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Gateshead
VS Scheduled England 26/27 National League · Matchday 21
Hornchurch
Recent matches

Gateshead

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Wealdstone4–0Gateshead
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Gateshead1–6Southend
2026-09-16 England, National League 26/27 Kidderminster1–0Gateshead
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Forest Green4–0Gateshead
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Forest Green4–0Gateshead
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Gateshead1–1Solihull
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Harrogate2–1Gateshead
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Gateshead0–1Sutton

Hornchurch

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Altrincham3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch1–0Scunthorpe
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Worthing1–0Hornchurch
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Halifax3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Halifax3–0Hornchurch
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch0–1Forest Green
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd2–3Hornchurch
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Hornchurch1–0Woking
Gateshead Hornchurch

Wins

0%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

38%
12%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Gateshead

Home · National League
HomeAway1st goal
24 Gateshead Boreham Wood 1
24 Gateshead Fylde 2
24 Gateshead Harrogate 3
24 Gateshead 1–6 Southend 4 6′ Away
24 Gateshead Aldershot 5
24 Gateshead Kidderminster 6
24 Gateshead Worthing 7
24 Gateshead Yeovil 8
24 Gateshead Altrincham 9
24 Gateshead Forest Green 10
24 Gateshead 0–1 Sutton 11 81′ Away
24 Gateshead Halifax 12
24 Gateshead 2–0 Woking 13 55′ Home
24 Gateshead Eastleigh 14
24 Gateshead Hornchurch 15
24 Gateshead Wealdstone 16
24 Gateshead Barrow 17
24 Gateshead Scunthorpe 18
24 Gateshead Carlisle 19
24 Gateshead Boston Utd 20
24 Gateshead Hartlepool 21
24 Gateshead Tamworth 22
24 Gateshead 1–1 Solihull 23 85′ Away
24 · Gateshead

Hornchurch

Away · National League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Boreham Wood Hornchurch 15
2 Fylde Hornchurch 15
3 Harrogate Hornchurch 15
4 Southend Hornchurch 15
5 Aldershot Hornchurch 15
6 Kidderminster Hornchurch 15
7 Worthing 1–0 Hornchurch 15 6′ Home
8 Yeovil Hornchurch 15
9 Altrincham 3–0 Hornchurch 15 45+3′ Home
10 Forest Green Hornchurch 15
11 Sutton Hornchurch 15
12 Halifax 3–0 Hornchurch 15 45′ Home
12 Halifax 3–0 Hornchurch 15 —
13 Woking Hornchurch 15
14 Eastleigh Hornchurch 15
15 · Hornchurch
16 Wealdstone Hornchurch 15
17 Barrow 1–2 Hornchurch 15 57′ Away
18 Scunthorpe Hornchurch 15
19 Carlisle 4–1 Hornchurch 15 29′ Home
20 Boston Utd 2–3 Hornchurch 15 —
21 Hartlepool Hornchurch 15
22 Tamworth Hornchurch 15
23 Solihull Hornchurch 15
24 Gateshead Hornchurch 15
Gateshead Home Hornchurch Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Gateshead

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.000.000.36
Draws25.0%0.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match1.000.290.55
Goals conceded / match2.002.862.55
Total goals / match3.003.143.09
Failed to score25.0%71.4%54.5%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%14.3%36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3001
31–4503
46–6010
61–7510
76–9022

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hornchurch

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.250.861.36
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.250.861.00
Goals conceded / match0.252.431.64
Total goals / match1.503.292.64
Failed to score25.0%57.1%45.5%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%14.3%36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 6/7 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelGatesheadDraw HornchurchHow it works
Strength (Elo) 31.3% 24.3% 44.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.8% 26.2% 52.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.83–1.50 Model expected goals
40.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
43.6% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.6%
1-112.1%
0-210.9%
0-09.7%
1-29.1%
1-08.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureGatesheadHornchurch How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1376 1475 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -68 -39 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1525 1513 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 34.3% 45.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 35.1% 48.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1007 1083 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 25.0% 33.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.7% 75.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Gateshead 0.260.58 0.890.95
Hornchurch 0.400.70 0.700.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Gateshead 2%15%22%32%28%
Hornchurch 0%36%0%46%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.78 Gateshead at home, 9 matches
0.86 Hornchurch away, 7 matches
70d Days of rest for Gateshead
70d Days of rest for Hornchurch
— Manager of Gateshead
— Manager of Hornchurch
0 Matches for Gateshead in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hornchurch in the last 14 days
23 Points for Gateshead behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Hornchurch behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.88 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Gateshead, the right bar represents Hornchurch.

On the ball

20 matches
6.17
shots
9.17
3.33
shots on target
5.0
54.1%
accuracy
54.5%
2.8
corners
4.5
14.33
fouls
11.33
2.22
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Gateshead LLLLLDLLLW 0.40 0.50–2.60 5L
Hornchurch LWLLLLWWLW 1.20 0.80–1.80 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Gateshead4 69 00
Hornchurch1 36 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Gateshead

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hornchurch

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.