Worthing

Worthing

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202617:30

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 23

Gateshead

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Worthing2–1Halifax
2026-09-19	26/27	Hartlepool1–3Worthing
2026-09-15	26/27	Worthing1–0Hornchurch
2026-09-13	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-12	26/27	Worthing2–2Barrow
2026-09-05	26/27	Fylde2–2Worthing
2026-08-31	26/27	Worthing2–3Boreham Wood
2026-08-28	26/27	Tamworth3–2Worthing

Gateshead

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Wealdstone4–0Gateshead
2026-09-19	26/27	Gateshead1–6Southend
2026-09-16	26/27	Kidderminster1–0Gateshead
2026-09-13	26/27	Forest Green4–0Gateshead
2026-09-12	26/27	Forest Green4–0Gateshead
2026-09-05	26/27	Gateshead1–1Solihull
2026-08-31	26/27	Harrogate2–1Gateshead
2026-08-28	26/27	Gateshead0–1Sutton

Worthing Gateshead

Wins

38%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Worthing

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Worthing	2–3	Boreham Wood	1	22′ Home
7	Worthing		Fylde	2
7	Worthing		Harrogate	3
7	Worthing		Southend	4
7	Worthing		Aldershot	5
7	Worthing		Kidderminster	6
7 · Worthing
7	Worthing		Yeovil	8
7	Worthing		Altrincham	9
7	Worthing	1–2	Forest Green	10	2′ Home
7	Worthing		Sutton	11
7	Worthing	2–1	Halifax	12	7′ Home
7	Worthing		Woking	13
7	Worthing		Eastleigh	14
7	Worthing	1–0	Hornchurch	15	6′ Home
7	Worthing	1–0	Wealdstone	16	44′ Home
7	Worthing	2–2	Barrow	17	20′ Away
7	Worthing	2–2	Barrow	17	—
7	Worthing		Scunthorpe	18
7	Worthing		Carlisle	19
7	Worthing		Boston Utd	20
7	Worthing		Hartlepool	21
7	Worthing		Tamworth	22
7	Worthing		Solihull	23
7	Worthing		Gateshead	24

Gateshead

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood		Gateshead	24
2	Fylde		Gateshead	24
3	Harrogate	2–1	Gateshead	24	—
4	Southend		Gateshead	24
5	Aldershot		Gateshead	24
6	Kidderminster	1–0	Gateshead	24	27′ Home
7	Worthing		Gateshead	24
8	Yeovil	3–0	Gateshead	24	2′ Home
9	Altrincham		Gateshead	24
10	Forest Green	4–0	Gateshead	24	43′ Home
10	Forest Green	4–0	Gateshead	24	—
11	Sutton		Gateshead	24
12	Halifax		Gateshead	24
13	Woking		Gateshead	24
14	Eastleigh	2–1	Gateshead	24	13′ Home
15	Hornchurch		Gateshead	24
16	Wealdstone	4–0	Gateshead	24	22′ Home
17	Barrow		Gateshead	24
18	Scunthorpe		Gateshead	24
19	Carlisle		Gateshead	24
20	Boston Utd		Gateshead	24
21	Hartlepool		Gateshead	24
22	Tamworth		Gateshead	24
23	Solihull		Gateshead	24
24 · Gateshead

Worthing Home Gateshead Away

Wins

43%

0%

Over 1.5

71%

86%

Over 2.5

71%

86%

Over 3.5

43%

Both teams scored

71%

29%

Clean sheets

29%

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Worthing

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.57	1.75	1.64
Draws	28.6%	25.0%	27.3%
Goals scored / match	1.57	2.50	1.91
Goals conceded / match	1.43	2.00	1.64
Total goals / match	3.00	4.50	3.55
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	28.6%	0.0%	18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 6/7 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Gateshead

11 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away7 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.36
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	9.1%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.29	0.55
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.86	2.55
Total goals / match	3.00	3.14	3.09
Failed to score	25.0%	71.4%	54.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	14.3%	36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 6/7 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Worthing	Draw	Gateshead	How it works
Strength (Elo)	61.8%	17.6%	20.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	64.1%	18.0%	14.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.36–1.01 Model expected goals

62.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.4% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-19.7%

2-09.6%

1-18.2%

1-08.1%

3-17.6%

3-07.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Worthing	Gateshead	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1527	1376	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	13	-68	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1519	1525	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.2%	34.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	50.0%	35.1%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	970	1007	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.3%	25.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.6%	75.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Worthing	0.90	1.00	0.40	1.20
Gateshead	0.26	0.58	0.89	0.95

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Worthing	0%	18%	0%	18%	64%
Gateshead	2%	15%	22%	32%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.57 Worthing at home, 7 matches

0.36 Gateshead away, 11 matches

84d Days of rest for Worthing

84d Days of rest for Gateshead

— Manager of Worthing

— Manager of Gateshead

0 Matches for Worthing in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Gateshead in the last 14 days

9 Points for Worthing behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

23 Points for Gateshead behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Worthing, the right bar represents Gateshead.

On the ball

20 matches

9.67

shots

6.17

5.5

shots on target

3.33

56.9%

accuracy

54.1%

4.3

corners

2.8

11.33

fouls

14.33

1.56

yellow cards

2.22

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Worthing	WWWDDDLLWL	1.50	1.80–1.60	3W
Gateshead	LLLLLDLLLW	0.40	0.50–2.60	5L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Worthing	8	0	2	1	4
Gateshead	4	6	9	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Worthing

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Gateshead

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.