Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202601:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 31

Vasco

Head-to-head overview

21 meetings

Sao PauloWins: 10
Draws19.0% of meetings: 4
VascoWins: 7

Goals per match: 2.76
Over 2.5 goals: 47.6%
Both teams scored: 47.6%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-18	2026	Vasco2–1Sao Paulo
2025-11-02	2025	Vasco0–2Sao Paulo
2025-06-13	2025	Sao Paulo1–3Vasco
2024-10-17	2024	Sao Paulo3–0Vasco
2024-06-23	2024	Vasco4–1Sao Paulo
2023-10-07	2023	Vasco0–0Sao Paulo
2023-05-20	2023	Sao Paulo4–2Vasco
2020-11-22	2020	Sao Paulo1–1Vasco
2020-08-16	2020	Vasco2–1Sao Paulo
2019-11-28	2019	Sao Paulo1–0Vasco
2019-08-25	2019	Vasco2–0Sao Paulo
2018-11-22	2018	Vasco2–0Sao Paulo
2018-08-05	2018	Sao Paulo2–1Vasco
2017-11-12	2017	Vasco1–1Sao Paulo
2017-07-20	2017	Sao Paulo1–0Vasco
2015-10-18	2015	Sao Paulo2–2Vasco
2015-07-09	2015	Vasco0–4Sao Paulo
2013-09-15	2013	Vasco0–2Sao Paulo
2013-05-29	2013	Sao Paulo5–1Vasco
2012-10-11	2012	Vasco0–2Sao Paulo
2012-07-19	2012	Sao Paulo0–1Vasco

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Sao Paulo1–0Internacional
2026-09-13	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-12	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-05	2026	Sao Paulo2–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-30	2026	Sao Paulo2–1Bragantino
2026-08-23	2026	Chapecoense-SC1–0Sao Paulo
2026-08-16	2026	Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-08	2026	Gremio2–1Sao Paulo

Vasco

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vasco5–0Coritiba
2026-09-13	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-12	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-06	2026	Fluminense1–0Vasco
2026-08-30	2026	Vasco3–1Cruzeiro
2026-08-23	2026	Palmeiras4–1Vasco
2026-08-16	2026	Vasco0–3Santos
2026-08-09	2026	Bahia0–0Vasco

Sao Paulo Vasco

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Sao Paulo

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Sao Paulo	2–1	Flamengo RJ	1	54′ Away
11	Sao Paulo	0–1	Palmeiras	2	6′ Away
11	Sao Paulo	1–2	Athletico-PR	3	19′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Fluminense	4
11	Sao Paulo	2–2	Bahia	5	17′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	4–1	Cruzeiro	6	12′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	67′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Santos	8
11	Sao Paulo	1–1	Coritiba	9	43′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–1	Bragantino	10	14′ Home
11 · Sao Paulo
11	Sao Paulo	1–1	Botafogo RJ	12	4′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Vasco	13
11	Sao Paulo		Vitoria	14
11	Sao Paulo	1–0	Mirassol	15	76′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Corinthians	16
11	Sao Paulo	1–0	Internacional	17	15′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Gremio	18	24′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Remo	19
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Chapecoense-SC	20	47′ Home

Vasco

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	2–2	Vasco	13	8′ Home
2	Palmeiras	4–1	Vasco	13	47′ Home
3	Athletico-PR		Vasco	13
4	Fluminense	1–0	Vasco	13	61′ Home
5	Bahia	0–0	Vasco	13	–
6	Cruzeiro	3–3	Vasco	13	8′ Home
7	Atletico-MG		Vasco	13
8	Santos	2–1	Vasco	13	25′ Home
9	Coritiba	1–1	Vasco	13	—
10	Bragantino		Vasco	13
11	Sao Paulo		Vasco	13
12	Botafogo RJ		Vasco	13
13 · Vasco
14	Vitoria	1–0	Vasco	13	69′ Home
15	Mirassol	2–1	Vasco	13	—
16	Corinthians	1–0	Vasco	13	38′ Home
17	Internacional	4–1	Vasco	13	21′ Home
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	39′ Home
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	—
19	Remo	1–1	Vasco	13	54′ Away
20	Chapecoense-SC		Vasco	13

Sao Paulo Home Vasco Away

Wins

62%

14%

Over 1.5

77%

71%

Over 2.5

38%

57%

Over 3.5

15%

29%

Both teams scored

54%

71%

Clean sheets

38%

7%

Scores first

85%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Sao Paulo

28 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away15 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.08	0.60	1.29
Draws	23.1%	20.0%	21.4%
Goals scored / match	1.62	0.73	1.14
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.47	1.14
Total goals / match	2.38	2.20	2.29
Failed to score	7.7%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	8 of 11	73%
Scores first → wins	7 of 11	64%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	4	1
16–30	4	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	3	5
61–75	6	1
76–90	2	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Vasco

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.64	0.79	1.21
Draws	14.3%	35.7%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.07	1.29
Goals conceded / match	1.29	1.71	1.50
Total goals / match	2.79	2.79	2.79
Failed to score	28.6%	28.6%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	42.9%	39.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sao Paulo	Draw	Vasco	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.3%	24.0%	27.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	27.4%	26.4%	45.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.05–1.45 Model expected goals

45.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.5% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.5%

0-111.9%

1-29.0%

1-08.7%

0-28.6%

0-08.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sao Paulo	Vasco	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1509	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-10	29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1534	1531	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sao Paulo	0.63	0.53	0.37	0.95
Vasco	0.26	0.84	0.47	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sao Paulo	0%	22%	35%	25%	18%
Vasco	2%	18%	22%	30%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Sao Paulo at home, 9 matches

0.91 Vasco away, 11 matches

27d Days of rest for Sao Paulo

27d Days of rest for Vasco

— Manager of Sao Paulo

— Manager of Vasco

0 Matches for Sao Paulo in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Vasco in the last 14 days

27 Points for Sao Paulo behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

29 Points for Vasco behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sao Paulo, the right bar represents Vasco.

On the ball

20 matches

7.05

corners

5.63

14.26

fouls

12.72

2.5

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sao Paulo	WLLWWLDLDL	1.10	0.90–1.20	1W
Vasco	WWWLWLLDDL	1.40	1.40–1.30	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sao Paulo	9	5	5	0	6
Vasco	4	7	8	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sao Paulo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Vasco

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.