Harrogate

Harrogate

VS Scheduled Saturday 14 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 17

Altrincham

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Harrogate4–1Eastleigh
2026-09-19	26/27	Boreham Wood4–1Harrogate
2026-09-15	26/27	Harrogate1–2Fylde
2026-09-13	26/27	Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-12	26/27	Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-05	26/27	Scunthorpe0–2Harrogate
2026-08-31	26/27	Harrogate2–1Gateshead
2026-08-28	26/27	Aldershot3–1Harrogate

Altrincham

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Altrincham3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-19	26/27	Fylde1–2Altrincham
2026-09-16	26/27	Altrincham2–1Hartlepool
2026-09-13	26/27	Woking5–1Altrincham
2026-09-12	26/27	Woking5–1Altrincham
2026-09-04	26/27	Altrincham2–1Eastleigh
2026-08-31	26/27	Forest Green1–2Altrincham
2026-08-28	26/27	Altrincham2–1Halifax

Harrogate Altrincham

Wins

62%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

100%

Both teams scored

88%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Harrogate

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Harrogate		Boreham Wood	1
3	Harrogate	1–2	Fylde	2	79′ Away
3 · Harrogate
3	Harrogate		Southend	4
3	Harrogate		Aldershot	5
3	Harrogate		Kidderminster	6
3	Harrogate		Worthing	7
3	Harrogate		Yeovil	8
3	Harrogate		Altrincham	9
3	Harrogate		Forest Green	10
3	Harrogate		Sutton	11
3	Harrogate		Halifax	12
3	Harrogate		Woking	13
3	Harrogate	4–1	Eastleigh	14	6′ Home
3	Harrogate		Hornchurch	15
3	Harrogate		Wealdstone	16
3	Harrogate	2–2	Barrow	17	—
3	Harrogate		Scunthorpe	18
3	Harrogate		Carlisle	19
3	Harrogate		Boston Utd	20
3	Harrogate		Hartlepool	21
3	Harrogate	3–1	Tamworth	22	6′ Away
3	Harrogate	3–1	Tamworth	22	—
3	Harrogate	5–2	Solihull	23	44′ Home
3	Harrogate	2–1	Gateshead	24	—

Altrincham

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood		Altrincham	9
2	Fylde	1–2	Altrincham	9	15′ Away
3	Harrogate		Altrincham	9
4	Southend		Altrincham	9
5	Aldershot		Altrincham	9
6	Kidderminster		Altrincham	9
7	Worthing		Altrincham	9
8	Yeovil		Altrincham	9
9 · Altrincham
10	Forest Green	1–2	Altrincham	9	54′ Away
11	Sutton	1–0	Altrincham	9	9′ Home
12	Halifax		Altrincham	9
13	Woking	5–1	Altrincham	9	21′ Home
13	Woking	5–1	Altrincham	9	—
14	Eastleigh		Altrincham	9
15	Hornchurch		Altrincham	9
16	Wealdstone		Altrincham	9
17	Barrow		Altrincham	9
18	Scunthorpe		Altrincham	9
19	Carlisle		Altrincham	9
20	Boston Utd	1–0	Altrincham	9	57′ Home
21	Hartlepool		Altrincham	9
22	Tamworth		Altrincham	9
23	Solihull		Altrincham	9
24	Gateshead		Altrincham	9

Harrogate Home Altrincham Away

Wins

71%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

67%

Over 3.5

71%

33%

Both teams scored

100%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Harrogate

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	2.29	1.50	2.00
Draws	14.3%	0.0%	9.1%
Goals scored / match	2.86	1.75	2.45
Goals conceded / match	1.43	2.00	1.64
Total goals / match	4.29	3.75	4.09
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	9.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/7 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Altrincham

11 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away6 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	2.40	1.00	1.64
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.45
Goals conceded / match	1.20	2.33	1.82
Total goals / match	3.20	3.33	3.27
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	18.2%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Harrogate	Draw	Altrincham	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.0%	23.3%	28.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	51.6%	21.8%	24.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.97–1.30 Model expected goals

61.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.7%

2-19.6%

1-07.5%

2-07.4%

3-16.3%

1-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Harrogate	Altrincham	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1551	1501	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	25	21	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1487	1513	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	58.8%	36.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	66.7%	37.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	929	1115	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	35.7%	35.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	57.1%	76.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Harrogate	0.79	1.32	0.68	0.58
Altrincham	0.79	0.58	0.68	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Harrogate	2%	10%	28%	20%	40%
Altrincham	0%	25%	12%	40%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.17 Harrogate at home, 12 matches

1.00 Altrincham away, 11 matches

49d Days of rest for Harrogate

49d Days of rest for Altrincham

— Manager of Harrogate

— Manager of Altrincham

0 Matches for Harrogate in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Altrincham in the last 14 days

5 Points for Harrogate behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Altrincham behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Harrogate, the right bar represents Altrincham.

On the ball

20 matches

11.67

shots

5.67

7.0

shots on target

3.33

60.0%

accuracy

58.8%

4.5

corners

5.1

12.29

fouls

9.33

1.26

yellow cards

2.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Harrogate	WLLWWWWLDW	1.90	2.20–1.60	1W
Altrincham	WWWLLWWWLL	1.80	1.50–1.70	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Harrogate	7	8	4	0	0
Altrincham	7	7	5	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Harrogate

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Altrincham

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.