Gremio

Gremio

VS Scheduled Wednesday 18 Nov 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 35

Bahia

Head-to-head overview

23 meetings

GremioWins: 11
Draws17.4% of meetings: 4
BahiaWins: 8

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 30.4%
Both teams scored: 30.4%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-17	2026	Bahia1–1Gremio
2025-10-20	2025	Bahia4–0Gremio
2025-05-25	2025	Gremio1–0Bahia
2024-08-17	2024	Gremio0–2Bahia
2024-04-28	2024	Bahia1–0Gremio
2023-11-04	2023	Gremio1–0Bahia
2023-07-01	2023	Bahia1–2Gremio
2021-11-26	2021	Bahia3–1Gremio
2021-08-21	2021	Gremio2–0Bahia
2021-01-06	2020	Gremio2–1Bahia
2020-09-10	2020	Bahia0–2Gremio
2019-10-16	2019	Gremio0–1Bahia
2019-06-01	2019	Bahia1–0Gremio
2018-10-07	2018	Gremio2–2Bahia
2018-06-03	2018	Bahia0–2Gremio
2017-09-24	2017	Bahia1–0Gremio
2017-06-13	2017	Gremio1–0Bahia
2014-11-30	2014	Bahia1–0Gremio
2014-08-31	2014	Gremio1–0Bahia
2013-11-03	2013	Gremio0–0Bahia
2013-08-11	2013	Bahia0–3Gremio
2012-10-27	2012	Bahia1–1Gremio
2012-08-05	2012	Gremio3–1Bahia

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Gremio0–0Palmeiras
2026-09-16	2026	Botafogo RJ3–2Gremio
2026-09-13	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-12	2026	Gremio1–2Vasco
2026-09-08	2026	Vitoria1–0Gremio
2026-08-30	2026	Gremio3–1Chapecoense-SC
2026-08-23	2026	Bragantino1–0Gremio
2026-08-16	2026	Atletico-MG3–0Gremio

Bahia

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-15	2026	Bahia2–1Remo
2026-09-05	2026	Bragantino2–3Bahia
2026-08-30	2026	Bahia3–2Internacional
2026-08-23	2026	Vitoria0–2Bahia
2026-08-16	2026	Chapecoense-SC3–3Bahia
2026-08-09	2026	Bahia0–0Vasco
2026-07-30	2026	Fluminense0–0Bahia

Gremio Bahia

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Gremio

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Gremio	0–1	Flamengo RJ	1	68′ Away
18	Gremio	0–0	Palmeiras	2	–
18	Gremio		Athletico-PR	3
18	Gremio	1–1	Fluminense	4	65′ Away
18	Gremio		Bahia	5
18	Gremio		Cruzeiro	6
18	Gremio	2–1	Atletico-MG	7	51′ Home
18	Gremio	3–2	Santos	8	32′ Away
18	Gremio	1–0	Coritiba	9	43′ Home
18	Gremio	1–1	Bragantino	10	7′ Home
18	Gremio	2–1	Sao Paulo	11	—
18	Gremio	5–3	Botafogo RJ	12	17′ Away
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	39′ Home
18	Gremio	1–2	Vasco	13	—
18	Gremio	2–0	Vitoria	14	—
18	Gremio		Mirassol	15
18	Gremio	1–3	Corinthians	16	7′ Home
18	Gremio		Internacional	17
18 · Gremio
18	Gremio	0–0	Remo	19	–
18	Gremio	3–1	Chapecoense-SC	20	15′ Away

Bahia

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	2–0	Bahia	5	17′ Home
2	Palmeiras		Bahia	5
3	Athletico-PR	2–1	Bahia	5	16′ Home
4	Fluminense	0–0	Bahia	5	–
5 · Bahia
6	Cruzeiro		Bahia	5
7	Atletico-MG	1–1	Bahia	5	45+1′ Home
8	Santos		Bahia	5
9	Coritiba	3–2	Bahia	5	—
10	Bragantino	2–3	Bahia	5	—
11	Sao Paulo	2–2	Bahia	5	17′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ		Bahia	5
13	Vasco	0–1	Bahia	5	22′ Away
14	Vitoria	0–2	Bahia	5	67′ Away
15	Mirassol	1–2	Bahia	5	—
16	Corinthians	1–2	Bahia	5	12′ Home
17	Internacional	0–1	Bahia	5	23′ Away
18	Gremio		Bahia	5
19	Remo	4–1	Bahia	5	32′ Away
20	Chapecoense-SC	3–3	Bahia	5	—

Gremio Home Bahia Away

Wins

47%

43%

Over 1.5

73%

79%

Over 2.5

53%

57%

Over 3.5

27%

36%

Both teams scored

67%

64%

Clean sheets

27%

29%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Gremio

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.29	1.00
Draws	26.7%	28.6%	27.6%
Goals scored / match	1.53	0.57	1.07
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.57	1.38
Total goals / match	2.73	2.14	2.45
Failed to score	20.0%	50.0%	34.5%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	57.1%	51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bahia

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.71	1.57	1.64
Draws	42.9%	28.6%	35.7%
Goals scored / match	1.57	1.50	1.54
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	7.1%	14.3%	10.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	42.9%	46.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Gremio	Draw	Bahia	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.3%	26.1%	40.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.0%	21.7%	61.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–1.88 Model expected goals

48.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.1%

0-212.3%

1-110.3%

1-29.7%

0-37.7%

0-07.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Gremio	Bahia	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1453	1563	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-37	26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1518	1517	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Gremio	0.37	0.47	0.42	0.84
Bahia	0.70	0.85	0.75	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Gremio	10%	12%	25%	25%	28%
Bahia	5%	10%	32%	28%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.36 Gremio at home, 11 matches

1.30 Bahia away, 10 matches

59d Days of rest for Gremio

59d Days of rest for Bahia

— Manager of Gremio

— Manager of Bahia

0 Matches for Gremio in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bahia in the last 14 days

34 Points for Gremio behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

17 Points for Bahia behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Gremio, the right bar represents Bahia.

On the ball

20 matches

4.39

corners

5.75

13.58

fouls

13.75

2.89

yellow cards

2.38

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Gremio	DLLLLWLLWD	0.80	1.00–1.50	1D
Bahia	LWWWWDDDDD	1.70	1.60–1.20	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Gremio	3	13	3	1	1
Bahia	5	8	7	2	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Gremio

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bahia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.