Palmeiras

Palmeiras

VS Scheduled Friday 9 Oct 202601:30

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 29

Bahia

Head-to-head overview

21 meetings

PalmeirasWins: 10
Draws33.3% of meetings: 7
BahiaWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.33
Over 2.5 goals: 38.1%
Both teams scored: 47.6%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-05	2026	Bahia1–2Palmeiras
2025-09-28	2025	Bahia1–0Palmeiras
2025-04-27	2025	Palmeiras0–1Bahia
2024-11-20	2024	Bahia1–2Palmeiras
2024-07-07	2024	Palmeiras2–0Bahia
2023-10-28	2023	Palmeiras1–0Bahia
2023-06-22	2023	Bahia1–0Palmeiras
2021-10-13	2021	Bahia0–0Palmeiras
2021-06-28	2021	Palmeiras3–2Bahia
2020-12-12	2020	Palmeiras3–0Bahia
2020-08-29	2020	Bahia1–1Palmeiras
2019-11-17	2019	Bahia1–1Palmeiras
2019-08-11	2019	Palmeiras2–2Bahia
2018-09-16	2018	Bahia1–1Palmeiras
2018-05-20	2018	Palmeiras3–0Bahia
2017-10-13	2017	Palmeiras2–2Bahia
2017-06-18	2017	Bahia2–4Palmeiras
2014-11-02	2014	Bahia0–1Palmeiras
2014-08-03	2014	Palmeiras1–1Bahia
2012-10-17	2012	Bahia0–1Palmeiras
2012-07-27	2012	Palmeiras0–2Bahia

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Gremio0–0Palmeiras
2026-09-13	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-12	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-06	2026	Botafogo RJ0–0Palmeiras
2026-08-30	2026	Mirassol1–1Palmeiras
2026-08-23	2026	Palmeiras4–1Vasco
2026-08-15	2026	Fluminense3–2Palmeiras
2026-08-09	2026	Palmeiras0–0Internacional

Bahia

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-15	2026	Bahia2–1Remo
2026-09-05	2026	Bragantino2–3Bahia
2026-08-30	2026	Bahia3–2Internacional
2026-08-23	2026	Vitoria0–2Bahia
2026-08-16	2026	Chapecoense-SC3–3Bahia
2026-08-09	2026	Bahia0–0Vasco
2026-07-30	2026	Fluminense0–0Bahia

Palmeiras Bahia

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

62%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Palmeiras

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Palmeiras		Flamengo RJ	1
2 · Palmeiras
2	Palmeiras	1–0	Athletico-PR	3	15′ Home
2	Palmeiras	2–1	Fluminense	4	9′ Home
2	Palmeiras		Bahia	5
2	Palmeiras	1–1	Cruzeiro	6	11′ Away
2	Palmeiras	1–2	Atletico-MG	7	54′ Away
2	Palmeiras	1–1	Santos	8	26′ Away
2	Palmeiras		Coritiba	9
2	Palmeiras		Bragantino	10
2	Palmeiras	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	45+1′ Home
2	Palmeiras	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	—
2	Palmeiras	2–1	Botafogo RJ	12	9′ Home
2	Palmeiras	4–1	Vasco	13	47′ Home
2	Palmeiras	5–1	Vitoria	14	24′ Home
2	Palmeiras	1–0	Mirassol	15	26′ Home
2	Palmeiras		Corinthians	16
2	Palmeiras	0–0	Internacional	17	–
2	Palmeiras	2–1	Gremio	18	44′ Home
2	Palmeiras		Remo	19
2	Palmeiras	1–0	Chapecoense-SC	20	65′ Home

Bahia

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	2–0	Bahia	5	17′ Home
2	Palmeiras		Bahia	5
3	Athletico-PR	2–1	Bahia	5	16′ Home
4	Fluminense	0–0	Bahia	5	–
5 · Bahia
6	Cruzeiro		Bahia	5
7	Atletico-MG	1–1	Bahia	5	45+1′ Home
8	Santos		Bahia	5
9	Coritiba	3–2	Bahia	5	—
10	Bragantino	2–3	Bahia	5	—
11	Sao Paulo	2–2	Bahia	5	17′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ		Bahia	5
13	Vasco	0–1	Bahia	5	22′ Away
14	Vitoria	0–2	Bahia	5	67′ Away
15	Mirassol	1–2	Bahia	5	—
16	Corinthians	1–2	Bahia	5	12′ Home
17	Internacional	0–1	Bahia	5	23′ Away
18	Gremio		Bahia	5
19	Remo	4–1	Bahia	5	32′ Away
20	Chapecoense-SC	3–3	Bahia	5	—

Palmeiras Home Bahia Away

Wins

71%

43%

Over 1.5

71%

79%

Over 2.5

43%

57%

Over 3.5

14%

36%

Both teams scored

57%

64%

Clean sheets

43%

29%

Scores first

71%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Palmeiras

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.36	1.80	2.07
Draws	21.4%	40.0%	31.0%
Goals scored / match	1.79	1.60	1.69
Goals conceded / match	0.64	0.80	0.72
Total goals / match	2.43	2.40	2.41
Failed to score	7.1%	20.0%	13.8%
Under 2.5 goals	57.1%	46.7%	51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	10 of 10	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bahia

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.71	1.57	1.64
Draws	42.9%	28.6%	35.7%
Goals scored / match	1.57	1.50	1.54
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	7.1%	14.3%	10.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	42.9%	46.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Palmeiras	Draw	Bahia	How it works
Strength (Elo)	62.4%	17.7%	19.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	48.8%	27.5%	23.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.39–0.87 Model expected goals

38.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.6%

1-112.6%

0-010.5%

2-010.1%

0-19.1%

2-18.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Palmeiras	Bahia	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1686	1563	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-14	26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1517	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Palmeiras	0.63	0.84	0.21	0.42
Bahia	0.70	0.85	0.75	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Palmeiras	18%	15%	20%	22%	25%
Bahia	5%	10%	32%	28%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Palmeiras at home, 9 matches

1.30 Bahia away, 10 matches

19d Days of rest for Palmeiras

19d Days of rest for Bahia

— Manager of Palmeiras

— Manager of Bahia

0 Matches for Palmeiras in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bahia in the last 14 days

3 Points for Palmeiras behind the leaders, and 28 above the relegation zone

17 Points for Bahia behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Palmeiras, the right bar represents Bahia.

On the ball

20 matches

6.89

corners

5.75

12.68

fouls

13.75

2.8

yellow cards

2.38

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Palmeiras	DWWDDWLDWL	1.60	1.60–0.70	1D
Bahia	LWWWWDDDDD	1.70	1.60–1.20	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Palmeiras	7	11	1	0	0
Bahia	5	8	7	2	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Palmeiras

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bahia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.