Bahia

Bahia

VS Scheduled Wednesday 2 Dec 202600:00

Brazil 2026 Série A · Matchday 38

Atletico-MG

Head-to-head overview

23 meetings

BahiaWins: 6
Draws47.8% of meetings: 11
Atletico-MGWins: 6

Goals per match: 2.39
Over 2.5 goals: 39.1%
Both teams scored: 56.5%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-21	2026	Atletico-MG1–1Bahia
2025-11-05	2025	Atletico-MG3–0Bahia
2025-07-13	2025	Bahia2–1Atletico-MG
2024-09-15	2024	Bahia3–0Atletico-MG
2024-06-02	2024	Atletico-MG1–1Bahia
2023-12-07	2023	Bahia4–1Atletico-MG
2023-08-13	2023	Atletico-MG1–0Bahia
2021-12-02	2021	Bahia2–3Atletico-MG
2021-07-25	2021	Atletico-MG3–0Bahia
2021-02-13	2020	Atletico-MG1–1Bahia
2020-10-20	2020	Bahia3–1Atletico-MG
2019-11-28	2019	Bahia1–1Atletico-MG
2019-08-24	2019	Atletico-MG0–1Bahia
2018-11-17	2018	Atletico-MG1–0Bahia
2018-07-31	2018	Bahia2–2Atletico-MG
2017-11-12	2017	Bahia2–2Atletico-MG
2017-07-20	2017	Atletico-MG0–2Bahia
2014-10-22	2014	Bahia1–1Atletico-MG
2014-07-19	2014	Atletico-MG1–1Bahia
2013-11-09	2013	Bahia0–0Atletico-MG
2013-08-14	2013	Atletico-MG2–0Bahia
2012-09-05	2012	Bahia0–0Atletico-MG
2012-06-07	2012	Atletico-MG1–1Bahia

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Athletico-PR2–1Bahia
2026-09-15	2026	Bahia2–1Remo
2026-09-05	2026	Bragantino2–3Bahia
2026-08-30	2026	Bahia3–2Internacional
2026-08-23	2026	Vitoria0–2Bahia
2026-08-16	2026	Chapecoense-SC3–3Bahia
2026-08-09	2026	Bahia0–0Vasco
2026-07-30	2026	Fluminense0–0Bahia

Atletico-MG

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Atletico-MG1–1Chapecoense-SC
2026-09-13	2026	Atletico-MG3–1Fluminense
2026-09-12	2026	Atletico-MG3–1Fluminense
2026-09-05	2026	Sao Paulo2–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-29	2026	Atletico-MG2–1Vitoria
2026-08-22	2026	Internacional0–0Atletico-MG
2026-08-16	2026	Atletico-MG3–0Gremio
2026-08-08	2026	Remo2–2Atletico-MG

Bahia Atletico-MG

Wins

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Bahia

Home · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Bahia		Flamengo RJ	1
5	Bahia	1–2	Palmeiras	2	—
5	Bahia	3–0	Athletico-PR	3	3′ Home
5	Bahia	1–1	Fluminense	4	20′ Away
5 · Bahia
5	Bahia	1–2	Cruzeiro	6	27′ Home
5	Bahia		Atletico-MG	7
5	Bahia	2–2	Santos	8	22′ Away
5	Bahia		Coritiba	9
5	Bahia	2–0	Bragantino	10	17′ Home
5	Bahia		Sao Paulo	11
5	Bahia	2–1	Botafogo RJ	12	—
5	Bahia	0–0	Vasco	13	–
5	Bahia	1–1	Vitoria	14	45+2′ Away
5	Bahia		Mirassol	15
5	Bahia	1–1	Corinthians	16	8′ Away
5	Bahia	3–2	Internacional	17	16′ Away
5	Bahia	1–1	Gremio	18	62′ Away
5	Bahia	2–1	Remo	19	20′ Home
5	Bahia	2–0	Chapecoense-SC	20	12′ Home

Atletico-MG

Away · Série A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Atletico-MG	7
2	Palmeiras	1–2	Atletico-MG	7	54′ Away
3	Athletico-PR		Atletico-MG	7
4	Fluminense	1–0	Atletico-MG	7	29′ Home
5	Bahia		Atletico-MG	7
6	Cruzeiro	1–3	Atletico-MG	7	12′ Away
7 · Atletico-MG
8	Santos	1–0	Atletico-MG	7	63′ Home
9	Coritiba	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	7′ Home
10	Bragantino	1–0	Atletico-MG	7	38′ Home
11	Sao Paulo	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	67′ Home
12	Botafogo RJ		Atletico-MG	7
13	Vasco	0–1	Atletico-MG	7	32′ Away
14	Vitoria	2–0	Atletico-MG	7	20′ Home
15	Mirassol		Atletico-MG	7
16	Corinthians	1–0	Atletico-MG	7	88′ Home
17	Internacional	0–0	Atletico-MG	7	–
18	Gremio	2–1	Atletico-MG	7	51′ Home
19	Remo	2–2	Atletico-MG	7	3′ Home
20	Chapecoense-SC	0–4	Atletico-MG	7	23′ Away

Bahia Home Atletico-MG Away

Wins

43%

29%

Over 1.5

93%

57%

Over 2.5

50%

36%

Over 3.5

14%

21%

Both teams scored

71%

29%

Clean sheets

29%

21%

Scores first

36%

29%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Série A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Bahia

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	1.71	1.57	1.64
Draws	42.9%	28.6%	35.7%
Goals scored / match	1.57	1.50	1.54
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	2.57	3.00	2.79
Failed to score	7.1%	14.3%	10.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	42.9%	46.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	4 of 5	80%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 8	25%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Atletico-MG

28 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away14 matches	Overall28 matches
Points / match	2.07	1.00	1.54
Draws	35.7%	14.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.86	0.93	1.39
Goals conceded / match	1.21	1.14	1.18
Total goals / match	3.07	2.07	2.57
Failed to score	7.1%	57.1%	32.1%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	64.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 9	0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	2
16–30	2	2
31–45	5	1
46–60	2	2
61–75	1	7
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bahia	Draw	Atletico-MG	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.5%	24.6%	28.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.6%	21.3%	56.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.13–2.02 Model expected goals

59.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.4% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.9%

1-19.8%

0-28.8%

0-18.7%

1-36.7%

0-35.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bahia	Atletico-MG	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1563	1558	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	26	41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1517	1521	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bahia	0.70	0.85	0.75	0.65
Atletico-MG	0.74	0.74	0.37	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bahia	5%	10%	32%	28%	25%
Atletico-MG	5%	25%	22%	18%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Bahia at home, 10 matches

1.40 Atletico-MG away, 10 matches

73d Days of rest for Bahia

74d Days of rest for Atletico-MG

— Manager of Bahia

— Manager of Atletico-MG

0 Matches for Bahia in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Atletico-MG in the last 14 days

17 Points for Bahia behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

20 Points for Atletico-MG behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.59 League goals per match

27.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bahia, the right bar represents Atletico-MG.

On the ball

20 matches

5.75

corners

5.06

13.75

fouls

10.95

2.38

yellow cards

2.08

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bahia	LWWWWDDDDD	1.70	1.60–1.20	1L
Atletico-MG	DWWLWDWDWD	1.90	1.70–1.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bahia	5	8	7	2	2
Atletico-MG	9	7	3	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bahia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Atletico-MG

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.