Bragantino

Bragantino

VS Scheduled Wednesday 2 Dec 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 38

Fluminense

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings

BragantinoWins: 3
Draws30.8% of meetings: 4
FluminenseWins: 6

Goals per match: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals: 61.5%
Both teams scored: 69.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-18	2026	Fluminense1–1Bragantino
2025-08-23	2025	Bragantino4–2Fluminense
2025-04-06	2025	Fluminense2–1Bragantino
2024-07-28	2024	Bragantino0–1Fluminense
2024-04-14	2024	Fluminense2–2Bragantino
2023-10-22	2023	Bragantino1–0Fluminense
2023-06-04	2023	Fluminense2–1Bragantino
2022-11-13	2022	Bragantino0–1Fluminense
2022-07-24	2022	Fluminense2–1Bragantino
2021-09-26	2021	Fluminense2–1Bragantino
2021-06-14	2021	Bragantino2–2Fluminense
2020-11-30	2020	Fluminense0–0Bragantino
2020-08-19	2020	Bragantino2–1Fluminense

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Flamengo RJ2–1Bragantino
2026-09-14	2026	Botafogo RJ1–1Bragantino
2026-09-13	2026	Botafogo RJ1–1Bragantino
2026-09-05	2026	Bragantino2–3Bahia
2026-08-30	2026	Sao Paulo2–1Bragantino
2026-08-23	2026	Bragantino1–0Gremio
2026-08-15	2026	Athletico-PR1–1Bragantino
2026-08-09	2026	Bragantino0–2Corinthians

Fluminense

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Corinthians1–3Fluminense
2026-09-13	2026	Atletico-MG3–1Fluminense
2026-09-12	2026	Atletico-MG3–1Fluminense
2026-09-06	2026	Fluminense1–0Vasco
2026-08-30	2026	Athletico-PR3–3Fluminense
2026-08-22	2026	Fluminense2–1Remo
2026-08-15	2026	Fluminense3–2Palmeiras
2026-08-09	2026	Botafogo RJ1–1Fluminense

Bragantino Fluminense

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

75%

88%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Bragantino

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Bragantino	3–0	Flamengo RJ	1	17′ Home
10	Bragantino	0–1	Palmeiras	2	21′ Away
10	Bragantino	1–1	Athletico-PR	3	43′ Home
10	Bragantino		Fluminense	4
10	Bragantino	2–3	Bahia	5	—
10	Bragantino		Cruzeiro	6
10	Bragantino	1–0	Atletico-MG	7	38′ Home
10	Bragantino		Santos	8
10	Bragantino	0–0	Coritiba	9	–
10 · Bragantino
10	Bragantino	1–2	Sao Paulo	11	36′ Home
10	Bragantino	1–2	Botafogo RJ	12	8′ Away
10	Bragantino		Vasco	13
10	Bragantino	2–0	Vitoria	14	41′ Home
10	Bragantino		Mirassol	15
10	Bragantino	0–2	Corinthians	16	59′ Away
10	Bragantino	3–1	Internacional	17	18′ Home
10	Bragantino	1–0	Gremio	18	90+5′ Home
10	Bragantino	4–2	Remo	19	—
10	Bragantino		Chapecoense-SC	20

Fluminense

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Fluminense	4
2	Palmeiras	2–1	Fluminense	4	9′ Home
3	Athletico-PR	3–3	Fluminense	4	35′ Home
4 · Fluminense
5	Bahia	1–1	Fluminense	4	20′ Away
6	Cruzeiro	1–1	Fluminense	4	43′ Away
7	Atletico-MG	3–1	Fluminense	4	61′ Home
7	Atletico-MG	3–1	Fluminense	4	—
8	Santos	2–3	Fluminense	4	9′ Home
9	Coritiba	1–1	Fluminense	4	74′ Home
10	Bragantino		Fluminense	4
11	Sao Paulo		Fluminense	4
12	Botafogo RJ	1–1	Fluminense	4	44′ Home
13	Vasco	3–2	Fluminense	4	1′ Away
14	Vitoria		Fluminense	4
15	Mirassol	1–0	Fluminense	4	36′ Home
16	Corinthians	1–3	Fluminense	4	24′ Away
17	Internacional	2–0	Fluminense	4	39′ Home
18	Gremio	1–1	Fluminense	4	65′ Away
19	Remo	0–2	Fluminense	4	16′ Away
20	Chapecoense-SC		Fluminense	4

Bragantino Home Fluminense Away

Wins

46%

20%

Over 1.5

69%

93%

Over 2.5

46%

47%

Over 3.5

23%

40%

Both teams scored

46%

80%

Clean sheets

38%

7%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Bragantino

28 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away15 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.54	1.13	1.32
Draws	15.4%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.46	1.00	1.21
Goals conceded / match	1.08	1.20	1.14
Total goals / match	2.54	2.20	2.36
Failed to score	23.1%	20.0%	21.4%
Under 2.5 goals	53.8%	66.7%	60.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 11/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Fluminense

29 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away15 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	2.36	1.00	1.66
Draws	21.4%	40.0%	31.0%
Goals scored / match	1.71	1.40	1.55
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.67	1.34
Total goals / match	2.71	3.07	2.90
Failed to score	7.1%	13.3%	10.3%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	53.3%	44.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bragantino	Draw	Fluminense	How it works
Strength (Elo)	37.0%	26.3%	36.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	33.9%	25.1%	40.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.34–1.49 Model expected goals

53.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.8%

0-18.8%

1-28.8%

1-07.9%

2-17.9%

0-26.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bragantino	Fluminense	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1511	1586	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-25	9	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1540	1528	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bragantino	0.74	0.68	0.58	0.53
Fluminense	0.42	1.05	0.47	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bragantino	2%	22%	30%	30%	15%
Fluminense	8%	18%	28%	20%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.78 Bragantino at home, 9 matches

1.00 Fluminense away, 11 matches

73d Days of rest for Bragantino

73d Days of rest for Fluminense

— Manager of Bragantino

Luis Zubeldía Manager of Fluminense, since 23/09/25

0 Matches for Bragantino in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Fluminense in the last 14 days

26 Points for Bragantino behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Fluminense behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bragantino, the right bar represents Fluminense.

On the ball

20 matches

5.68

corners

5.58

12.89

fouls

12.89

2.65

yellow cards

2.88

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bragantino	LDDLLWDLDD	0.80	0.90–1.30	1L
Fluminense	WLLWDWWDDD	1.60	1.60–1.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bragantino	6	9	4	0	2
Fluminense	4	9	6	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bragantino

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Fluminense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.