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Athletico-PR
VS Scheduled Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 38
Sao Paulo

Head-to-head overview

25 meetings
Athletico-PRWins
8
Draws24.0% of meetings
6
Sao PauloWins
11
Goals per match
2.00
Over 2.5 goals
44.0%
Both teams scored
48.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-07-23 Brazil, Série A 2026 Sao Paulo1–2Athletico-PR
2024-11-10 Brazil, Série A 2024 Sao Paulo2–1Athletico-PR
2024-07-04 Brazil, Série A 2024 Athletico-PR1–2Sao Paulo
2023-10-29 Brazil, Série A 2023 Athletico-PR1–1Sao Paulo
2023-06-21 Brazil, Série A 2023 Sao Paulo2–1Athletico-PR
2022-07-31 Brazil, Série A 2022 Athletico-PR1–0Sao Paulo
2022-04-10 Brazil, Série A 2022 Sao Paulo4–0Athletico-PR
2021-11-25 Brazil, Série A 2021 Sao Paulo0–0Athletico-PR
Recent matches

Athletico-PR

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Brazil, Série A 2026 Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-13 Brazil, Série A 2026 Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-12 Brazil, Série A 2026 Coritiba3–3Athletico-PR
2026-09-06 Brazil, Série A 2026 Cruzeiro3–1Athletico-PR
2026-08-30 Brazil, Série A 2026 Athletico-PR3–3Fluminense
2026-08-25 Brazil, Série A 2026 Botafogo RJ2–3Athletico-PR
2026-08-15 Brazil, Série A 2026 Athletico-PR1–1Bragantino
2026-08-09 Brazil, Série A 2026 Santos0–2Athletico-PR

Sao Paulo

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Brazil, Série A 2026 Sao Paulo1–0Internacional
2026-09-13 Brazil, Série A 2026 Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-12 Brazil, Série A 2026 Palmeiras2–0Sao Paulo
2026-09-05 Brazil, Série A 2026 Sao Paulo2–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-30 Brazil, Série A 2026 Sao Paulo2–1Bragantino
2026-08-23 Brazil, Série A 2026 Chapecoense-SC1–0Sao Paulo
2026-08-16 Brazil, Série A 2026 Sao Paulo1–1Coritiba
2026-08-08 Brazil, Série A 2026 Gremio2–1Sao Paulo
Athletico-PR Sao Paulo

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
25%

Both teams scored

88%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Athletico-PR

Home · Série A
HomeAway1st goal
3 Athletico-PR 1–1 Flamengo RJ 1 11′ Home
3 Athletico-PR Palmeiras 2
3 · Athletico-PR
3 Athletico-PR 3–3 Fluminense 4 35′ Home
3 Athletico-PR 2–1 Bahia 5 16′ Home
3 Athletico-PR 2–1 Cruzeiro 6 1′ Home
3 Athletico-PR Atletico-MG 7
3 Athletico-PR 2–1 Santos 8 6′ Home
3 Athletico-PR 2–0 Coritiba 9 22′ Home
3 Athletico-PR 1–1 Bragantino 10 67′ Away
3 Athletico-PR Sao Paulo 11
3 Athletico-PR 4–1 Botafogo RJ 12 4′ Home
3 Athletico-PR Vasco 13
3 Athletico-PR 3–1 Vitoria 14 22′ Away
3 Athletico-PR 1–0 Mirassol 15 88′ Home
3 Athletico-PR 0–1 Corinthians 16 20′ Away
3 Athletico-PR 2–0 Internacional 17 45+1′ Home
3 Athletico-PR 0–0 Gremio 18 –
3 Athletico-PR Remo 19
3 Athletico-PR 2–0 Chapecoense-SC 20 57′ Home

Sao Paulo

Away · Série A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Flamengo RJ 1–1 Sao Paulo 11 57′ Home
2 Palmeiras 2–0 Sao Paulo 11 45+1′ Home
2 Palmeiras 2–0 Sao Paulo 11 —
3 Athletico-PR Sao Paulo 11
4 Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo 11 19′ Home
5 Bahia Sao Paulo 11
6 Cruzeiro Sao Paulo 11
7 Atletico-MG 1–0 Sao Paulo 11 64′ Home
8 Santos 1–1 Sao Paulo 11 45+5′ Home
9 Coritiba 0–1 Sao Paulo 11 57′ Away
10 Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo 11 36′ Home
11 · Sao Paulo
12 Botafogo RJ Sao Paulo 11
13 Vasco 2–1 Sao Paulo 11 10′ Away
14 Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo 11 35′ Home
15 Mirassol Sao Paulo 11
16 Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo 11 —
17 Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo 11 23′ Home
18 Gremio 2–1 Sao Paulo 11 —
19 Remo 1–0 Sao Paulo 11 90+4′ Home
20 Chapecoense-SC 1–0 Sao Paulo 11 26′ Home
Athletico-PR Home Sao Paulo Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Athletico-PR

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway15 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match2.211.271.72
Draws28.6%26.7%27.6%
Goals scored / match1.791.401.59
Goals conceded / match0.791.601.21
Total goals / match2.573.002.79
Failed to score14.3%26.7%20.7%
Under 2.5 goals57.1%40.0%48.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 5 of 10 50%
Scores first → wins 8 of 10 80%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1550
16–3024
31–4542
46–6051
61–7522
76–9072

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sao Paulo

28 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway15 matchesOverall28 matches
Points / match2.080.601.29
Draws23.1%20.0%21.4%
Goals scored / match1.620.731.14
Goals conceded / match0.771.471.14
Total goals / match2.382.202.29
Failed to score7.7%40.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals61.5%66.7%64.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAthletico-PRDraw Sao PauloHow it works
Strength (Elo) 54.2% 21.6% 24.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 41.3% 25.9% 32.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.43–1.23 Model expected goals
49.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.3%
1-010.0%
2-18.8%
0-18.6%
1-27.6%
2-07.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAthletico-PRSao Paulo How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1572 1509 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 31 -10 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1532 1534 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Athletico-PR 0.680.84 0.530.58
Sao Paulo 0.630.53 0.370.95

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Athletico-PR 5%20%25%28%22%
Sao Paulo 0%22%35%25%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Athletico-PR at home, 9 matches
0.18 Sao Paulo away, 11 matches
73d Days of rest for Athletico-PR
73d Days of rest for Sao Paulo
— Manager of Athletico-PR
— Manager of Sao Paulo
0 Matches for Athletico-PR in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Sao Paulo in the last 14 days
13 Points for Athletico-PR behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone
27 Points for Sao Paulo behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.59 League goals per match
27.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Athletico-PR, the right bar represents Sao Paulo.

On the ball

20 matches
4.94
corners
7.05
12.95
fouls
14.26
2.71
yellow cards
2.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Athletico-PR WDDLDWDWDW 1.70 2.00–1.60 1W
Sao Paulo WLLWWLDLDL 1.10 0.90–1.20 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Athletico-PR5 104 12
Sao Paulo9 55 06
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Athletico-PR

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sao Paulo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.