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Eastleigh
VS Scheduled England 26/27 National League · Matchday 11
Southend

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
EastleighWins
3
Draws10.0% of meetings
1
SouthendWins
6
Goals per match
2.60
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
60.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-20 England, National League 25/26 Southend4–1Eastleigh
2025-09-24 England, National League 25/26 Eastleigh2–1Southend
2025-03-22 England, National League 24/25 Eastleigh1–2Southend
2024-09-10 England, National League 24/25 Southend2–0Eastleigh
2024-01-13 England, National League 23/24 Eastleigh0–1Southend
2023-08-25 England, National League 23/24 Southend2–0Eastleigh
2023-01-28 England, National League 22/23 Southend1–3Eastleigh
2022-08-27 England, National League 22/23 Eastleigh2–1Southend
Recent matches

Eastleigh

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Harrogate4–1Eastleigh
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Eastleigh1–0Carlisle
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Sutton2–1Eastleigh
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Eastleigh1–1Boreham Wood
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Eastleigh1–1Boreham Wood
2026-09-04 England, National League 26/27 Altrincham2–1Eastleigh
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Eastleigh1–1Aldershot
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Hartlepool0–1Eastleigh

Southend

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Southend2–4Barrow
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Gateshead1–6Southend
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–1Tamworth
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle2–2Southend
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle2–2Southend
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–2Yeovil
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Woking1–1Southend
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Southend1–3Kidderminster
Eastleigh Southend

Wins

25%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
88%

Both teams scored

75%
100%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Eastleigh

Home · National League
HomeAway1st goal
14 Eastleigh 1–1 Boreham Wood 1 67′ Away
14 Eastleigh 1–1 Boreham Wood 1 —
14 Eastleigh Fylde 2
14 Eastleigh Harrogate 3
14 Eastleigh Southend 4
14 Eastleigh 1–1 Aldershot 5 75′ Away
14 Eastleigh Kidderminster 6
14 Eastleigh Worthing 7
14 Eastleigh Yeovil 8
14 Eastleigh Altrincham 9
14 Eastleigh Forest Green 10
14 Eastleigh Sutton 11
14 Eastleigh Halifax 12
14 Eastleigh Woking 13
14 · Eastleigh
14 Eastleigh Hornchurch 15
14 Eastleigh Wealdstone 16
14 Eastleigh Barrow 17
14 Eastleigh 3–2 Scunthorpe 18 37′ Home
14 Eastleigh 1–0 Carlisle 19 44′ Home
14 Eastleigh Boston Utd 20
14 Eastleigh Hartlepool 21
14 Eastleigh Tamworth 22
14 Eastleigh Solihull 23
14 Eastleigh 2–1 Gateshead 24 13′ Home

Southend

Away · National League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Boreham Wood Southend 4
2 Fylde Southend 4
3 Harrogate Southend 4
4 · Southend
5 Aldershot Southend 4
6 Kidderminster Southend 4
7 Worthing Southend 4
8 Yeovil Southend 4
9 Altrincham 1–3 Southend 4 8′ Home
10 Forest Green Southend 4
11 Sutton Southend 4
12 Halifax Southend 4
13 Woking 1–1 Southend 4 38′ Away
14 Eastleigh Southend 4
15 Hornchurch Southend 4
16 Wealdstone Southend 4
17 Barrow Southend 4
18 Scunthorpe Southend 4
19 Carlisle 2–2 Southend 4 4′ Home
19 Carlisle 2–2 Southend 4 —
20 Boston Utd Southend 4
21 Hartlepool Southend 4
22 Tamworth Southend 4
23 Solihull 1–3 Southend 4 14′ Home
24 Gateshead 1–6 Southend 4 6′ Away
Eastleigh Home Southend Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Eastleigh

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.000.601.36
Draws50.0%0.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match1.500.801.18
Goals conceded / match1.001.801.36
Total goals / match2.502.602.55
Failed to score0.0%20.0%9.1%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%40.0%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Southend

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.802.001.91
Draws0.0%50.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match2.002.832.45
Goals conceded / match2.001.331.64
Total goals / match4.004.174.09
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%16.7%18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 5/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelEastleighDraw SouthendHow it works
Strength (Elo) 27.0% 22.4% 50.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 10.6% 14.0% 67.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.06–2.92 Model expected goals
68.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
56.7% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.4%
1-38.2%
0-28.0%
0-37.8%
1-46.0%
1-15.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureEastleighSouthend How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1452 1600 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 5 -3 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1522 1487 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 42.9% 63.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 46.5% 63.8% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1096 943 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 40.0% 32.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 69.6% 61.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Eastleigh 0.580.58 0.630.95
Southend 1.211.26 0.421.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Eastleigh 0%15%25%22%38%
Southend 2%15%20%20%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.45 Eastleigh at home, 11 matches
2.10 Southend away, 10 matches
4d Days of rest for Eastleigh
4d Days of rest for Southend
— Manager of Eastleigh
— Manager of Southend
2 Matches for Eastleigh in the last 14 days
2 Matches for Southend in the last 14 days
12 Points for Eastleigh behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Southend behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.88 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Eastleigh, the right bar represents Southend.

On the ball

20 matches
6.5
shots
11.33
3.33
shots on target
6.17
51.3%
accuracy
54.4%
4.2
corners
6.1
10.33
fouls
11.0
1.53
yellow cards
1.88

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Eastleigh LWLDDLDWWL 1.20 1.10–1.40 1L
Southend LWWDDWDLWW 1.80 2.40–1.70 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Eastleigh6 76 01
Southend10 63 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Eastleigh

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Southend

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.