Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- Forest GreenWins
- 1
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 2
- SouthendWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 3.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75.0%
- Both teams scored
- 75.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 |
25/26
|
Southend2–0Forest Green |
| 2025-11-29 |
25/26
|
Forest Green2–1Southend |
| 2025-03-15 |
24/25
|
Forest Green2–2Southend |
| 2024-11-23 |
24/25
|
Southend2–2Forest Green |
Recent matches
Forest Green
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Sutton3–3Forest Green |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Forest Green1–3Boston Utd |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Carlisle1–1Forest Green |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Forest Green4–0Gateshead |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Forest Green4–0Gateshead |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Hornchurch0–1Forest Green |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Forest Green1–2Altrincham |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Fylde2–0Forest Green |
Southend
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Southend2–4Barrow |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Gateshead1–6Southend |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Southend3–1Tamworth |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Carlisle2–2Southend |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Carlisle2–2Southend |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Southend3–2Yeovil |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Woking1–1Southend |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Southend1–3Kidderminster |
Forest Green
Southend
Wins
38%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
88%
Both teams scored
50%
100%
Clean sheets
38%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Forest Green
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Forest Green | 0–3 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 2′ Away |
| 10 | Forest Green | Fylde | 2 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Harrogate | 3 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Southend | 4 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Aldershot | 5 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Kidderminster | 6 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Worthing | 7 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Yeovil | 8 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | 1–2 | Altrincham | 9 | 54′ Away |
| 10 · Forest Green | |||||
| 10 | Forest Green | Sutton | 11 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | 3–2 | Halifax | 12 | 9′ Away |
| 10 | Forest Green | Woking | 13 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Eastleigh | 14 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Hornchurch | 15 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Wealdstone | 16 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Barrow | 17 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Scunthorpe | 18 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Carlisle | 19 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | 1–3 | Boston Utd | 20 | 1′ Away |
| 10 | Forest Green | Hartlepool | 21 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Tamworth | 22 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | Solihull | 23 | ||
| 10 | Forest Green | 4–0 | Gateshead | 24 | 43′ Home |
| 10 | Forest Green | 4–0 | Gateshead | 24 | — |
Southend
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | Southend | 4 | ||
| 2 | Fylde | Southend | 4 | ||
| 3 | Harrogate | Southend | 4 | ||
| 4 · Southend | |||||
| 5 | Aldershot | Southend | 4 | ||
| 6 | Kidderminster | Southend | 4 | ||
| 7 | Worthing | Southend | 4 | ||
| 8 | Yeovil | Southend | 4 | ||
| 9 | Altrincham | 1–3 | Southend | 4 | 8′ Home |
| 10 | Forest Green | Southend | 4 | ||
| 11 | Sutton | Southend | 4 | ||
| 12 | Halifax | Southend | 4 | ||
| 13 | Woking | 1–1 | Southend | 4 | 38′ Away |
| 14 | Eastleigh | Southend | 4 | ||
| 15 | Hornchurch | Southend | 4 | ||
| 16 | Wealdstone | Southend | 4 | ||
| 17 | Barrow | Southend | 4 | ||
| 18 | Scunthorpe | Southend | 4 | ||
| 19 | Carlisle | 2–2 | Southend | 4 | 4′ Home |
| 19 | Carlisle | 2–2 | Southend | 4 | — |
| 20 | Boston Utd | Southend | 4 | ||
| 21 | Hartlepool | Southend | 4 | ||
| 22 | Tamworth | Southend | 4 | ||
| 23 | Solihull | 1–3 | Southend | 4 | 14′ Home |
| 24 | Gateshead | 1–6 | Southend | 4 | 6′ Away |
Forest Green Home
Southend Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Forest Green
| Goals & results | Home6 matches | Away5 matches | Overall11 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 40.0% | 18.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.17 | 1.40 | 1.82 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.40 | 1.55 |
| Total goals / match | 3.83 | 2.80 | 3.36 |
| Failed to score | 16.7% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 60.0% | 27.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 23 of 5 | 100%60% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 42 of 6 | 25%33% |
Scoring order known: 6/6 home.Scoring order known: 11/11 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Southend
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away6 matches | Overall11 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 50.0% | 27.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.00 | 2.83 | 2.45 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| Total goals / match | 4.00 | 4.17 | 4.09 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 20.0% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 5/6 away.Scoring order known: 9/11 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Forest Green | Draw | Southend | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 35.4% | 25.1% | 39.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 28.0% | 19.2% | 47.9% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.84–2.45
Model expected goals
75.1%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
72.6%
Both teams to score
1-2
Most likely score, at 7.6%
Most likely scores
1-27.6%
2-27.0%
1-16.2%
1-36.2%
2-15.7%
2-35.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Forest Green | Southend | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1543 | 1600 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -29 | -3 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1468 | 1487 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 48.0% | 63.6% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 48.0% | 63.8% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 907 | 943 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 29.2% | 32.4% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 61.5% | 61.9% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 0.58 | 1.32 | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| Southend | 1.21 | 1.26 | 0.42 | 1.00 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 0% | 8% | 32% | 22% | 38% |
| Southend | 2% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 42% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.10
Forest Green at home, 10 matches
2.10
Southend away, 10 matches
59d
Days of rest for Forest Green
59d
Days of rest for Southend
—
Manager of Forest Green
—
Manager of Southend
0
Matches for Forest Green in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Southend in the last 14 days
10
Points for Forest Green behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
6
Points for Southend behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.88
League goals per match
24.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Forest Green, the right bar represents Southend.
On the ball
8.0
11.33
shots
4.0
6.17
shots on target
50.0%
54.4%
accuracy
7.0
6.1
corners
12.17
11.0
fouls
2.16
1.88
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | DLDWWWLLLW | 1.40 | 1.70–1.50 | 1D |
| Southend | LWWDDWDLWW | 1.80 | 2.40–1.70 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Southend | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Forest Green
No absences reported.
Southend
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.