Vitoria

Vitoria

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 32

Athletico-PR

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings

VitoriaWins: 4
Draws15.4% of meetings: 2
Athletico-PRWins: 7

Goals per match: 3.92
Over 2.5 goals: 76.9%
Both teams scored: 76.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-26	2026	Athletico-PR3–1Vitoria
2024-11-02	2024	Athletico-PR1–2Vitoria
2024-06-30	2024	Vitoria0–1Athletico-PR
2018-11-17	2018	Vitoria1–2Athletico-PR
2018-07-29	2018	Athletico-PR4–0Vitoria
2017-10-19	2017	Vitoria2–3Athletico-PR
2017-06-25	2017	Athletico-PR4–1Vitoria
2016-11-06	2016	Vitoria3–2Athletico-PR
2016-07-17	2016	Athletico-PR1–1Vitoria
2014-09-14	2014	Athletico-PR2–0Vitoria
2014-04-27	2014	Vitoria2–2Athletico-PR
2013-09-29	2013	Athletico-PR3–5Vitoria
2013-06-09	2013	Vitoria3–2Athletico-PR

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vitoria1–3Cruzeiro
2026-09-14	2026	Mirassol2–2Vitoria
2026-09-13	2026	Mirassol2–2Vitoria
2026-09-08	2026	Vitoria1–0Gremio
2026-08-29	2026	Atletico-MG2–1Vitoria
2026-08-23	2026	Vitoria0–2Bahia
2026-08-16	2026	Vitoria1–0Botafogo RJ
2026-08-09	2026	Flamengo RJ2–0Vitoria

Athletico-PR

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-13	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-12	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-06	2026	Cruzeiro3–1Athletico-PR
2026-08-30	2026	Athletico-PR3–3Fluminense
2026-08-25	2026	Botafogo RJ2–3Athletico-PR
2026-08-15	2026	Athletico-PR1–1Bragantino
2026-08-09	2026	Santos0–2Athletico-PR

Vitoria Athletico-PR

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Vitoria

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Vitoria	1–2	Flamengo RJ	1	15′ Away
14	Vitoria	0–4	Palmeiras	2	—
14	Vitoria		Athletico-PR	3
14	Vitoria		Fluminense	4
14	Vitoria	0–2	Bahia	5	67′ Away
14	Vitoria	1–3	Cruzeiro	6	39′ Home
14	Vitoria	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	20′ Home
14	Vitoria		Santos	8
14	Vitoria	4–1	Coritiba	9	15′ Home
14	Vitoria		Bragantino	10
14	Vitoria	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	35′ Home
14	Vitoria	1–0	Botafogo RJ	12	27′ Home
14	Vitoria	1–0	Vasco	13	69′ Home
14 · Vitoria
14	Vitoria	1–0	Mirassol	15	28′ Home
14	Vitoria	0–0	Corinthians	16	–
14	Vitoria	2–0	Internacional	17	29′ Home
14	Vitoria	1–0	Gremio	18	63′ Home
14	Vitoria	2–0	Remo	19	58′ Home
14	Vitoria		Chapecoense-SC	20

Athletico-PR

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Athletico-PR	3
2	Palmeiras	1–0	Athletico-PR	3	15′ Home
3 · Athletico-PR
4	Fluminense	3–2	Athletico-PR	3	5′ Away
5	Bahia	3–0	Athletico-PR	3	3′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	3–1	Athletico-PR	3	30′ Home
7	Atletico-MG	2–1	Athletico-PR	3	6′ Home
8	Santos	0–2	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Away
9	Coritiba	3–3	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Away
9	Coritiba	3–3	Athletico-PR	3	—
10	Bragantino	1–1	Athletico-PR	3	43′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	1–2	Athletico-PR	3	19′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ	2–3	Athletico-PR	3	11′ Away
13	Vasco	1–0	Athletico-PR	3	37′ Home
14	Vitoria		Athletico-PR	3
15	Mirassol		Athletico-PR	3
16	Corinthians	0–0	Athletico-PR	3	–
17	Internacional	0–1	Athletico-PR	3	9′ Away
18	Gremio		Athletico-PR	3
19	Remo	1–2	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Home
20	Chapecoense-SC		Athletico-PR	3

Vitoria Home Athletico-PR Away

Wins

64%

33%

Over 1.5

64%

73%

Over 2.5

29%

60%

Over 3.5

21%

33%

Both teams scored

21%

60%

Clean sheets

64%

20%

Scores first

71%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Vitoria

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.40	1.17
Draws	7.1%	40.0%	24.1%
Goals scored / match	1.29	0.80	1.03
Goals conceded / match	0.86	2.13	1.52
Total goals / match	2.14	2.93	2.55
Failed to score	21.4%	40.0%	31.0%
Under 2.5 goals	71.4%	46.7%	58.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	7 of 10	70%
Scores first → wins	9 of 10	90%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Athletico-PR

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.21	1.27	1.72
Draws	28.6%	26.7%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.79	1.40	1.59
Goals conceded / match	0.79	1.60	1.21
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	14.3%	26.7%	20.7%
Under 2.5 goals	57.1%	40.0%	48.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Vitoria	Draw	Athletico-PR	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.8%	26.1%	40.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.5%	18.3%	66.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.83–2.24 Model expected goals

56.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

48.9% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.6%

0-110.4%

1-29.7%

0-38.7%

1-18.7%

1-37.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Vitoria	Athletico-PR	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1466	1572	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	31	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1536	1532	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Vitoria	0.47	0.53	0.53	0.95
Athletico-PR	0.68	0.84	0.53	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Vitoria	10%	20%	30%	10%	30%
Athletico-PR	5%	20%	25%	28%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.90 Vitoria at home, 10 matches

1.36 Athletico-PR away, 11 matches

34d Days of rest for Vitoria

34d Days of rest for Athletico-PR

— Manager of Vitoria

— Manager of Athletico-PR

0 Matches for Vitoria in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Athletico-PR in the last 14 days

29 Points for Vitoria behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Athletico-PR behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Vitoria, the right bar represents Athletico-PR.

On the ball

20 matches

4.67

corners

4.94

12.05

fouls

12.95

2.4

yellow cards

2.71

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Vitoria	LDDWLLWLLL	0.80	0.80–1.90	1L
Athletico-PR	WDDLDWDWDW	1.70	2.00–1.60	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Vitoria	6	6	7	0	2
Athletico-PR	5	10	4	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Vitoria

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Athletico-PR

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.