Scunthorpe

Scunthorpe

VS Scheduled Saturday 14 Nov 202615:00

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 17

Worthing

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Scunthorpe4–1Hartlepool
2026-09-19	26/27	Hornchurch1–0Scunthorpe
2026-09-16	26/27	Scunthorpe1–2Boreham Wood
2026-09-13	26/27	Sutton0–2Scunthorpe
2026-09-12	26/27	Sutton0–2Scunthorpe
2026-09-05	26/27	Scunthorpe0–2Harrogate
2026-08-31	26/27	Carlisle4–2Scunthorpe
2026-08-28	26/27	Scunthorpe3–1Solihull

Worthing

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Worthing2–1Halifax
2026-09-19	26/27	Hartlepool1–3Worthing
2026-09-15	26/27	Worthing1–0Hornchurch
2026-09-13	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-12	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-05	26/27	Fylde2–2Worthing
2026-08-31	26/27	Worthing2–3Boreham Wood
2026-08-28	26/27	Tamworth3–2Worthing

Scunthorpe Worthing

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

88%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Scunthorpe

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Scunthorpe	1–2	Boreham Wood	1	46′ Away
18	Scunthorpe		Fylde	2
18	Scunthorpe	0–2	Harrogate	3	14′ Away
18	Scunthorpe		Southend	4
18	Scunthorpe		Aldershot	5
18	Scunthorpe		Kidderminster	6
18	Scunthorpe		Worthing	7
18	Scunthorpe	1–1	Yeovil	8	48′ Away
18	Scunthorpe		Altrincham	9
18	Scunthorpe		Forest Green	10
18	Scunthorpe		Sutton	11
18	Scunthorpe		Halifax	12
18	Scunthorpe		Woking	13
18	Scunthorpe		Eastleigh	14
18	Scunthorpe		Hornchurch	15
18	Scunthorpe		Wealdstone	16
18	Scunthorpe		Barrow	17
18 · Scunthorpe
18	Scunthorpe		Carlisle	19
18	Scunthorpe		Boston Utd	20
18	Scunthorpe	4–1	Hartlepool	21	27′ Away
18	Scunthorpe		Tamworth	22
18	Scunthorpe	3–1	Solihull	23	26′ Away
18	Scunthorpe		Gateshead	24

Worthing

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood		Worthing	7
2	Fylde	2–2	Worthing	7	16′ Away
3	Harrogate		Worthing	7
4	Southend		Worthing	7
5	Aldershot		Worthing	7
6	Kidderminster		Worthing	7
7 · Worthing
8	Yeovil		Worthing	7
9	Altrincham		Worthing	7
10	Forest Green		Worthing	7
11	Sutton		Worthing	7
12	Halifax		Worthing	7
13	Woking		Worthing	7
14	Eastleigh		Worthing	7
15	Hornchurch		Worthing	7
16	Wealdstone		Worthing	7
17	Barrow		Worthing	7
18	Scunthorpe		Worthing	7
19	Carlisle	2–3	Worthing	7	42′ Home
20	Boston Utd		Worthing	7
21	Hartlepool	1–3	Worthing	7	35′ Away
22	Tamworth	3–2	Worthing	7	44′ Away
23	Solihull		Worthing	7
24	Gateshead		Worthing	7

Scunthorpe Home Worthing Away

Wins

40%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

60%

100%

Over 3.5

40%

100%

Both teams scored

80%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Scunthorpe

11 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away6 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.40	1.00	1.18
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	9.1%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.33	1.55
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.50	1.45
Total goals / match	3.20	2.83	3.00
Failed to score	20.0%	33.3%	27.3%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	66.7%	54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	2 of 5	40%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	2	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	3	3
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Worthing

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.57	1.75	1.64
Draws	28.6%	25.0%	27.3%
Goals scored / match	1.57	2.50	1.91
Goals conceded / match	1.43	2.00	1.64
Total goals / match	3.00	4.50	3.55
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	28.6%	0.0%	18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	2	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	2	1
76–90	4	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Scunthorpe	Draw	Worthing	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.6%	25.0%	34.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	29.1%	22.2%	47.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.45–1.91 Model expected goals

63.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

63.9% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.6%

1-29.2%

2-17.0%

2-26.7%

0-16.6%

0-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Scunthorpe	Worthing	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1517	1527	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-8	13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1485	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	43.4%	47.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	38.9%	50.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1017	970	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.1%	33.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.6%	63.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Scunthorpe	0.53	0.84	0.74	0.63
Worthing	0.90	1.00	0.40	1.20

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Scunthorpe	2%	12%	22%	25%	38%
Worthing	0%	18%	0%	18%	64%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Scunthorpe at home, 9 matches

1.75 Worthing away, 4 matches

49d Days of rest for Scunthorpe

49d Days of rest for Worthing

— Manager of Scunthorpe

— Manager of Worthing

0 Matches for Scunthorpe in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Worthing in the last 14 days

14 Points for Scunthorpe behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Worthing behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Scunthorpe, the right bar represents Worthing.

On the ball

20 matches

7.17

shots

9.67

3.5

shots on target

5.5

48.8%

accuracy

56.9%

4.8

corners

4.3

12.33

fouls

11.33

1.78

yellow cards

1.56

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Scunthorpe	WLLWWLLWLL	1.20	1.60–1.50	1W
Worthing	WWWDDDLLWL	1.50	1.80–1.60	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Scunthorpe	4	8	7	0	0
Worthing	8	0	2	1	4

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Scunthorpe

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Worthing

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.