Head-to-head overview
15 meetings- TolucaWins
- 10
- Draws13.3% of meetings
- 2
- Atl. San LuisWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 2.60
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46.7%
- Both teams scored
- 53.3%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 |
25/26
|
Toluca1–1Atl. San Luis |
| 2025-08-30 |
25/26
|
Atl. San Luis1–3Toluca |
| 2025-04-17 |
24/25
|
Atl. San Luis0–1Toluca |
| 2024-08-25 |
24/25
|
Toluca2–1Atl. San Luis |
| 2024-04-20 |
23/24
|
Atl. San Luis1–5Toluca |
| 2023-10-29 |
23/24
|
Toluca3–1Atl. San Luis |
| 2023-02-26 |
22/23
|
Toluca2–0Atl. San Luis |
| 2022-08-21 |
22/23
|
Atl. San Luis1–0Toluca |
| 2022-02-12 |
21/22
|
Atl. San Luis0–1Toluca |
| 2021-09-26 |
21/22
|
Toluca1–2Atl. San Luis |
| 2021-03-06 |
20/21
|
Atl. San Luis0–0Toluca |
| 2020-08-02 |
20/21
|
Toluca3–2Atl. San Luis |
| 2019-09-27 |
19/20
|
Toluca3–1Atl. San Luis |
| 2013-05-05 |
12/13
|
Toluca0–1Atl. San Luis |
| 2012-11-11 |
12/13
|
Atl. San Luis0–2Toluca |
Recent matches
Toluca
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Cruz Azul3–3Toluca |
| 2026-09-21 |
26/27
|
Toluca2–3Santos Laguna |
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Puebla0–1Toluca |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Toluca5–2Atlas |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Toluca5–2Atlas |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Toluca4–0Juarez |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Queretaro1–2Toluca |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Atlante0–0Toluca |
Atl. San Luis
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
26/27
|
UNAM Pumas2–3Atl. San Luis |
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Atl. San Luis3–1Necaxa |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Club Leon2–0Atl. San Luis |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Atl. San Luis0–3Guadalajara Chivas |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Monterrey1–3Atl. San Luis |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Atl. San Luis1–1Pachuca |
| 2026-08-17 |
26/27
|
Club America3–0Atl. San Luis |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Atl. San Luis0–0Club Tijuana |
Toluca
Atl. San Luis
Wins
62%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Toluca
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Toluca | |||||
| 1 | Toluca | Club America | 2 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Queretaro | 3 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Cruz Azul | 4 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Club Leon | 6 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Puebla | 7 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | 5–2 | Atlas | 8 | — |
| 1 | Toluca | 5–2 | Atlas | 8 | — |
| 1 | Toluca | Pachuca | 9 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Monterrey | 10 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Club Tijuana | 11 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | 1–2 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 14′ Home |
| 1 | Toluca | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Tigres UANL | 14 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | Atlante | 15 | ||
| 1 | Toluca | 2–3 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 25′ Home |
| 1 | Toluca | 3–1 | Necaxa | 17 | — |
| 1 | Toluca | 4–0 | Juarez | 18 | — |
Atl. San Luis
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 2 | Club America | 3–0 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 26′ Home |
| 3 | Queretaro | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 4 | Cruz Azul | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 6 | Club Leon | 2–0 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 49′ Home |
| 7 | Puebla | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 8 | Atlas | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 9 | Pachuca | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 10 | Monterrey | 1–3 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 5′ Away |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 2–3 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 23′ Away |
| 13 · Atl. San Luis | |||||
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 2–2 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | — |
| 15 | Atlante | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 16 | Santos Laguna | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 17 | Necaxa | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
| 18 | Juarez | Atl. San Luis | 13 | ||
Toluca Home
Atl. San Luis Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Liga MX · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Toluca
| Goals & results | Home6 matches | Away5 matches | Overall11 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.09 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 40.0% | 18.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.33 | 1.60 | 2.55 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 0.80 | 1.27 |
| Total goals / match | 5.00 | 2.40 | 3.82 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 20.0% | 9.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 60.0% | 27.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/6 home.Scoring order known: 9/11 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Atl. San Luis
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away5 matches | Overall10 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Total goals / match | 2.80 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Failed to score | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 away.Scoring order known: 8/10 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Toluca | Draw | Atl. San Luis | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 66.4% | 15.2% | 18.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 46.7% | 22.2% | 29.4% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.91–1.47
Model expected goals
63.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
64.2%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 9.6%
Most likely scores
1-19.6%
2-19.1%
1-27.0%
2-26.7%
1-06.5%
2-06.2%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Toluca | Atl. San Luis | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1628 | 1465 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 14 | 26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1485 | 1516 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Atl. San Luis | 0.50 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.30 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 15% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 32% |
| Atl. San Luis | 2% | 8% | 28% | 28% | 35% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.70
Toluca at home, 10 matches
1.22
Atl. San Luis away, 9 matches
22d
Days of rest for Toluca
21d
Days of rest for Atl. San Luis
—
Manager of Toluca
—
Manager of Atl. San Luis
0
Matches for Toluca in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Atl. San Luis in the last 14 days
0
Points for Toluca behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
11
Points for Atl. San Luis behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.87
League goals per match
24.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Toluca, the right bar represents Atl. San Luis.
On the ball
5.7
3.0
corners
10.4
9.9
fouls
1.6
1.6
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | DLWWWWWDWL | 2.00 | 2.60–1.40 | 1D |
| Atl. San Luis | WWLLWDLDDL | 1.20 | 1.40–1.80 | 2W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Atl. San Luis | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Toluca
No absences reported.
Atl. San Luis
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.