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Club Leon
VS Scheduled Mexico 26/27 Liga MX · Matchday 14
Toluca

Head-to-head overview

30 meetings
Club LeonWins
11
Draws33.3% of meetings
10
TolucaWins
9
Goals per match
3.47
Over 2.5 goals
73.3%
Both teams scored
73.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-26 Mexico, Liga MX 25/26 Toluca4–1Club Leon
2025-10-05 Mexico, Liga MX 25/26 Club Leon2–4Toluca
2025-02-09 Mexico, Liga MX 24/25 Club Leon3–3Toluca
2024-11-02 Mexico, Liga MX 24/25 Toluca2–2Club Leon
2024-02-03 Mexico, Liga MX 23/24 Toluca4–1Club Leon
2023-10-22 Mexico, Liga MX 23/24 Club Leon1–0Toluca
2023-01-29 Mexico, Liga MX 22/23 Toluca0–0Club Leon
2022-07-27 Mexico, Liga MX 22/23 Club Leon0–1Toluca
Recent matches

Club Leon

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Club Leon2–1Juarez
2026-09-21 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Queretaro1–1Club Leon
2026-09-15 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Club Leon2–0Atl. San Luis
2026-09-11 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 UNAM Pumas3–1Club Leon
2026-08-29 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Atlante1–1Club Leon
2026-08-22 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Club Leon2–0Monterrey
2026-08-18 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Necaxa1–2Club Leon
2026-08-02 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Club Leon1–0Pachuca

Toluca

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Cruz Azul3–3Toluca
2026-09-21 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca2–3Santos Laguna
2026-09-16 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Puebla0–1Toluca
2026-09-14 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca5–2Atlas
2026-09-13 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca5–2Atlas
2026-08-31 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Toluca4–0Juarez
2026-08-22 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Queretaro1–2Toluca
2026-08-16 Mexico, Liga MX 26/27 Atlante0–0Toluca
Club Leon Toluca

Wins

62%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

38%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Club Leon

Home · Liga MX
HomeAway1st goal
6 Club Leon Toluca 1
6 Club Leon Club America 2
6 Club Leon Queretaro 3
6 Club Leon Cruz Azul 4
6 Club Leon Guadalajara Chivas 5
6 · Club Leon
6 Club Leon Puebla 7
6 Club Leon 2–3 Atlas 8 2′ Away
6 Club Leon 1–0 Pachuca 9 41′ Home
6 Club Leon 2–0 Monterrey 10 24′ Home
6 Club Leon Club Tijuana 11
6 Club Leon UNAM Pumas 12
6 Club Leon 2–0 Atl. San Luis 13 49′ Home
6 Club Leon Tigres UANL 14
6 Club Leon Atlante 15
6 Club Leon Santos Laguna 16
6 Club Leon Necaxa 17
6 Club Leon 2–1 Juarez 18 —

Toluca

Away · Liga MX
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Toluca
2 Club America Toluca 1
3 Queretaro 1–2 Toluca 1 65′ Away
4 Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca 1 7′ Home
5 Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 Toluca 1 42′ Away
6 Club Leon Toluca 1
7 Puebla 0–1 Toluca 1 —
8 Atlas Toluca 1
9 Pachuca Toluca 1
10 Monterrey Toluca 1
11 Club Tijuana Toluca 1
12 UNAM Pumas Toluca 1
13 Atl. San Luis Toluca 1
14 Tigres UANL Toluca 1
15 Atlante 0–0 Toluca 1 –
16 Santos Laguna Toluca 1
17 Necaxa Toluca 1
18 Juarez Toluca 1
Club Leon Home Toluca Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga MX · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Club Leon

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match2.401.001.70
Draws0.0%40.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.801.001.40
Goals conceded / match0.801.401.10
Total goals / match2.602.402.50
Failed to score0.0%20.0%10.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%60.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Toluca

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.002.202.09
Draws0.0%40.0%18.2%
Goals scored / match3.331.602.55
Goals conceded / match1.670.801.27
Total goals / match5.002.403.82
Failed to score0.0%20.0%9.1%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%60.0%27.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelClub LeonDraw TolucaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 28.9% 23.0% 48.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 16.2% 17.2% 61.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.24–2.60 Model expected goals
68.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
62.2% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.0%
1-37.8%
0-27.3%
1-16.9%
0-36.3%
2-25.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureClub LeonToluca How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1481 1628 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 59 14 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1495 1485 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Club Leon 0.401.00 0.200.90
Toluca 1.101.20 0.400.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Club Leon 2%12%32%28%25%
Toluca 15%18%20%15%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.10 Club Leon at home, 10 matches
1.20 Toluca away, 10 matches
27d Days of rest for Club Leon
29d Days of rest for Toluca
— Manager of Club Leon
— Manager of Toluca
0 Matches for Club Leon in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Toluca in the last 14 days
6 Points for Club Leon behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Toluca behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.87 League goals per match
24.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Club Leon, the right bar represents Toluca.

On the ball

20 matches
3.8
corners
5.7
11.4
fouls
10.4
2.0
yellow cards
1.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Club Leon WDWLDWWWLL 1.70 1.40–1.10 1W
Toluca DLWWWWWDWL 2.00 2.60–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Club Leon3 61 00
Toluca6 31 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Club Leon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Toluca

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.