Ath Madrid
2021-03-07	20/21	Ath Madrid1–1Real Madrid
2020-12-12	20/21	Real Madrid2–0Ath Madrid
2020-02-01	19/20	Real Madrid1–0Ath Madrid
2019-09-28	19/20	Ath Madrid0–0Real Madrid
2019-02-09	18/19	Ath Madrid1–3Real Madrid
2018-09-29	18/19	Real Madrid0–0Ath Madrid
2018-04-08	17/18	Real Madrid1–1Ath Madrid
2017-11-18	17/18	Ath Madrid0–0Real Madrid

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-09-15	26/27	Elche2–3Real Madrid
2026-09-13	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-12	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Vallecano
2026-09-04	26/27	Betis1–0Real Madrid
2026-08-30	26/27	Real Madrid4–0Malaga
2026-08-26	26/27	Real Madrid4–1Sociedad
2026-08-22	26/27	Espanol1–2Real Madrid

Ath Madrid

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ath Madrid2–1Real Madrid
2026-09-16	26/27	Ath Madrid4–0Osasuna
2026-09-14	26/27	Sociedad0–3Ath Madrid
2026-09-13	26/27	Sociedad0–3Ath Madrid
2026-09-05	26/27	Ath Bilbao3–0Ath Madrid
2026-08-29	26/27	Sevilla1–3Ath Madrid
2026-08-23	26/27	Ath Madrid2–2Villarreal
2026-08-19	26/27	Ath Madrid2–0Malaga

Real Madrid Ath Madrid

Wins

75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Real Madrid

Home · LaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Real Madrid		Barcelona	1
3	Real Madrid		Ath Madrid	2
3 · Real Madrid
3	Real Madrid		Betis	4
3	Real Madrid		Sevilla	5
3	Real Madrid		Alaves	6
3	Real Madrid		La Coruna	7
3	Real Madrid		Espanol	8
3	Real Madrid	4–1	Sociedad	9	40′ Home
3	Real Madrid		Santander	10
3	Real Madrid		Ath Bilbao	11
3	Real Madrid		Getafe	12
3	Real Madrid		Celta	13
3	Real Madrid		Villarreal	14
3	Real Madrid	4–1	Vallecano	15	14′ Home
3	Real Madrid	4–1	Vallecano	15	—
3	Real Madrid		Osasuna	16
3	Real Madrid		Elche	17
3	Real Madrid		Levante	18
3	Real Madrid	4–0	Malaga	19	—
3	Real Madrid		Valencia	20

Ath Madrid

Away · LaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barcelona		Ath Madrid	2
2 · Ath Madrid
3	Real Madrid		Ath Madrid	2
4	Betis		Ath Madrid	2
5	Sevilla	1–3	Ath Madrid	2	4′ Away
6	Alaves		Ath Madrid	2
7	La Coruna		Ath Madrid	2
8	Espanol		Ath Madrid	2
9	Sociedad	0–3	Ath Madrid	2	84′ Away
9	Sociedad	0–3	Ath Madrid	2	—
10	Santander		Ath Madrid	2
11	Ath Bilbao	3–0	Ath Madrid	2	46′ Home
12	Getafe		Ath Madrid	2
13	Celta		Ath Madrid	2
14	Villarreal		Ath Madrid	2
15	Vallecano		Ath Madrid	2
16	Osasuna		Ath Madrid	2
17	Elche		Ath Madrid	2
18	Levante		Ath Madrid	2
19	Malaga		Ath Madrid	2
20	Valencia		Ath Madrid	2

Real Madrid Home Ath Madrid Away

Wins

100%

75%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

Over 3.5

100%

25%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

N/A

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Real Madrid

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.50	2.75
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.50	1.12
Total goals / match	4.75	3.00	3.88
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ath Madrid

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.50	2.25	2.38
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.50	2.25	2.38
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.00	0.88
Total goals / match	3.25	3.25	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Real Madrid	Draw	Ath Madrid	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.5%	22.3%	26.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	43.2%	21.0%	33.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.05–1.77 Model expected goals

70.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

69.9% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 8.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-18.2%

1-18.0%

2-27.2%

1-27.0%

3-15.6%

3-24.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Real Madrid	Ath Madrid	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1689	1636	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-30	8	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1519	1536	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	58.8%	50.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	65.6%	48.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1023	1006	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.8%	35.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.4%	64.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Real Madrid	1.00	1.16	0.42	0.68
Ath Madrid	0.74	1.11	0.58	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Real Madrid	2%	10%	28%	25%	35%
Ath Madrid	2%	22%	15%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.80 Real Madrid at home, 10 matches

1.50 Ath Madrid away, 10 matches

196d Days of rest for Real Madrid

196d Days of rest for Ath Madrid

— Manager of Real Madrid

— Manager of Ath Madrid

0 Matches for Real Madrid in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ath Madrid in the last 14 days

6 Points for Real Madrid behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Ath Madrid behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.72 League goals per match

24.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Real Madrid, the right bar represents Ath Madrid.

On the ball

20 matches

16.56

shots

13.5

6.69

shots on target

4.56

40.4%

accuracy

33.8%

6.11

corners

5.44

9.32

fouls

11.58

1.83

yellow cards

2.39

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Real Madrid	LWWWLWWWWW	2.40	2.70–1.10	1L
Ath Madrid	WWWWLWDWLW	2.20	2.10–1.20	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Real Madrid	9	7	3	1	1
Ath Madrid	6	10	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Real Madrid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ath Madrid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12

Video: Inter star Dimarco trains with knee bandage before Real Madrid clash Football Italia 09-07

European football: Lamine Yamal’s double powers Barcelona to rout of Valencia The Guardian 09-06

World Cup wishlists, early movers, big clearouts: 2026 summer transfer window trends The Guardian 09-03