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Southend
VS Scheduled England 26/27 National League · Matchday 12
Fylde

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
SouthendWins
2
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
FyldeWins
2
Goals per match
2.50
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-01-28 England, National League 24/25 Southend2–0Fylde
2024-09-17 England, National League 24/25 Fylde2–1Southend
2024-04-13 England, National League 23/24 Fylde0–2Southend
2023-09-23 England, National League 23/24 Southend1–2Fylde
Recent matches

Southend

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Southend2–4Barrow
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Gateshead1–6Southend
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–1Tamworth
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle2–2Southend
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle2–2Southend
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–2Yeovil
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Woking1–1Southend
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Southend1–3Kidderminster

Fylde

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd0–1Fylde
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Fylde1–2Altrincham
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Harrogate1–2Fylde
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil1–4Fylde
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil1–4Fylde
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Fylde2–2Worthing
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Solihull1–3Fylde
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Fylde2–0Forest Green
Southend Fylde

Wins

38%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
75%

Both teams scored

100%
75%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Southend

Home · National League

Fylde

Away · National League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Boreham Wood Fylde 2
2 · Fylde
3 Harrogate 1–2 Fylde 2 79′ Away
4 Southend Fylde 2
5 Aldershot Fylde 2
6 Kidderminster Fylde 2
7 Worthing Fylde 2
8 Yeovil 1–4 Fylde 2 35′ Away
8 Yeovil 1–4 Fylde 2 —
9 Altrincham Fylde 2
10 Forest Green Fylde 2
11 Sutton Fylde 2
12 Halifax Fylde 2
13 Woking 3–2 Fylde 2 37′ Away
14 Eastleigh Fylde 2
15 Hornchurch Fylde 2
16 Wealdstone Fylde 2
17 Barrow Fylde 2
18 Scunthorpe Fylde 2
19 Carlisle Fylde 2
20 Boston Utd 0–1 Fylde 2 51′ Away
21 Hartlepool Fylde 2
22 Tamworth 1–2 Fylde 2 10′ Home
23 Solihull 1–3 Fylde 2 34′ Away
24 Gateshead Fylde 2
Southend Home Fylde Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Southend

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.802.001.91
Draws0.0%50.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match2.002.832.45
Goals conceded / match2.001.331.64
Total goals / match4.004.174.09
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%16.7%18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Fylde

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.252.572.09
Draws50.0%0.0%18.2%
Goals scored / match1.752.572.27
Goals conceded / match1.501.141.27
Total goals / match3.253.713.55
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%14.3%18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 6/7 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelSouthendDraw FyldeHow it works
Strength (Elo) 51.9% 21.9% 26.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 46.1% 20.1% 30.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.25–1.78 Model expected goals
73.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
71.3% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 8.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-18.0%
2-27.1%
1-17.1%
1-26.3%
3-16.0%
3-25.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureSouthendFylde How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1600 1521 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -3 87 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1487 1522 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 63.6% 44.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 63.8% 50.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 943 1154 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.4% 50.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 61.9% 65.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Southend 1.211.26 0.421.00
Fylde 0.630.84 0.580.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Southend 2%15%20%20%42%
Fylde 2%15%25%28%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Southend at home, 10 matches
1.58 Fylde away, 12 matches
7d Days of rest for Southend
7d Days of rest for Fylde
— Manager of Southend
— Manager of Fylde
2 Matches for Southend in the last 14 days
2 Matches for Fylde in the last 14 days
6 Points for Southend behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
4 Points for Fylde behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
2.88 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Southend, the right bar represents Fylde.

On the ball

20 matches
11.33
shots
7.83
6.17
shots on target
4.33
54.4%
accuracy
55.3%
6.1
corners
5.4
11.0
fouls
13.5
1.88
yellow cards
2.17

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Southend LWWDDWDLWW 1.80 2.40–1.70 1L
Fylde WLWWWDWWLW 2.20 2.30–1.20 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Southend10 63 12
Fylde6 76 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Southend

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Fylde

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.