Tamworth

Tamworth

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 13

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Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Aldershot5–1Tamworth
2026-09-19	26/27	Tamworth2–1Wealdstone
2026-09-15	26/27	Southend3–1Tamworth
2026-09-13	26/27	Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-12	26/27	Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-05	26/27	Tamworth2–2Boston Utd
2026-08-31	26/27	Yeovil3–2Tamworth
2026-08-28	26/27	Tamworth3–2Worthing

Barrow

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Southend2–4Barrow
2026-09-19	26/27	Barrow1–0Aldershot
2026-09-15	26/27	Solihull1–0Barrow
2026-09-13	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-12	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-05	26/27	Barrow3–0Sutton
2026-08-31	26/27	Kidderminster1–1Barrow
2026-08-28	26/27	Barrow1–2Yeovil

Tamworth Barrow

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

62%

Both teams scored

100%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Tamworth

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
22	Tamworth		Boreham Wood	1
22	Tamworth	1–2	Fylde	2	10′ Home
22	Tamworth		Harrogate	3
22	Tamworth		Southend	4
22	Tamworth		Aldershot	5
22	Tamworth		Kidderminster	6
22	Tamworth	3–2	Worthing	7	44′ Away
22	Tamworth		Yeovil	8
22	Tamworth		Altrincham	9
22	Tamworth		Forest Green	10
22	Tamworth		Sutton	11
22	Tamworth		Halifax	12
22	Tamworth		Woking	13
22	Tamworth		Eastleigh	14
22	Tamworth		Hornchurch	15
22	Tamworth	2–1	Wealdstone	16	11′ Away
22	Tamworth		Barrow	17
22	Tamworth		Scunthorpe	18
22	Tamworth		Carlisle	19
22	Tamworth	2–2	Boston Utd	20	23′ Home
22	Tamworth		Hartlepool	21
22 · Tamworth
22	Tamworth		Solihull	23
22	Tamworth		Gateshead	24

Barrow

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood		Barrow	17
2	Fylde		Barrow	17
3	Harrogate	2–2	Barrow	17	—
4	Southend	2–4	Barrow	17	—
5	Aldershot		Barrow	17
6	Kidderminster	1–1	Barrow	17	16′ Away
7	Worthing	2–2	Barrow	17	20′ Away
7	Worthing	2–2	Barrow	17	—
8	Yeovil		Barrow	17
9	Altrincham		Barrow	17
10	Forest Green		Barrow	17
11	Sutton		Barrow	17
12	Halifax		Barrow	17
13	Woking		Barrow	17
14	Eastleigh		Barrow	17
15	Hornchurch		Barrow	17
16	Wealdstone		Barrow	17
17 · Barrow
18	Scunthorpe		Barrow	17
19	Carlisle		Barrow	17
20	Boston Utd		Barrow	17
21	Hartlepool	2–0	Barrow	17	39′ Home
22	Tamworth		Barrow	17
23	Solihull	1–0	Barrow	17	66′ Home
24	Gateshead		Barrow	17

Tamworth Home Barrow Away

Wins

50%

14%

Over 1.5

100%

86%

Over 2.5

100%

57%

Over 3.5

50%

57%

Both teams scored

100%

71%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Tamworth

11 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away7 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.14	0.73
Draws	25.0%	14.3%	18.2%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.43	1.64
Goals conceded / match	1.75	3.43	2.82
Total goals / match	3.75	4.86	4.45
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 2	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	4
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	2
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Barrow

11 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away7 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.00	1.18
Draws	0.0%	57.1%	36.4%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.57	1.55
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.71	1.45
Total goals / match	2.50	3.29	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	28.6%	18.2%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	42.9%	36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/7 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Tamworth	Draw	Barrow	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.4%	24.8%	41.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	22.5%	20.5%	54.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.31–2.15 Model expected goals

64.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.6% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.5%

1-18.8%

0-27.3%

1-36.8%

0-16.8%

2-26.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Tamworth	Barrow	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1441	1519	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-60	17	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1524	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	56.9%	60.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.4%	59.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	837	826	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.8%	27.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	52.9%	55.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Tamworth	0.58	1.11	1.11	0.84
Barrow	0.58	0.79	0.32	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Tamworth	5%	12%	12%	18%	52%
Barrow	2%	18%	20%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Tamworth at home, 9 matches

0.91 Barrow away, 11 matches

14d Days of rest for Tamworth

14d Days of rest for Barrow

— Manager of Tamworth

— Manager of Barrow

1 Matches for Tamworth in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Barrow in the last 14 days

19 Points for Tamworth behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Barrow behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Tamworth, the right bar represents Barrow.

On the ball

20 matches

13.0

shots

8.83

6.5

shots on target

4.83

50.0%

accuracy

54.7%

5.3

corners

6.2

12.0

fouls

12.17

1.82

yellow cards

2.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Tamworth	LWLLLDLWLL	0.70	1.50–2.80	1L
Barrow	WWLDDWDLDL	1.30	1.70–1.40	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Tamworth	2	10	7	2	1
Barrow	6	11	2	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Tamworth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Barrow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.