Mirassol

Mirassol

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 32

Sao Paulo

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings

MirassolWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Sao PauloWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 33.3%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-26	2026	Sao Paulo1–0Mirassol
2025-10-19	2025	Mirassol3–0Sao Paulo
2025-05-24	2025	Sao Paulo0–2Mirassol

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Mirassol2–0Botafogo RJ
2026-09-14	2026	Mirassol2–2Vitoria
2026-09-13	2026	Mirassol2–2Vitoria
2026-09-06	2026	Coritiba1–2Mirassol
2026-09-02	2026	Flamengo RJ2–0Mirassol
2026-08-30	2026	Mirassol1–1Palmeiras
2026-08-23	2026	Santos1–1Mirassol
2026-08-16	2026	Mirassol1–5Flamengo RJ

Sao Paulo

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Sao Paulo1–0Internacional
2026-09-13	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-12	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-05	2026	Sao Paulo2–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-30	2026	Sao Paulo2–1Bragantino
2026-08-23	2026	Chapecoense-SC1–0Sao Paulo
2026-08-16	2026	Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-08	2026	Gremio2–1Sao Paulo

Mirassol Sao Paulo

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Mirassol

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Mirassol	1–5	Flamengo RJ	1	22′ Away
15	Mirassol	1–1	Palmeiras	2	50′ Home
15	Mirassol		Athletico-PR	3
15	Mirassol	1–0	Fluminense	4	36′ Home
15	Mirassol	1–2	Bahia	5	—
15	Mirassol	2–2	Cruzeiro	6	23′ Away
15	Mirassol		Atletico-MG	7
15	Mirassol	2–2	Santos	8	21′ Home
15	Mirassol	0–1	Coritiba	9	64′ Away
15	Mirassol	0–1	Bragantino	10	51′ Away
15	Mirassol		Sao Paulo	11
15	Mirassol	2–0	Botafogo RJ	12	16′ Home
15	Mirassol	2–1	Vasco	13	—
15	Mirassol	2–2	Vitoria	14	3′ Away
15	Mirassol	2–2	Vitoria	14	—
15 · Mirassol
15	Mirassol	2–1	Corinthians	16	23′ Home
15	Mirassol		Internacional	17
15	Mirassol	2–1	Gremio	18	16′ Home
15	Mirassol	2–1	Remo	19	—
15	Mirassol	1–1	Chapecoense-SC	20	—

Sao Paulo

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	1–1	Sao Paulo	11	57′ Home
2	Palmeiras	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	45+1′ Home
2	Palmeiras	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	—
3	Athletico-PR		Sao Paulo	11
4	Fluminense	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	19′ Home
5	Bahia		Sao Paulo	11
6	Cruzeiro		Sao Paulo	11
7	Atletico-MG	1–0	Sao Paulo	11	64′ Home
8	Santos	1–1	Sao Paulo	11	45+5′ Home
9	Coritiba	0–1	Sao Paulo	11	57′ Away
10	Bragantino	1–2	Sao Paulo	11	36′ Home
11 · Sao Paulo
12	Botafogo RJ		Sao Paulo	11
13	Vasco	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	10′ Away
14	Vitoria	2–0	Sao Paulo	11	35′ Home
15	Mirassol		Sao Paulo	11
16	Corinthians	3–2	Sao Paulo	11	—
17	Internacional	1–1	Sao Paulo	11	23′ Home
18	Gremio	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	—
19	Remo	1–0	Sao Paulo	11	90+4′ Home
20	Chapecoense-SC	1–0	Sao Paulo	11	26′ Home

Mirassol Home Sao Paulo Away

Wins

38%

13%

Over 1.5

81%

73%

Over 2.5

62%

33%

Over 3.5

31%

7%

Both teams scored

75%

53%

Clean sheets

12%

7%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Mirassol

29 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away13 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.69	1.14
Draws	37.5%	23.1%	31.0%
Goals scored / match	1.44	0.92	1.21
Goals conceded / match	1.44	1.62	1.52
Total goals / match	2.88	2.54	2.72
Failed to score	12.5%	38.5%	24.1%
Under 2.5 goals	37.5%	53.8%	44.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sao Paulo

28 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away15 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.08	0.60	1.29
Draws	23.1%	20.0%	21.4%
Goals scored / match	1.62	0.73	1.14
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.47	1.14
Total goals / match	2.38	2.20	2.29
Failed to score	7.7%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mirassol	Draw	Sao Paulo	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.2%	24.4%	28.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	27.5%	25.4%	46.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.11–1.54 Model expected goals

48.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.1%

0-110.8%

1-29.3%

0-28.3%

1-07.9%

0-07.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mirassol	Sao Paulo	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1520	1509	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	1	-10	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1531	1534	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mirassol	0.79	0.42	0.42	1.05
Sao Paulo	0.63	0.53	0.37	0.95

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mirassol	2%	20%	22%	28%	28%
Sao Paulo	0%	22%	35%	25%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 Mirassol at home, 11 matches

0.18 Sao Paulo away, 11 matches

35d Days of rest for Mirassol

34d Days of rest for Sao Paulo

— Manager of Mirassol

— Manager of Sao Paulo

0 Matches for Mirassol in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sao Paulo in the last 14 days

30 Points for Mirassol behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

27 Points for Sao Paulo behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mirassol, the right bar represents Sao Paulo.

On the ball

20 matches

5.06

corners

7.05

13.16

fouls

14.26

3.0

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mirassol	WDDWLDDLLW	1.30	1.40–1.80	1W
Sao Paulo	WLLWWLDLDL	1.10	0.90–1.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mirassol	8	8	3	0	3
Sao Paulo	9	5	5	0	6

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mirassol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sao Paulo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.