Sutton

Sutton

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202612:30

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 23

Kidderminster

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Sutton3–3Forest Green
2026-09-19	26/27	Halifax1–1Sutton
2026-09-15	26/27	Sutton2–1Eastleigh
2026-09-13	26/27	Sutton0–2Scunthorpe
2026-09-12	26/27	Sutton0–2Scunthorpe
2026-09-05	26/27	Barrow3–0Sutton
2026-08-31	26/27	Sutton0–2Wealdstone
2026-08-28	26/27	Gateshead0–1Sutton

Kidderminster

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Kidderminster0–1Yeovil
2026-09-19	26/27	Woking0–0Kidderminster
2026-09-16	26/27	Kidderminster1–0Gateshead
2026-09-11	26/27	Kidderminster2–0Hartlepool
2026-09-05	26/27	Wealdstone1–4Kidderminster
2026-08-31	26/27	Kidderminster1–1Barrow
2026-08-28	26/27	Southend1–3Kidderminster
2026-08-22	26/27	Kidderminster1–1Aldershot

Sutton Kidderminster

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

38%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sutton

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Sutton		Boreham Wood	1
11	Sutton		Fylde	2
11	Sutton		Harrogate	3
11	Sutton		Southend	4
11	Sutton		Aldershot	5
11	Sutton		Kidderminster	6
11	Sutton		Worthing	7
11	Sutton		Yeovil	8
11	Sutton	1–0	Altrincham	9	9′ Home
11	Sutton	3–3	Forest Green	10	10′ Away
11 · Sutton
11	Sutton		Halifax	12
11	Sutton		Woking	13
11	Sutton	2–1	Eastleigh	14	17′ Home
11	Sutton		Hornchurch	15
11	Sutton	0–2	Wealdstone	16	12′ Away
11	Sutton		Barrow	17
11	Sutton	0–2	Scunthorpe	18	39′ Away
11	Sutton	0–2	Scunthorpe	18	—
11	Sutton		Carlisle	19
11	Sutton		Boston Utd	20
11	Sutton	2–1	Hartlepool	21	20′ Home
11	Sutton		Tamworth	22
11	Sutton		Solihull	23
11	Sutton		Gateshead	24

Kidderminster

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood		Kidderminster	6
2	Fylde		Kidderminster	6
3	Harrogate		Kidderminster	6
4	Southend	1–3	Kidderminster	6	—
5	Aldershot		Kidderminster	6
6 · Kidderminster
7	Worthing		Kidderminster	6
8	Yeovil		Kidderminster	6
9	Altrincham		Kidderminster	6
10	Forest Green		Kidderminster	6
11	Sutton		Kidderminster	6
12	Halifax		Kidderminster	6
13	Woking	0–0	Kidderminster	6	–
14	Eastleigh		Kidderminster	6
15	Hornchurch	3–0	Kidderminster	6	—
16	Wealdstone	1–4	Kidderminster	6	3′ Away
17	Barrow		Kidderminster	6
18	Scunthorpe		Kidderminster	6
19	Carlisle		Kidderminster	6
20	Boston Utd		Kidderminster	6
21	Hartlepool		Kidderminster	6
22	Tamworth		Kidderminster	6
23	Solihull		Kidderminster	6
24	Gateshead		Kidderminster	6

Sutton Home Kidderminster Away

Wins

43%

50%

Over 1.5

86%

75%

Over 2.5

43%

75%

Over 3.5

14%

50%

Both teams scored

43%

50%

Clean sheets

14%

25%

Scores first

43%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sutton

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.43	1.75	1.55
Draws	14.3%	25.0%	18.2%
Goals scored / match	1.14	1.25	1.18
Goals conceded / match	1.57	1.00	1.36
Total goals / match	2.71	2.25	2.55
Failed to score	42.9%	25.0%	36.4%
Under 2.5 goals	57.1%	50.0%	54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 7/7 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kidderminster

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.83	1.75	1.80
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.75	1.30
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.25	0.80
Total goals / match	1.50	3.00	2.10
Failed to score	16.7%	50.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	70.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sutton	Draw	Kidderminster	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.5%	25.0%	40.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.0%	29.0%	49.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–1.29 Model expected goals

32.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.1%

0-013.3%

1-112.5%

0-211.1%

1-09.7%

1-28.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sutton	Kidderminster	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1448	1514	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-18	72	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1505	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	46.1%	45.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.1%	47.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1012	1163	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.2%	45.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	60.0%	70.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sutton	0.47	0.58	0.68	0.89
Kidderminster	0.40	0.65	0.65	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sutton	2%	15%	28%	32%	22%
Kidderminster	10%	25%	30%	12%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.91 Sutton at home, 11 matches

1.33 Kidderminster away, 9 matches

84d Days of rest for Sutton

84d Days of rest for Kidderminster

— Manager of Sutton

— Manager of Kidderminster

0 Matches for Sutton in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kidderminster in the last 14 days

10 Points for Sutton behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Kidderminster behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sutton, the right bar represents Kidderminster.

On the ball

20 matches

5.83

shots

7.17

2.83

shots on target

3.67

48.6%

accuracy

51.2%

4.56

corners

4.2

19.0

fouls

12.33

2.32

yellow cards

2.7

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sutton	DDWLLLLWWW	1.40	1.00–1.50	2D
Kidderminster	LDWWWDWDWL	1.80	1.30–0.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sutton	6	4	9	0	1
Kidderminster	4	10	6	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sutton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kidderminster

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Sutton's predictions v Dorking Wanderers manager Marc White BBC Sport 09-10