Boston Utd

Boston Utd

VS Scheduled Tuesday 29 Dec 202619:45

England 26/27 National League · Matchday 25

Harrogate

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Boston Utd0–1Fylde
2026-09-19	26/27	Forest Green1–3Boston Utd
2026-09-15	26/27	Boston Utd1–1Woking
2026-09-13	26/27	Boston Utd1–3Wealdstone
2026-09-12	26/27	Boston Utd1–3Wealdstone
2026-09-05	26/27	Tamworth2–2Boston Utd
2026-08-31	26/27	Boston Utd2–3Hornchurch
2026-08-27	26/27	Boreham Wood2–1Boston Utd

Harrogate

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Harrogate4–1Eastleigh
2026-09-19	26/27	Boreham Wood4–1Harrogate
2026-09-15	26/27	Harrogate1–2Fylde
2026-09-13	26/27	Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-12	26/27	Harrogate3–1Tamworth
2026-09-05	26/27	Scunthorpe0–2Harrogate
2026-08-31	26/27	Harrogate2–1Gateshead
2026-08-28	26/27	Aldershot3–1Harrogate

Boston Utd Harrogate

Wins

12%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

88%

Both teams scored

88%

Clean sheets

0%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Boston Utd

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
20	Boston Utd		Boreham Wood	1
20	Boston Utd	0–1	Fylde	2	51′ Away
20	Boston Utd		Harrogate	3
20	Boston Utd		Southend	4
20	Boston Utd	0–1	Aldershot	5	59′ Away
20	Boston Utd		Kidderminster	6
20	Boston Utd		Worthing	7
20	Boston Utd		Yeovil	8
20	Boston Utd	1–0	Altrincham	9	57′ Home
20	Boston Utd		Forest Green	10
20	Boston Utd		Sutton	11
20	Boston Utd		Halifax	12
20	Boston Utd	1–1	Woking	13	6′ Home
20	Boston Utd		Eastleigh	14
20	Boston Utd	2–3	Hornchurch	15	—
20	Boston Utd	1–3	Wealdstone	16	12′ Home
20	Boston Utd	1–3	Wealdstone	16	—
20	Boston Utd		Barrow	17
20	Boston Utd		Scunthorpe	18
20	Boston Utd		Carlisle	19
20 · Boston Utd
20	Boston Utd		Hartlepool	21
20	Boston Utd		Tamworth	22
20	Boston Utd		Solihull	23
20	Boston Utd		Gateshead	24

Harrogate

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Boreham Wood	4–1	Harrogate	3	9′ Away
2	Fylde		Harrogate	3
3 · Harrogate
4	Southend		Harrogate	3
5	Aldershot	3–1	Harrogate	3	24′ Home
6	Kidderminster		Harrogate	3
7	Worthing		Harrogate	3
8	Yeovil		Harrogate	3
9	Altrincham		Harrogate	3
10	Forest Green		Harrogate	3
11	Sutton		Harrogate	3
12	Halifax		Harrogate	3
13	Woking		Harrogate	3
14	Eastleigh		Harrogate	3
15	Hornchurch		Harrogate	3
16	Wealdstone	1–3	Harrogate	3	28′ Away
17	Barrow		Harrogate	3
18	Scunthorpe	0–2	Harrogate	3	14′ Away
19	Carlisle		Harrogate	3
20	Boston Utd		Harrogate	3
21	Hartlepool		Harrogate	3
22	Tamworth		Harrogate	3
23	Solihull		Harrogate	3
24	Gateshead		Harrogate	3

Boston Utd Home Harrogate Away

Wins

14%

50%

Over 1.5

57%

100%

Over 2.5

43%

75%

Over 3.5

43%

75%

Both teams scored

57%

75%

Clean sheets

14%

25%

Scores first

N/A

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Boston Utd

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	0.57	1.75	1.00
Draws	14.3%	25.0%	18.2%
Goals scored / match	0.86	2.00	1.27
Goals conceded / match	1.71	1.25	1.55
Total goals / match	2.57	3.25	2.82
Failed to score	28.6%	0.0%	18.2%
Under 2.5 goals	57.1%	25.0%	45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/7 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Harrogate

11 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away4 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	2.29	1.50	2.00
Draws	14.3%	0.0%	9.1%
Goals scored / match	2.86	1.75	2.45
Goals conceded / match	1.43	2.00	1.64
Total goals / match	4.29	3.75	4.09
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	9.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	1	2
31–45	0	4
46–60	3	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Boston Utd	Draw	Harrogate	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.3%	25.0%	40.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.7%	17.6%	62.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.15–2.48 Model expected goals

66.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

59.7% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.4%

0-28.2%

1-37.8%

1-17.6%

0-36.8%

0-16.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Boston Utd	Harrogate	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1482	1551	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-21	25	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1487	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	48.8%	58.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	55.7%	66.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	939	929	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	23.5%	35.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	70.4%	57.1%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Boston Utd	0.68	0.79	0.32	1.11
Harrogate	0.79	1.32	0.68	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Boston Utd	5%	20%	15%	25%	35%
Harrogate	2%	10%	28%	20%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.17 Boston Utd at home, 12 matches

2.00 Harrogate away, 8 matches

94d Days of rest for Boston Utd

94d Days of rest for Harrogate

— Manager of Boston Utd

— Manager of Harrogate

0 Matches for Boston Utd in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Harrogate in the last 14 days

16 Points for Boston Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Harrogate behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.88 League goals per match

24.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Boston Utd, the right bar represents Harrogate.

On the ball

20 matches

9.83

shots

11.67

5.67

shots on target

7.0

57.6%

accuracy

60.0%

6.1

corners

4.5

10.83

fouls

12.29

2.32

yellow cards

1.26

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Boston Utd	LWDLLDLLWW	1.10	1.40–1.60	1L
Harrogate	WLLWWWWLDW	1.90	2.20–1.60	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Boston Utd	7	12	0	0	5
Harrogate	7	8	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Boston Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Harrogate

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.