Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

VS Scheduled Wednesday 4 Nov 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 34

Vasco

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings

Athletico-PRWins: 9
Draws23.5% of meetings: 4
VascoWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.12
Over 2.5 goals: 29.4%
Both teams scored: 35.3%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-11	2026	Vasco1–0Athletico-PR
2024-08-27	2024	Vasco2–1Athletico-PR
2024-05-05	2024	Athletico-PR1–0Vasco
2023-11-25	2023	Athletico-PR0–0Vasco
2023-07-23	2023	Vasco0–2Athletico-PR
2020-12-27	2020	Athletico-PR3–0Vasco
2020-09-06	2020	Vasco1–0Athletico-PR
2019-09-22	2019	Vasco1–1Athletico-PR
2019-04-28	2019	Athletico-PR4–1Vasco
2018-11-14	2018	Vasco1–1Athletico-PR
2018-08-29	2018	Athletico-PR1–0Vasco
2017-11-19	2017	Athletico-PR3–1Vasco
2017-08-01	2017	Vasco0–1Athletico-PR
2015-09-13	2015	Vasco2–0Athletico-PR
2015-06-07	2015	Athletico-PR2–0Vasco
2013-12-08	2013	Athletico-PR5–1Vasco
2013-09-08	2013	Vasco0–0Athletico-PR

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-13	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-12	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-06	2026	Cruzeiro3–1Athletico-PR
2026-08-30	2026	Athletico-PR3–3Fluminense
2026-08-25	2026	Botafogo RJ2–3Athletico-PR
2026-08-15	2026	Athletico-PR1–1Bragantino
2026-08-09	2026	Santos0–2Athletico-PR

Vasco

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vasco5–0Coritiba
2026-09-13	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-12	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-06	2026	Fluminense1–0Vasco
2026-08-30	2026	Vasco3–1Cruzeiro
2026-08-23	2026	Palmeiras4–1Vasco
2026-08-16	2026	Vasco0–3Santos
2026-08-09	2026	Bahia0–0Vasco

Athletico-PR Vasco

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Both teams scored

88%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Athletico-PR

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Athletico-PR	1–1	Flamengo RJ	1	11′ Home
3	Athletico-PR		Palmeiras	2
3 · Athletico-PR
3	Athletico-PR	3–3	Fluminense	4	35′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	2–1	Bahia	5	16′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	2–1	Cruzeiro	6	1′ Home
3	Athletico-PR		Atletico-MG	7
3	Athletico-PR	2–1	Santos	8	6′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	2–0	Coritiba	9	22′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	1–1	Bragantino	10	67′ Away
3	Athletico-PR		Sao Paulo	11
3	Athletico-PR	4–1	Botafogo RJ	12	4′ Home
3	Athletico-PR		Vasco	13
3	Athletico-PR	3–1	Vitoria	14	22′ Away
3	Athletico-PR	1–0	Mirassol	15	88′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	0–1	Corinthians	16	20′ Away
3	Athletico-PR	2–0	Internacional	17	45+1′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	0–0	Gremio	18	–
3	Athletico-PR		Remo	19
3	Athletico-PR	2–0	Chapecoense-SC	20	57′ Home

Vasco

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	2–2	Vasco	13	8′ Home
2	Palmeiras	4–1	Vasco	13	47′ Home
3	Athletico-PR		Vasco	13
4	Fluminense	1–0	Vasco	13	61′ Home
5	Bahia	0–0	Vasco	13	–
6	Cruzeiro	3–3	Vasco	13	8′ Home
7	Atletico-MG		Vasco	13
8	Santos	2–1	Vasco	13	25′ Home
9	Coritiba	1–1	Vasco	13	—
10	Bragantino		Vasco	13
11	Sao Paulo		Vasco	13
12	Botafogo RJ		Vasco	13
13 · Vasco
14	Vitoria	1–0	Vasco	13	69′ Home
15	Mirassol	2–1	Vasco	13	—
16	Corinthians	1–0	Vasco	13	38′ Home
17	Internacional	4–1	Vasco	13	21′ Home
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	39′ Home
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	—
19	Remo	1–1	Vasco	13	54′ Away
20	Chapecoense-SC		Vasco	13

Athletico-PR Home Vasco Away

Wins

64%

14%

Over 1.5

79%

71%

Over 2.5

43%

57%

Over 3.5

21%

29%

Both teams scored

57%

71%

Clean sheets

36%

7%

Scores first

71%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Athletico-PR

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.21	1.27	1.72
Draws	28.6%	26.7%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.79	1.40	1.59
Goals conceded / match	0.79	1.60	1.21
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	14.3%	26.7%	20.7%
Under 2.5 goals	57.1%	40.0%	48.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 10	50%
Scores first → wins	8 of 10	80%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	5	0
16–30	2	4
31–45	4	2
46–60	5	1
61–75	2	2
76–90	7	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Vasco

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.64	0.79	1.21
Draws	14.3%	35.7%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.07	1.29
Goals conceded / match	1.29	1.71	1.50
Total goals / match	2.79	2.79	2.79
Failed to score	28.6%	28.6%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	42.9%	39.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Athletico-PR	Draw	Vasco	How it works
Strength (Elo)	57.0%	20.4%	22.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	42.6%	25.0%	31.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.53–1.29 Model expected goals

52.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.8%

1-09.2%

2-19.0%

0-17.7%

1-27.6%

2-07.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Athletico-PR	Vasco	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1572	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	31	29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1532	1531	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Athletico-PR	0.68	0.84	0.53	0.58
Vasco	0.26	0.84	0.47	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Athletico-PR	5%	20%	25%	28%	22%
Vasco	2%	18%	22%	30%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Athletico-PR at home, 9 matches

0.91 Vasco away, 11 matches

45d Days of rest for Athletico-PR

45d Days of rest for Vasco

— Manager of Athletico-PR

— Manager of Vasco

0 Matches for Athletico-PR in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Vasco in the last 14 days

13 Points for Athletico-PR behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

29 Points for Vasco behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Athletico-PR, the right bar represents Vasco.

On the ball

20 matches

4.94

corners

5.63

12.95

fouls

12.72

2.71

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Athletico-PR	WDDLDWDWDW	1.70	2.00–1.60	1W
Vasco	WWWLWLLDDL	1.40	1.40–1.30	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Athletico-PR	5	10	4	1	2
Vasco	4	7	8	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Athletico-PR

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Vasco

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.