Yeovil

Yeovil

VS Scheduled Tuesday 29 Sep 202619:45

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 11

Worthing

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Kidderminster0–1Yeovil
2026-09-18	26/27	Yeovil4–1Solihull
2026-09-15	26/27	Aldershot1–1Yeovil
2026-09-13	26/27	Yeovil1–4Fylde
2026-09-12	26/27	Yeovil1–4Fylde
2026-09-05	26/27	Southend3–2Yeovil
2026-08-31	26/27	Yeovil3–2Tamworth
2026-08-28	26/27	Barrow1–2Yeovil

Worthing

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Worthing2–1Halifax
2026-09-19	26/27	Hartlepool1–3Worthing
2026-09-15	26/27	Worthing1–0Hornchurch
2026-09-13	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-12	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-05	26/27	Fylde2–2Worthing
2026-08-31	26/27	Worthing2–3Boreham Wood
2026-08-28	26/27	Tamworth3–2Worthing

Yeovil Worthing

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

88%

Both teams scored

88%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Yeovil

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Yeovil		Boreham Wood	1
8	Yeovil	1–4	Fylde	2	35′ Away
8	Yeovil	1–4	Fylde	2	—
8	Yeovil		Harrogate	3
8	Yeovil		Southend	4
8	Yeovil		Aldershot	5
8	Yeovil		Kidderminster	6
8	Yeovil		Worthing	7
8 · Yeovil
8	Yeovil		Altrincham	9
8	Yeovil		Forest Green	10
8	Yeovil		Sutton	11
8	Yeovil		Halifax	12
8	Yeovil		Woking	13
8	Yeovil		Eastleigh	14
8	Yeovil		Hornchurch	15
8	Yeovil		Wealdstone	16
8	Yeovil		Barrow	17
8	Yeovil		Scunthorpe	18
8	Yeovil	1–1	Carlisle	19	17′ Home
8	Yeovil		Boston Utd	20
8	Yeovil		Hartlepool	21
8	Yeovil	3–2	Tamworth	22	17′ Home
8	Yeovil	4–1	Solihull	23	—
8	Yeovil	3–0	Gateshead	24	2′ Home

Worthing

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood		Worthing	7
2	Fylde	2–2	Worthing	7	16′ Away
3	Harrogate		Worthing	7
4	Southend		Worthing	7
5	Aldershot		Worthing	7
6	Kidderminster		Worthing	7
7 · Worthing
8	Yeovil		Worthing	7
9	Altrincham		Worthing	7
10	Forest Green		Worthing	7
11	Sutton		Worthing	7
12	Halifax		Worthing	7
13	Woking		Worthing	7
14	Eastleigh		Worthing	7
15	Hornchurch		Worthing	7
16	Wealdstone		Worthing	7
17	Barrow		Worthing	7
18	Scunthorpe		Worthing	7
19	Carlisle	2–3	Worthing	7	42′ Home
20	Boston Utd		Worthing	7
21	Hartlepool	1–3	Worthing	7	35′ Away
22	Tamworth	3–2	Worthing	7	44′ Away
23	Solihull		Worthing	7
24	Gateshead		Worthing	7

Yeovil Home Worthing Away

Wins

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

83%

100%

Over 3.5

67%

100%

Both teams scored

83%

100%

Clean sheets

17%

0%

Scores first

N/A

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Yeovil

11 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away5 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.60	1.64
Draws	16.7%	40.0%	27.3%
Goals scored / match	2.17	1.40	1.82
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.20	1.64
Total goals / match	4.17	2.60	3.45
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	60.0%	36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Worthing

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.57	1.75	1.64
Draws	28.6%	25.0%	27.3%
Goals scored / match	1.57	2.50	1.91
Goals conceded / match	1.43	2.00	1.64
Total goals / match	3.00	4.50	3.55
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	28.6%	0.0%	18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	2	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	2	1
76–90	4	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Yeovil	Draw	Worthing	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.6%	25.1%	39.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	23.6%	19.1%	53.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.56–2.42 Model expected goals

71.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

68.5% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.5%

1-17.0%

1-36.9%

2-26.6%

2-15.5%

0-25.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Yeovil	Worthing	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1471	1527	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	26	13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.0%	47.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	46.9%	50.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1165	970	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	40.0%	33.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	76.5%	63.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Yeovil	0.47	1.05	0.63	0.89
Worthing	0.90	1.00	0.40	1.20

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Yeovil	5%	18%	22%	30%	25%
Worthing	0%	18%	0%	18%	64%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Yeovil at home, 10 matches

1.75 Worthing away, 4 matches

3d Days of rest for Yeovil

3d Days of rest for Worthing

— Manager of Yeovil

— Manager of Worthing

3 Matches for Yeovil in the last 14 days

3 Matches for Worthing in the last 14 days

9 Points for Yeovil behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Worthing behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Yeovil, the right bar represents Worthing.

On the ball

20 matches

8.0

shots

9.67

5.0

shots on target

5.5

62.5%

accuracy

56.9%

4.1

corners

4.3

8.83

fouls

11.33

1.72

yellow cards

1.56

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Yeovil	WWDLLLWWWD	1.70	1.90–1.70	2W
Worthing	WWWDDDLLWL	1.50	1.80–1.60	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Yeovil	6	8	5	0	3
Worthing	8	0	2	1	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Yeovil

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Worthing

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.