Bahia

Bahia

VS Scheduled Saturday 21 Nov 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 36

Coritiba

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings

BahiaWins: 4
Draws46.2% of meetings: 6
CoritibaWins: 3

Goals per match: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals: 61.5%
Both teams scored: 69.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-26	2026	Coritiba3–2Bahia
2023-09-15	2023	Coritiba2–4Bahia
2023-05-07	2023	Bahia3–1Coritiba
2020-11-16	2020	Coritiba1–2Bahia
2020-08-13	2020	Bahia1–0Coritiba
2017-09-30	2017	Bahia1–1Coritiba
2017-06-15	2017	Coritiba0–0Bahia
2014-12-07	2014	Coritiba3–2Bahia
2014-09-07	2014	Bahia0–0Coritiba
2013-09-15	2013	Coritiba2–2Bahia
2013-05-30	2013	Bahia0–0Coritiba
2012-10-14	2012	Coritiba2–1Bahia
2012-07-22	2012	Bahia2–2Coritiba

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-15	2026	Bahia2–1Remo
2026-09-05	2026	Bragantino2–3Bahia
2026-08-30	2026	Bahia3–2Internacional
2026-08-23	2026	Vitoria0–2Bahia
2026-08-16	2026	Chapecoense-SC3–3Bahia
2026-08-09	2026	Bahia0–0Vasco
2026-07-30	2026	Fluminense0–0Bahia

Coritiba

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vasco5–0Coritiba
2026-09-13	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-12	2026	Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-06	2026	Coritiba1–2Mirassol
2026-09-01	2026	Remo2–3Coritiba
2026-08-23	2026	Coritiba2–1Corinthians
2026-08-16	2026	Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-09	2026	Coritiba2–1Chapecoense-SC

Bahia Coritiba

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

62%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Bahia

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Bahia		Flamengo RJ	1
5	Bahia	1–2	Palmeiras	2	—
5	Bahia	3–0	Athletico-PR	3	3′ Home
5	Bahia	1–1	Fluminense	4	20′ Away
5 · Bahia
5	Bahia	1–2	Cruzeiro	6	27′ Home
5	Bahia		Atletico-MG	7
5	Bahia	2–2	Santos	8	22′ Away
5	Bahia		Coritiba	9
5	Bahia	2–0	Bragantino	10	17′ Home
5	Bahia		Sao Paulo	11
5	Bahia	2–1	Botafogo RJ	12	—
5	Bahia	0–0	Vasco	13	–
5	Bahia	1–1	Vitoria	14	45+2′ Away
5	Bahia		Mirassol	15
5	Bahia	1–1	Corinthians	16	8′ Away
5	Bahia	3–2	Internacional	17	16′ Away
5	Bahia	1–1	Gremio	18	62′ Away
5	Bahia	2–1	Remo	19	20′ Home
5	Bahia	2–0	Chapecoense-SC	20	12′ Home

Coritiba

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ	3–0	Coritiba	9	11′ Home
2	Palmeiras		Coritiba	9
3	Athletico-PR	2–0	Coritiba	9	22′ Home
4	Fluminense		Coritiba	9
5	Bahia		Coritiba	9
6	Cruzeiro	1–2	Coritiba	9	19′ Home
7	Atletico-MG		Coritiba	9
8	Santos	0–3	Coritiba	9	6′ Away
9 · Coritiba
10	Bragantino	0–0	Coritiba	9	–
11	Sao Paulo	1–1	Coritiba	9	43′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ	2–2	Coritiba	9	33′ Away
13	Vasco	5–0	Coritiba	9	24′ Home
14	Vitoria	4–1	Coritiba	9	15′ Home
15	Mirassol	0–1	Coritiba	9	64′ Away
16	Corinthians	0–2	Coritiba	9	37′ Away
17	Internacional		Coritiba	9
18	Gremio	1–0	Coritiba	9	43′ Home
19	Remo	2–3	Coritiba	9	—
20	Chapecoense-SC	3–3	Coritiba	9	41′ Away

Bahia Home Coritiba Away

Wins

43%

36%

Over 1.5

93%

79%

Over 2.5

50%

57%

Over 3.5

14%

36%

Both teams scored

71%

43%

Clean sheets

29%

Scores first

36%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Bahia

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.71	1.57	1.64
Draws	42.9%	28.6%	35.7%
Goals scored / match	1.57	1.50	1.54
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	7.1%	14.3%	10.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	42.9%	46.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	4 of 5	80%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 8	25%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Coritiba

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.36	1.34
Draws	33.3%	28.6%	31.0%
Goals scored / match	1.47	1.29	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.47	1.71	1.59
Total goals / match	2.93	3.00	2.97
Failed to score	20.0%	35.7%	27.6%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	42.9%	44.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bahia	Draw	Coritiba	How it works
Strength (Elo)	56.8%	20.4%	22.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	36.9%	21.1%	39.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.89–1.96 Model expected goals

71.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

70.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 7.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-17.9%

1-27.7%

2-17.5%

2-27.3%

1-35.0%

2-34.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bahia	Coritiba	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1563	1481	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	26	-9	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1517	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bahia	0.70	0.85	0.75	0.65
Coritiba	0.53	0.89	0.63	1.16

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bahia	5%	10%	32%	28%	25%
Coritiba	2%	22%	22%	25%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Bahia at home, 10 matches

1.00 Coritiba away, 9 matches

62d Days of rest for Bahia

62d Days of rest for Coritiba

— Manager of Bahia

Fernando Seabra Manager of Coritiba, since 28/11/25

0 Matches for Bahia in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Coritiba in the last 14 days

17 Points for Bahia behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

24 Points for Coritiba behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bahia, the right bar represents Coritiba.

On the ball

20 matches

5.75

corners

3.79

13.75

fouls

10.47

2.38

yellow cards

1.92

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bahia	LWWWWDDDDD	1.70	1.60–1.20	1L
Coritiba	LDDLWWDWLD	1.30	1.50–1.90	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bahia	5	8	7	2	2
Coritiba	6	5	8	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bahia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Coritiba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.