Gremio

Gremio

VS Scheduled Wednesday 28 Oct 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 33

Athletico-PR

Head-to-head overview

23 meetings

GremioWins: 12
Draws17.4% of meetings: 4
Athletico-PRWins: 7

Goals per match: 1.96
Over 2.5 goals: 34.8%
Both teams scored: 39.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-03	2026	Athletico-PR0–0Gremio
2024-08-04	2024	Athletico-PR0–2Gremio
2024-04-17	2024	Gremio2–0Athletico-PR
2023-10-18	2023	Gremio1–2Athletico-PR
2023-05-27	2023	Athletico-PR1–2Gremio
2021-09-26	2021	Athletico-PR4–2Gremio
2021-06-13	2021	Gremio0–1Athletico-PR
2021-02-21	2020	Gremio1–0Athletico-PR
2020-10-25	2020	Athletico-PR1–2Gremio
2019-11-28	2019	Athletico-PR2–0Gremio
2019-08-24	2019	Gremio2–1Athletico-PR
2018-08-25	2018	Athletico-PR2–1Gremio
2018-04-22	2018	Gremio0–0Athletico-PR
2017-08-20	2017	Gremio0–0Athletico-PR
2017-05-21	2017	Athletico-PR0–2Gremio
2016-10-14	2016	Gremio1–0Athletico-PR
2016-06-26	2016	Athletico-PR2–0Gremio
2015-09-17	2015	Athletico-PR1–2Gremio
2015-06-14	2015	Gremio2–1Athletico-PR
2014-09-10	2014	Gremio1–0Athletico-PR
2014-04-20	2014	Athletico-PR1–0Gremio
2013-10-02	2013	Gremio1–0Athletico-PR
2013-07-06	2013	Athletico-PR1–1Gremio

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Gremio0–0Palmeiras
2026-09-16	2026	Botafogo RJ3–2Gremio
2026-09-13	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-12	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-08	2026	Vitoria1–0Gremio
2026-08-30	2026	Gremio3–1Chapecoense-SC
2026-08-23	2026	Bragantino1–0Gremio
2026-08-16	2026	Atletico-MG3–0Gremio

Athletico-PR

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-13	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-12	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-06	2026	Cruzeiro3–1Athletico-PR
2026-08-30	2026	Athletico-PR3–3Fluminense
2026-08-25	2026	Botafogo RJ2–3Athletico-PR
2026-08-15	2026	Athletico-PR1–1Bragantino
2026-08-09	2026	Santos0–2Athletico-PR

Gremio Athletico-PR

Wins

12%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Gremio

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Gremio	0–1	Flamengo RJ	1	68′ Away
18	Gremio	0–0	Palmeiras	2	–
18	Gremio		Athletico-PR	3
18	Gremio	1–1	Fluminense	4	65′ Away
18	Gremio		Bahia	5
18	Gremio		Cruzeiro	6
18	Gremio	2–1	Atletico-MG	7	51′ Home
18	Gremio	3–2	Santos	8	32′ Away
18	Gremio	1–0	Coritiba	9	43′ Home
18	Gremio	1–1	Bragantino	10	7′ Home
18	Gremio	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	—
18	Gremio	5–3	Botafogo RJ	12	17′ Away
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	39′ Home
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	—
18	Gremio	2–0	Vitoria	14	—
18	Gremio		Mirassol	15
18	Gremio	1–3	Corinthians	16	7′ Home
18	Gremio		Internacional	17
18 · Gremio
18	Gremio	0–0	Remo	19	–
18	Gremio	3–1	Chapecoense-SC	20	15′ Away

Athletico-PR

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Athletico-PR	3
2	Palmeiras	1–0	Athletico-PR	3	15′ Home
3 · Athletico-PR
4	Fluminense	3–2	Athletico-PR	3	5′ Away
5	Bahia	3–0	Athletico-PR	3	3′ Home
6	Cruzeiro	3–1	Athletico-PR	3	30′ Home
7	Atletico-MG	2–1	Athletico-PR	3	6′ Home
8	Santos	0–2	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Away
9	Coritiba	3–3	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Away
9	Coritiba	3–3	Athletico-PR	3	—
10	Bragantino	1–1	Athletico-PR	3	43′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	1–2	Athletico-PR	3	19′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ	2–3	Athletico-PR	3	11′ Away
13	Vasco	1–0	Athletico-PR	3	37′ Home
14	Vitoria		Athletico-PR	3
15	Mirassol		Athletico-PR	3
16	Corinthians	0–0	Athletico-PR	3	–
17	Internacional	0–1	Athletico-PR	3	9′ Away
18	Gremio		Athletico-PR	3
19	Remo	1–2	Athletico-PR	3	14′ Home
20	Chapecoense-SC		Athletico-PR	3

Gremio Home Athletico-PR Away

Wins

47%

33%

Over 1.5

73%

Over 2.5

53%

60%

Over 3.5

27%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

60%

Clean sheets

27%

20%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Gremio

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.29	1.00
Draws	26.7%	28.6%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.53	0.57	1.07
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.57	1.38
Total goals / match	2.73	2.14	2.45
Failed to score	20.0%	50.0%	34.5%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	57.1%	51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Athletico-PR

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.21	1.27	1.72
Draws	28.6%	26.7%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.79	1.40	1.59
Goals conceded / match	0.79	1.60	1.21
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	14.3%	26.7%	20.7%
Under 2.5 goals	57.1%	40.0%	48.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Gremio	Draw	Athletico-PR	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.5%	25.9%	41.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.1%	20.6%	65.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.67–1.94 Model expected goals

47.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.2%

0-213.8%

1-19.6%

1-29.3%

0-38.9%

0-07.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Gremio	Athletico-PR	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1453	1572	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-37	31	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1518	1532	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Gremio	0.37	0.47	0.42	0.84
Athletico-PR	0.68	0.84	0.53	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Gremio	10%	12%	25%	25%	28%
Athletico-PR	5%	20%	25%	28%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.36 Gremio at home, 11 matches

1.36 Athletico-PR away, 11 matches

38d Days of rest for Gremio

38d Days of rest for Athletico-PR

— Manager of Gremio

— Manager of Athletico-PR

0 Matches for Gremio in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Athletico-PR in the last 14 days

34 Points for Gremio behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Athletico-PR behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Gremio, the right bar represents Athletico-PR.

On the ball

20 matches

4.39

corners

4.94

13.58

fouls

12.95

2.89

yellow cards

2.71

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Gremio	DLLLLWLLWD	0.80	1.00–1.50	1D
Athletico-PR	WDDLDWDWDW	1.70	2.00–1.60	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Gremio	3	13	3	1	1
Athletico-PR	5	10	4	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Gremio

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Athletico-PR

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.