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Tigres UANL
VS Scheduled Mexico 26/27 Liga MX · Matchday 11
Toluca

Head-to-head overview

38 meetings
Tigres UANLWins
13
Draws23.7% of meetings
9
TolucaWins
16
Goals per match
2.39
Over 2.5 goals
52.6%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-18 Mexico, Liga MX 25/26 Tigres UANL0–0Toluca
2025-12-15 Mexico, Liga MX 25/26 Toluca2–1Tigres UANL
2025-12-12 Mexico, Liga MX 25/26 Tigres UANL1–0Toluca
2025-07-27 Mexico, Liga MX 25/26 Toluca3–4Tigres UANL
2025-05-18 Mexico, Liga MX 24/25 Toluca3–0Tigres UANL
2025-05-15 Mexico, Liga MX 24/25 Tigres UANL1–1Toluca
2025-02-02 Mexico, Liga MX 24/25 Toluca1–0Tigres UANL
2024-11-07 Mexico, Liga MX 24/25 Tigres UANL2–1Toluca
Recent matches

Tigres UANL

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Tigres UANL1–0Puebla
2026-09-19 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Juarez2–0Tigres UANL
2026-09-14 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Monterrey0–0Tigres UANL
2026-09-13 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Monterrey0–0Tigres UANL
2026-09-06 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Tigres UANL1–1Necaxa
2026-08-30 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Santos Laguna0–0Tigres UANL
2026-08-22 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Tigres UANL2–0Atlante
2026-08-16 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Atlas2–1Tigres UANL

Toluca

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Cruz Azul3–3Toluca
2026-09-21 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca2–3Santos Laguna
2026-09-16 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Puebla0–1Toluca
2026-09-14 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca5–2Atlas
2026-09-13 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca5–2Atlas
2026-08-31 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca4–0Juarez
2026-08-22 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Queretaro1–2Toluca
2026-08-16 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Atlante0–0Toluca
Tigres UANL Toluca

Wins

25%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

12%
75%

Both teams scored

25%
62%

Clean sheets

62%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Tigres UANL

Home · Liga MX

Toluca

Away · Liga MX
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Toluca
2 Club America Toluca 1
3 Queretaro 1–2 Toluca 1 65′ Away
4 Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca 1 7′ Home
5 Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 Toluca 1 42′ Away
6 Club Leon Toluca 1
7 Puebla 0–1 Toluca 1 —
8 Atlas Toluca 1
9 Pachuca Toluca 1
10 Monterrey Toluca 1
11 Club Tijuana Toluca 1
12 UNAM Pumas Toluca 1
13 Atl. San Luis Toluca 1
14 Tigres UANL Toluca 1
15 Atlante 0–0 Toluca 1 –
16 Santos Laguna Toluca 1
17 Necaxa Toluca 1
18 Juarez Toluca 1
Tigres UANL Home Toluca Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga MX · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Tigres UANL

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.000.431.00
Draws50.0%42.9%45.5%
Goals scored / match1.500.570.91
Goals conceded / match0.751.431.18
Total goals / match2.252.002.09
Failed to score0.0%57.1%36.4%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%57.1%63.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Toluca

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.002.202.09
Draws0.0%40.0%18.2%
Goals scored / match3.331.602.55
Goals conceded / match1.670.801.27
Total goals / match5.002.403.82
Failed to score0.0%20.0%9.1%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%60.0%27.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelTigres UANLDraw TolucaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 33.1% 24.4% 42.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 22.3% 23.7% 53.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.03–1.73 Model expected goals
51.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
52.2% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.3%
0-111.0%
1-29.8%
0-29.5%
1-06.5%
0-06.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureTigres UANLToluca How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1526 1628 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -34 14 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1473 1485 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Tigres UANL 0.400.60 0.600.70
Toluca 1.101.20 0.400.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Tigres UANL 15%12%22%22%28%
Toluca 15%18%20%15%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.25 Tigres UANL at home, 8 matches
1.20 Toluca away, 10 matches
13d Days of rest for Tigres UANL
14d Days of rest for Toluca
Víctor Manuel Vucetich Manager of Tigres UANL, since 28/07/26
— Manager of Toluca
1 Matches for Tigres UANL in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Toluca in the last 14 days
12 Points for Tigres UANL behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Toluca behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.87 League goals per match
24.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Tigres UANL, the right bar represents Toluca.

On the ball

20 matches
7.88
corners
5.7
12.4
fouls
10.4
2.25
yellow cards
1.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Tigres UANL WLDDDDWLLD 1.10 0.90–1.00 1W
Toluca DLWWWWWDWL 2.00 2.60–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Tigres UANL0 82 00
Toluca6 31 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Tigres UANL

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Toluca

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.