Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

VS Scheduled Wednesday 18 Nov 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 35

Fluminense

Head-to-head overview

29 meetings

Sao PauloWins: 9
Draws24.1% of meetings: 7
FluminenseWins: 13

Goals per match: 2.86
Over 2.5 goals: 62.1%
Both teams scored: 72.4%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-16	2026	Fluminense2–1Sao Paulo
2025-11-27	2025	Fluminense6–0Sao Paulo
2025-07-27	2025	Sao Paulo3–1Fluminense
2024-09-01	2024	Fluminense2–0Sao Paulo
2024-05-14	2024	Sao Paulo2–1Fluminense
2023-11-23	2023	Fluminense1–0Sao Paulo
2023-07-01	2023	Sao Paulo1–0Fluminense
2022-11-05	2022	Fluminense3–1Sao Paulo
2022-07-17	2022	Sao Paulo2–2Fluminense
2021-09-13	2021	Fluminense2–1Sao Paulo
2021-05-30	2021	Sao Paulo0–0Fluminense
2020-12-27	2020	Fluminense1–2Sao Paulo
2020-09-06	2020	Sao Paulo3–1Fluminense
2019-11-07	2019	Sao Paulo0–2Fluminense
2019-07-27	2019	Fluminense1–2Sao Paulo
2018-09-02	2018	Sao Paulo1–1Fluminense
2018-04-29	2018	Fluminense1–1Sao Paulo
2017-10-19	2017	Fluminense3–1Sao Paulo
2017-06-25	2017	Sao Paulo1–1Fluminense
2016-10-17	2016	Fluminense1–2Sao Paulo
2016-06-30	2016	Sao Paulo2–1Fluminense
2015-10-15	2015	Fluminense2–0Sao Paulo
2015-07-05	2015	Sao Paulo0–0Fluminense
2014-09-28	2014	Sao Paulo1–3Fluminense
2014-05-22	2014	Fluminense5–2Sao Paulo
2013-11-17	2013	Fluminense2–1Sao Paulo
2013-08-25	2013	Sao Paulo2–1Fluminense
2012-11-04	2012	Sao Paulo1–1Fluminense
2012-08-10	2012	Fluminense2–1Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Sao Paulo1–0Internacional
2026-09-13	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-12	2026	Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-05	2026	Sao Paulo2–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-30	2026	Sao Paulo2–1Bragantino
2026-08-23	2026	Chapecoense-SC1–0Sao Paulo
2026-08-16	2026	Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-08	2026	Gremio2–1Sao Paulo

Fluminense

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Corinthians1–3Fluminense
2026-09-13	2026	Atletico-MG3–1Fluminense
2026-09-12	2026	Atletico-MG3–1Fluminense
2026-09-06	2026	Fluminense1–0Vasco
2026-08-30	2026	Athletico-PR3–3Fluminense
2026-08-22	2026	Fluminense2–1Remo
2026-08-15	2026	Fluminense3–2Palmeiras
2026-08-09	2026	Botafogo RJ1–1Fluminense

Sao Paulo Fluminense

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Sao Paulo

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Sao Paulo	2–1	Flamengo RJ	1	54′ Away
11	Sao Paulo	0–1	Palmeiras	2	6′ Away
11	Sao Paulo	1–2	Athletico-PR	3	19′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Fluminense	4
11	Sao Paulo	2–2	Bahia	5	17′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	4–1	Cruzeiro	6	12′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	67′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Santos	8
11	Sao Paulo	1–1	Coritiba	9	43′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–1	Bragantino	10	14′ Home
11 · Sao Paulo
11	Sao Paulo	1–1	Botafogo RJ	12	4′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Vasco	13
11	Sao Paulo		Vitoria	14
11	Sao Paulo	1–0	Mirassol	15	76′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Corinthians	16
11	Sao Paulo	1–0	Internacional	17	15′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Gremio	18	24′ Home
11	Sao Paulo		Remo	19
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Chapecoense-SC	20	47′ Home

Fluminense

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Fluminense	4
2	Palmeiras	2–1	Fluminense	4	9′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	3–3	Fluminense	4	35′ Home
4 · Fluminense
5	Bahia	1–1	Fluminense	4	20′ Away
6	Cruzeiro	1–1	Fluminense	4	43′ Away
7	Atletico-MG	3–1	Fluminense	4	61′ Home
7	Atletico-MG	3–1	Fluminense	4	—
8	Santos	2–3	Fluminense	4	9′ Home
9	Coritiba	1–1	Fluminense	4	74′ Home
10	Bragantino		Fluminense	4
11	Sao Paulo		Fluminense	4
12	Botafogo RJ	1–1	Fluminense	4	44′ Home
13	Vasco	3–2	Fluminense	4	1′ Away
14	Vitoria		Fluminense	4
15	Mirassol	1–0	Fluminense	4	36′ Home
16	Corinthians	1–3	Fluminense	4	24′ Away
17	Internacional	2–0	Fluminense	4	39′ Home
18	Gremio	1–1	Fluminense	4	65′ Away
19	Remo	0–2	Fluminense	4	16′ Away
20	Chapecoense-SC		Fluminense	4

Sao Paulo Home Fluminense Away

Wins

62%

20%

Over 1.5

77%

93%

Over 2.5

38%

47%

Over 3.5

15%

40%

Both teams scored

54%

80%

Clean sheets

38%

7%

Scores first

85%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Sao Paulo

28 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away15 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.08	0.60	1.29
Draws	23.1%	20.0%	21.4%
Goals scored / match	1.62	0.73	1.14
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.47	1.14
Total goals / match	2.38	2.20	2.29
Failed to score	7.7%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	8 of 11	73%
Scores first → wins	7 of 11	64%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	4	1
16–30	4	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	3	5
61–75	6	1
76–90	2	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Fluminense

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.36	1.00	1.66
Draws	21.4%	40.0%	31.0%
Goals scored / match	1.71	1.40	1.55
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.67	1.34
Total goals / match	2.71	3.07	2.90
Failed to score	7.1%	13.3%	10.3%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	53.3%	44.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sao Paulo	Draw	Fluminense	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.7%	26.4%	36.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.6%	22.9%	54.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.05–1.82 Model expected goals

53.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.8%

0-110.3%

1-29.9%

0-29.4%

1-36.0%

1-05.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sao Paulo	Fluminense	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1509	1586	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-10	9	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1534	1528	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sao Paulo	0.63	0.53	0.37	0.95
Fluminense	0.42	1.05	0.47	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sao Paulo	0%	22%	35%	25%	18%
Fluminense	8%	18%	28%	20%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Sao Paulo at home, 9 matches

1.00 Fluminense away, 11 matches

59d Days of rest for Sao Paulo

59d Days of rest for Fluminense

— Manager of Sao Paulo

Luis Zubeldía Manager of Fluminense, since 23/09/25

0 Matches for Sao Paulo in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Fluminense in the last 14 days

27 Points for Sao Paulo behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Fluminense behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sao Paulo, the right bar represents Fluminense.

On the ball

20 matches

7.05

corners

5.58

14.26

fouls

12.89

2.5

yellow cards

2.88

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sao Paulo	WLLWWLDLDL	1.10	0.90–1.20	1W
Fluminense	WLLWDWWDDD	1.60	1.60–1.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sao Paulo	9	5	5	0	6
Fluminense	4	9	6	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sao Paulo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Fluminense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.