Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

VS Scheduled Thursday 8 Oct 202601:30

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 29

Sao Paulo

Head-to-head overview

23 meetings

CruzeiroWins: 6
Draws13.0% of meetings: 3
Sao PauloWins: 14

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 21.7%
Both teams scored: 30.4%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-04	2026	Sao Paulo4–1Cruzeiro
2025-08-31	2025	Cruzeiro1–0Sao Paulo
2025-04-13	2025	Sao Paulo1–1Cruzeiro
2024-09-15	2024	Cruzeiro0–1Sao Paulo
2024-06-02	2024	Sao Paulo2–0Cruzeiro
2023-11-02	2023	Sao Paulo1–0Cruzeiro
2023-06-25	2023	Cruzeiro1–0Sao Paulo
2019-10-17	2019	Cruzeiro1–0Sao Paulo
2019-06-02	2019	Sao Paulo1–1Cruzeiro
2018-11-18	2018	Sao Paulo1–0Cruzeiro
2018-07-29	2018	Cruzeiro0–2Sao Paulo
2017-08-13	2017	Sao Paulo3–2Cruzeiro
2017-05-14	2017	Cruzeiro1–0Sao Paulo
2016-09-16	2016	Sao Paulo1–0Cruzeiro
2016-06-05	2016	Cruzeiro0–1Sao Paulo
2015-11-08	2015	Cruzeiro2–1Sao Paulo
2015-07-26	2015	Sao Paulo1–0Cruzeiro
2014-09-14	2014	Sao Paulo2–0Cruzeiro
2014-04-27	2014	Cruzeiro1–1Sao Paulo
2013-10-10	2013	Cruzeiro0–2Sao Paulo
2013-07-20	2013	Sao Paulo0–3Cruzeiro
2012-09-23	2012	Sao Paulo1–0Cruzeiro
2012-06-30	2012	Cruzeiro2–3Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vitoria1–3Cruzeiro
2026-09-14	2026	Santos2–1Cruzeiro
2026-09-13	2026	Santos2–1Cruzeiro
2026-09-06	2026	Cruzeiro3–1Athletico-PR
2026-08-30	2026	Vasco3–1Cruzeiro
2026-08-23	2026	Cruzeiro2–1Flamengo RJ
2026-08-16	2026	Corinthians1–2Cruzeiro
2026-08-09	2026	Cruzeiro3–1Mirassol

Sao Paulo

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Sao Paulo1–0Internacional
2026-09-13	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-12	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-05	2026	Sao Paulo2–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-30	2026	Sao Paulo2–1Bragantino
2026-08-23	2026	Chapecoense-SC1–0Sao Paulo
2026-08-16	2026	Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-08	2026	Gremio2–1Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro Sao Paulo

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Cruzeiro

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Cruzeiro	2–1	Flamengo RJ	1	22′ Away
6	Cruzeiro		Palmeiras	2
6	Cruzeiro	3–1	Athletico-PR	3	30′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	1–1	Fluminense	4	43′ Away
6	Cruzeiro		Bahia	5
6 · Cruzeiro
6	Cruzeiro	1–3	Atletico-MG	7	12′ Away
6	Cruzeiro	0–0	Santos	8	–
6	Cruzeiro	1–2	Coritiba	9	19′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	2–1	Bragantino	10	6′ Away
6	Cruzeiro		Sao Paulo	11
6	Cruzeiro	0–1	Botafogo RJ	12	41′ Away
6	Cruzeiro	3–3	Vasco	13	8′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	3–0	Vitoria	14	33′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	3–1	Mirassol	15	12′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	1–1	Corinthians	16	9′ Home
6	Cruzeiro		Internacional	17
6	Cruzeiro	2–0	Gremio	18	51′ Home
6	Cruzeiro		Remo	19
6	Cruzeiro	2–1	Chapecoense-SC	20	27′ Home

Sao Paulo

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	1–1	Sao Paulo	11	57′ Home
2	Palmeiras	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	45+1′ Home
2	Palmeiras	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	—
3	Athletico-PR		Sao Paulo	11
4	Fluminense	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	19′ Home
5	Bahia		Sao Paulo	11
6	Cruzeiro		Sao Paulo	11
7	Atletico-MG	1–0	Sao Paulo	11	64′ Home
8	Santos	1–1	Sao Paulo	11	45+5′ Home
9	Coritiba	0–1	Sao Paulo	11	57′ Away
10	Bragantino	1–2	Sao Paulo	11	36′ Home
11 · Sao Paulo
12	Botafogo RJ		Sao Paulo	11
13	Vasco	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	10′ Away
14	Vitoria	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	35′ Home
15	Mirassol		Sao Paulo	11
16	Corinthians	3–2	Sao Paulo	11	—
17	Internacional	1–1	Sao Paulo	11	23′ Home
18	Gremio	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	—
19	Remo	1–0	Sao Paulo	11	90+4′ Home
20	Chapecoense-SC	1–0	Sao Paulo	11	26′ Home

Cruzeiro Home Sao Paulo Away

Wins

50%

13%

Over 1.5

86%

73%

Over 2.5

64%

33%

Over 3.5

29%

7%

Both teams scored

71%

53%

Clean sheets

21%

7%

Scores first

57%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Cruzeiro

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.79	1.33	1.55
Draws	28.6%	13.3%	20.7%
Goals scored / match	1.71	1.27	1.48
Goals conceded / match	1.14	1.73	1.45
Total goals / match	2.86	3.00	2.93
Failed to score	14.3%	13.3%	13.8%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	26.7%	31.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 8	50%
Scores first → wins	5 of 8	62%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 5	40%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	2
16–30	4	2
31–45	3	5
46–60	3	3
61–75	5	1
76–90	6	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sao Paulo

28 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away15 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.08	0.60	1.29
Draws	23.1%	20.0%	21.4%
Goals scored / match	1.62	0.73	1.14
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.47	1.14
Total goals / match	2.38	2.20	2.29
Failed to score	7.7%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cruzeiro	Draw	Sao Paulo	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.6%	21.0%	23.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	39.1%	25.5%	34.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.43–1.33 Model expected goals

51.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.5% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.0%

1-09.0%

2-18.6%

0-18.4%

1-28.0%

2-06.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cruzeiro	Sao Paulo	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1583	1509	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	19	-10	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1527	1534	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cruzeiro	0.47	1.16	0.84	0.42
Sao Paulo	0.63	0.53	0.37	0.95

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cruzeiro	8%	12%	18%	32%	30%
Sao Paulo	0%	22%	35%	25%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Cruzeiro at home, 9 matches

0.18 Sao Paulo away, 11 matches

18d Days of rest for Cruzeiro

18d Days of rest for Sao Paulo

— Manager of Cruzeiro

— Manager of Sao Paulo

0 Matches for Cruzeiro in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sao Paulo in the last 14 days

18 Points for Cruzeiro behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

27 Points for Sao Paulo behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cruzeiro, the right bar represents Sao Paulo.

On the ball

20 matches

4.79

corners

7.05

14.16

fouls

14.26

3.0

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cruzeiro	WLLWLWWWWL	1.80	1.70–1.30	1W
Sao Paulo	WLLWWLDLDL	1.10	0.90–1.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cruzeiro	4	7	8	2	0
Sao Paulo	9	5	5	0	6

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cruzeiro

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sao Paulo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.