Coritiba

Coritiba

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 32

Gremio

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings

CoritibaWins: 6
Draws23.5% of meetings: 4
GremioWins: 7

Goals per match: 2.41
Over 2.5 goals: 41.2%
Both teams scored: 41.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-26	2026	Gremio1–0Coritiba
2023-11-01	2023	Coritiba1–2Gremio
2023-06-25	2023	Gremio5–1Coritiba
2021-01-31	2020	Coritiba1–1Gremio
2020-10-07	2020	Gremio2–1Coritiba
2017-10-15	2017	Coritiba0–1Gremio
2017-06-23	2017	Gremio2–0Coritiba
2016-09-08	2016	Coritiba4–0Gremio
2016-05-29	2016	Gremio2–0Coritiba
2015-08-30	2015	Gremio0–0Coritiba
2015-05-16	2015	Coritiba2–0Gremio
2014-10-25	2014	Coritiba1–1Gremio
2014-07-27	2014	Gremio2–3Coritiba
2013-10-27	2013	Coritiba4–0Gremio
2013-08-09	2013	Gremio0–1Coritiba
2012-10-20	2012	Gremio0–0Coritiba
2012-07-28	2012	Coritiba2–1Gremio

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vasco5–0Coritiba
2026-09-13	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-12	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-06	2026	Coritiba1–2Mirassol
2026-09-01	2026	Remo2–3Coritiba
2026-08-23	2026	Coritiba2–1Corinthians
2026-08-16	2026	Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-09	2026	Coritiba2–1Chapecoense-SC

Gremio

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Gremio0–0Palmeiras
2026-09-16	2026	Botafogo RJ3–2Gremio
2026-09-13	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-12	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-08	2026	Vitoria1–0Gremio
2026-08-30	2026	Gremio3–1Chapecoense-SC
2026-08-23	2026	Bragantino1–0Gremio
2026-08-16	2026	Atletico-MG3–0Gremio

Coritiba Gremio

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Coritiba

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Coritiba		Flamengo RJ	1
9	Coritiba	1–3	Palmeiras	2	9′ Away
9	Coritiba	3–3	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Away
9	Coritiba	3–3	Athletico-PR	3	—
9	Coritiba	1–1	Fluminense	4	74′ Home
9	Coritiba	3–2	Bahia	5	—
9	Coritiba	0–1	Cruzeiro	6	66′ Away
9	Coritiba	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	7′ Home
9	Coritiba		Santos	8
9 · Coritiba
9	Coritiba	0–1	Bragantino	10	90+3′ Away
9	Coritiba	0–1	Sao Paulo	11	57′ Away
9	Coritiba		Botafogo RJ	12
9	Coritiba	1–1	Vasco	13	—
9	Coritiba		Vitoria	14
9	Coritiba	1–2	Mirassol	15	61′ Home
9	Coritiba	2–1	Corinthians	16	40′ Home
9	Coritiba	2–2	Internacional	17	28′ Home
9	Coritiba		Gremio	18
9	Coritiba	1–0	Remo	19	24′ Home
9	Coritiba	2–1	Chapecoense-SC	20	31′ Home

Gremio

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Gremio	18
2	Palmeiras	2–1	Gremio	18	44′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	0–0	Gremio	18	–
4	Fluminense	2–1	Gremio	18	46′ Home
5	Bahia	1–1	Gremio	18	62′ Away
6	Cruzeiro	2–0	Gremio	18	51′ Home
7	Atletico-MG	3–0	Gremio	18	19′ Home
8	Santos		Gremio	18
9	Coritiba		Gremio	18
10	Bragantino	1–0	Gremio	18	90+5′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Gremio	18	24′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ	3–2	Gremio	18	30′ Home
13	Vasco	2–1	Gremio	18	7′ Home
14	Vitoria	1–0	Gremio	18	63′ Home
15	Mirassol	2–1	Gremio	18	16′ Home
16	Corinthians		Gremio	18
17	Internacional	0–0	Gremio	18	–
18 · Gremio
19	Remo		Gremio	18
20	Chapecoense-SC	1–1	Gremio	18	28′ Home

Coritiba Home Gremio Away

Wins

33%

0%

Over 1.5

73%

71%

Over 2.5

53%

43%

Over 3.5

33%

7%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

13%

14%

Scores first

N/A

7%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Coritiba

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.36	1.34
Draws	33.3%	28.6%	31.0%
Goals scored / match	1.47	1.29	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.47	1.71	1.59
Total goals / match	2.93	3.00	2.97
Failed to score	20.0%	35.7%	27.6%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	42.9%	44.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Gremio

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.29	1.00
Draws	26.7%	28.6%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.53	0.57	1.07
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.57	1.38
Total goals / match	2.73	2.14	2.45
Failed to score	20.0%	50.0%	34.5%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	57.1%	51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 11	0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	5
31–45	3	3
46–60	1	5
61–75	2	6
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Coritiba	Draw	Gremio	How it works
Strength (Elo)	49.4%	23.6%	27.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	33.1%	25.4%	40.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.29–1.46 Model expected goals

51.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.0%

0-19.3%

1-28.8%

1-08.2%

2-17.7%

0-26.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Coritiba	Gremio	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1481	1453	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-9	-37	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1533	1518	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Coritiba	0.53	0.89	0.63	1.16
Gremio	0.37	0.47	0.42	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Coritiba	2%	22%	22%	25%	28%
Gremio	10%	12%	25%	25%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.45 Coritiba at home, 11 matches

0.33 Gremio away, 9 matches

34d Days of rest for Coritiba

34d Days of rest for Gremio

Fernando Seabra Manager of Coritiba, since 28/11/25

— Manager of Gremio

0 Matches for Coritiba in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Gremio in the last 14 days

24 Points for Coritiba behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

34 Points for Gremio behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Coritiba, the right bar represents Gremio.

On the ball

20 matches

3.79

corners

4.39

10.47

fouls

13.58

1.92

yellow cards

2.89

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Coritiba	LDDLWWDWLD	1.30	1.50–1.90	1L
Gremio	DLLLLWLLWD	0.80	1.00–1.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Coritiba	6	5	8	1	2
Gremio	3	13	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Coritiba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Gremio

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.