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Hornchurch
VS Scheduled England 26/27 National League · Matchday 15
Yeovil
Recent matches

Hornchurch

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Altrincham3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch1–0Scunthorpe
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Worthing1–0Hornchurch
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Halifax3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Halifax3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch0–1Forest Green
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd2–3Hornchurch
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch1–0Woking

Yeovil

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Kidderminster0–1Yeovil
2026-09-18 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil4–1Solihull
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Aldershot1–1Yeovil
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil1–4Fylde
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil1–4Fylde
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–2Yeovil
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Yeovil3–2Tamworth
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Barrow1–2Yeovil
Hornchurch Yeovil

Wins

38%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
75%

Both teams scored

12%
88%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hornchurch

Home · National League
HomeAway1st goal
15 Hornchurch Boreham Wood 1
15 Hornchurch Fylde 2
15 Hornchurch Harrogate 3
15 Hornchurch Southend 4
15 Hornchurch Aldershot 5
15 Hornchurch 3–0 Kidderminster 6 —
15 Hornchurch Worthing 7
15 Hornchurch Yeovil 8
15 Hornchurch Altrincham 9
15 Hornchurch 0–1 Forest Green 10 8′ Away
15 Hornchurch Sutton 11
15 Hornchurch Halifax 12
15 Hornchurch 1–0 Woking 13 75′ Home
15 Hornchurch Eastleigh 14
15 · Hornchurch
15 Hornchurch Wealdstone 16
15 Hornchurch Barrow 17
15 Hornchurch 1–0 Scunthorpe 18 70′ Home
15 Hornchurch Carlisle 19
15 Hornchurch Boston Utd 20
15 Hornchurch Hartlepool 21
15 Hornchurch Tamworth 22
15 Hornchurch Solihull 23
15 Hornchurch Gateshead 24

Yeovil

Away · National League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Boreham Wood Yeovil 8
2 Fylde Yeovil 8
3 Harrogate Yeovil 8
4 Southend 3–2 Yeovil 8 25′ Away
5 Aldershot 1–1 Yeovil 8 12′ Away
6 Kidderminster 0–1 Yeovil 8 74′ Away
7 Worthing Yeovil 8
8 · Yeovil
9 Altrincham Yeovil 8
10 Forest Green Yeovil 8
11 Sutton Yeovil 8
12 Halifax Yeovil 8
13 Woking Yeovil 8
14 Eastleigh Yeovil 8
15 Hornchurch Yeovil 8
16 Wealdstone Yeovil 8
17 Barrow 1–2 Yeovil 8 75′ Home
18 Scunthorpe 1–1 Yeovil 8 48′ Away
19 Carlisle Yeovil 8
20 Boston Utd Yeovil 8
21 Hartlepool Yeovil 8
22 Tamworth Yeovil 8
23 Solihull Yeovil 8
24 Gateshead Yeovil 8
Hornchurch Home Yeovil Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hornchurch

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.250.861.36
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.250.861.00
Goals conceded / match0.252.431.64
Total goals / match1.503.292.64
Failed to score25.0%57.1%45.5%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%14.3%36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Yeovil

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.671.601.64
Draws16.7%40.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match2.171.401.82
Goals conceded / match2.001.201.64
Total goals / match4.172.603.45
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals16.7%60.0%36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 4 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 4 25%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4500
46–6020
61–7513
76–9023

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHornchurchDraw YeovilHow it works
Strength (Elo) 42.4% 24.7% 32.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.5% 22.3% 55.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.04–1.89 Model expected goals
54.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
54.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.5%
0-110.0%
1-29.9%
0-29.5%
1-36.3%
0-36.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHornchurchYeovil How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1475 1471 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -39 26 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1513 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 45.5% 44.0% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 48.4% 46.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1083 1165 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 33.3% 40.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.0% 76.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hornchurch 0.400.70 0.700.80
Yeovil 0.471.05 0.630.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hornchurch 0%36%0%46%18%
Yeovil 5%18%22%30%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.25 Hornchurch at home, 4 matches
1.10 Yeovil away, 10 matches
31d Days of rest for Hornchurch
31d Days of rest for Yeovil
— Manager of Hornchurch
— Manager of Yeovil
0 Matches for Hornchurch in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Yeovil in the last 14 days
12 Points for Hornchurch behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Yeovil behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.88 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hornchurch, the right bar represents Yeovil.

On the ball

20 matches
9.17
shots
8.0
5.0
shots on target
5.0
54.5%
accuracy
62.5%
4.5
corners
4.1
11.33
fouls
8.83
2.0
yellow cards
1.72

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hornchurch LWLLLLWWLW 1.20 0.80–1.80 1L
Yeovil WWDLLLWWWD 1.70 1.90–1.70 2W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hornchurch1 36 10
Yeovil6 85 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hornchurch

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Yeovil

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.