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Southend
VS Scheduled England 26/27 National League · Matchday 22
Boston Utd

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
SouthendWins
1
Draws50.0% of meetings
2
Boston UtdWins
1
Goals per match
3.25
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-24 England, National League 25/26 Boston Utd3–3Southend
2025-09-13 England, National League 25/26 Southend1–1Boston Utd
2025-03-25 England, National League 24/25 Boston Utd3–0Southend
2024-08-20 England, National League 24/25 Southend2–0Boston Utd
Recent matches

Southend

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Southend2–4Barrow
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Gateshead1–6Southend
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–1Tamworth
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle2–2Southend
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Carlisle2–2Southend
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Southend3–2Yeovil
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Woking1–1Southend
2026-08-28 England, National League 26/27 Southend1–3Kidderminster

Boston Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd0–1Fylde
2026-09-19 England, National League 26/27 Forest Green1–3Boston Utd
2026-09-15 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd1–1Woking
2026-09-13 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd1–3Wealdstone
2026-09-12 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd1–3Wealdstone
2026-09-05 England, National League 26/27 Tamworth2–2Boston Utd
2026-08-31 England, National League 26/27 Boston Utd2–3Hornchurch
2026-08-27 England, National League 26/27 Boreham Wood2–1Boston Utd
Southend Boston Utd

Wins

38%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
75%

Both teams scored

100%
88%

Clean sheets

0%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Southend

Home · National League

Boston Utd

Away · National League
Southend Home Boston Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Southend

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.802.001.91
Draws0.0%50.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match2.002.832.45
Goals conceded / match2.001.331.64
Total goals / match4.004.174.09
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%16.7%18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Boston Utd

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome7 matchesAway4 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match0.571.751.00
Draws14.3%25.0%18.2%
Goals scored / match0.862.001.27
Goals conceded / match1.711.251.55
Total goals / match2.573.252.82
Failed to score28.6%0.0%18.2%
Under 2.5 goals57.1%25.0%45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3021
31–4510
46–6021
61–7520
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelSouthendDraw Boston UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 57.2% 19.7% 23.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 50.6% 19.7% 26.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.33–1.62 Model expected goals
71.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
69.3% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 8.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-18.5%
1-17.3%
2-26.9%
3-16.6%
1-25.9%
3-25.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureSouthendBoston Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1600 1482 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -3 -21 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1487 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 63.6% 48.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 63.8% 55.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 943 939 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.4% 23.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 61.9% 70.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Southend 1.211.26 0.421.00
Boston Utd 0.680.79 0.321.11

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Southend 2%15%20%20%42%
Boston Utd 5%20%15%25%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Southend at home, 10 matches
1.50 Boston Utd away, 8 matches
73d Days of rest for Southend
73d Days of rest for Boston Utd
— Manager of Southend
— Manager of Boston Utd
0 Matches for Southend in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Boston Utd in the last 14 days
6 Points for Southend behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
16 Points for Boston Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.88 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Southend, the right bar represents Boston Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
11.33
shots
9.83
6.17
shots on target
5.67
54.4%
accuracy
57.6%
6.1
corners
6.1
11.0
fouls
10.83
1.88
yellow cards
2.32

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Southend LWWDDWDLWW 1.80 2.40–1.70 1L
Boston Utd LWDLLDLLWW 1.10 1.40–1.60 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Southend10 63 12
Boston Utd7 120 05
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Southend

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Boston Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.