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Tamworth
VS Scheduled England 26/27 National League · Matchday 15
Scunthorpe

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
TamworthWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
ScunthorpeWins
2
Goals per match
3.50
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-12-06 England, National League 25/26 Scunthorpe3–1Tamworth
2025-08-09 England, National League 25/26 Tamworth1–2Scunthorpe
Recent matches

Tamworth

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Aldershot5–1Tamworth
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Tamworth2–1Wealdstone
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–1Tamworth
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Tamworth2–2Boston Utd
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil3–2Tamworth
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Tamworth3–2Worthing

Scunthorpe

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Scunthorpe4–1Hartlepool
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch1–0Scunthorpe
2026-09-16 England, National League 26/27 Scunthorpe1–2Boreham Wood
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Sutton0–2Scunthorpe
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Sutton0–2Scunthorpe
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Scunthorpe0–2Harrogate
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle4–2Scunthorpe
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Scunthorpe3–1Solihull
Tamworth Scunthorpe

Wins

25%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
50%

Both teams scored

100%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Tamworth

Home · National League
HomeAway1st goal
22 Tamworth Boreham Wood 1
22 Tamworth 1–2 Fylde 2 10′ Home
22 Tamworth Harrogate 3
22 Tamworth Southend 4
22 Tamworth Aldershot 5
22 Tamworth Kidderminster 6
22 Tamworth 3–2 Worthing 7 44′ Away
22 Tamworth Yeovil 8
22 Tamworth Altrincham 9
22 Tamworth Forest Green 10
22 Tamworth Sutton 11
22 Tamworth Halifax 12
22 Tamworth Woking 13
22 Tamworth Eastleigh 14
22 Tamworth Hornchurch 15
22 Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone 16 11′ Away
22 Tamworth Barrow 17
22 Tamworth Scunthorpe 18
22 Tamworth Carlisle 19
22 Tamworth 2–2 Boston Utd 20 23′ Home
22 Tamworth Hartlepool 21
22 · Tamworth
22 Tamworth Solihull 23
22 Tamworth Gateshead 24

Scunthorpe

Away · National League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Boreham Wood Scunthorpe 18
2 Fylde Scunthorpe 18
3 Harrogate Scunthorpe 18
4 Southend 1–0 Scunthorpe 18 23′ Home
5 Aldershot Scunthorpe 18
6 Kidderminster Scunthorpe 18
7 Worthing Scunthorpe 18
8 Yeovil Scunthorpe 18
9 Altrincham Scunthorpe 18
10 Forest Green Scunthorpe 18
11 Sutton 0–2 Scunthorpe 18 39′ Away
11 Sutton 0–2 Scunthorpe 18 —
12 Halifax Scunthorpe 18
13 Woking Scunthorpe 18
14 Eastleigh 3–2 Scunthorpe 18 37′ Home
15 Hornchurch 1–0 Scunthorpe 18 70′ Home
16 Wealdstone Scunthorpe 18
17 Barrow Scunthorpe 18
18 · Scunthorpe
19 Carlisle 4–2 Scunthorpe 18 6′ Home
20 Boston Utd Scunthorpe 18
21 Hartlepool Scunthorpe 18
22 Tamworth Scunthorpe 18
23 Solihull Scunthorpe 18
24 Gateshead Scunthorpe 18
Tamworth Home Scunthorpe Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Tamworth

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.750.140.73
Draws25.0%14.3%18.2%
Goals scored / match2.001.431.64
Goals conceded / match1.753.432.82
Total goals / match3.754.864.45
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 2 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 2 of 2 100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3010
31–4504
46–6020
61–7512
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Scunthorpe

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.401.001.18
Draws20.0%0.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match1.801.331.55
Goals conceded / match1.401.501.45
Total goals / match3.202.833.00
Failed to score20.0%33.3%27.3%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%66.7%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelTamworthDraw ScunthorpeHow it works
Strength (Elo) 33.6% 24.9% 41.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 23.5% 20.6% 53.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.36–2.15 Model expected goals
65.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
63.7% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.4%
1-18.7%
0-26.9%
1-36.7%
0-16.4%
2-26.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureTamworthScunthorpe How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1441 1517 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -60 -8 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1524 1485 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 56.9% 43.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.4% 38.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 837 1017 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 30.8% 38.1% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 52.9% 63.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Tamworth 0.581.11 1.110.84
Scunthorpe 0.530.84 0.740.63

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Tamworth 5%12%12%18%52%
Scunthorpe 2%12%22%25%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Tamworth at home, 9 matches
1.45 Scunthorpe away, 11 matches
31d Days of rest for Tamworth
31d Days of rest for Scunthorpe
— Manager of Tamworth
— Manager of Scunthorpe
0 Matches for Tamworth in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Scunthorpe in the last 14 days
19 Points for Tamworth behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Scunthorpe behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.88 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Tamworth, the right bar represents Scunthorpe.

On the ball

20 matches
13.0
shots
7.17
6.5
shots on target
3.5
50.0%
accuracy
48.8%
5.3
corners
4.8
12.0
fouls
12.33
1.82
yellow cards
1.78

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Tamworth LWLLLDLWLL 0.70 1.50–2.80 1L
Scunthorpe WLLWWLLWLL 1.20 1.60–1.50 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Tamworth2 107 21
Scunthorpe4 87 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Tamworth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Scunthorpe

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.