Verona

Verona

VS Scheduled Friday 16 Oct 202619:30

Italy 26/27 Serie B · Matchday 7

Catanzaro

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Verona2–1Vicenza
2026-09-11	26/27	Benevento3–1Verona
2026-09-06	26/27	Verona5–0Arezzo
2026-08-29	26/27	Padova1–1Verona
2026-08-23	26/27	Verona1–2Ascoli
2019-05-11	18/19	Verona2–1Foggia
2019-05-04	18/19	Cittadella3–0Verona
2019-05-01	18/19	Verona2–3Livorno

Catanzaro

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sampdoria2–1Catanzaro
2026-09-13	26/27	Catanzaro1–0Carrarese
2026-09-12	26/27	Catanzaro1–0Carrarese
2026-09-05	26/27	Sudtirol2–0Catanzaro
2026-08-30	26/27	Pisa2–1Catanzaro
2026-08-21	26/27	Vicenza3–2Catanzaro
2026-05-08	25/26	Catanzaro2–3Bari
2026-05-01	25/26	Palermo3–2Catanzaro

Verona Catanzaro

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Verona

Home · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Verona		Mantova	1
9	Verona		Palermo	2
9	Verona		Sudtirol	3
9	Verona		Modena	4
9	Verona	1–2	Ascoli	5	21′ Home
9	Verona		Padova	6
9	Verona		Cesena	7
9	Verona		Avellino	8
9 · Verona
9	Verona		Benevento	10
9	Verona		Pisa	11
9	Verona		Cremonese	12
9	Verona		Empoli	13
9	Verona	2–1	Vicenza	14	58′ Away
9	Verona		Catanzaro	15
9	Verona		Juve Stabia	16
9	Verona	5–0	Arezzo	17	50′ Home
9	Verona		Virtus Entella	18
9	Verona		Sampdoria	19
9	Verona		Carrarese	20

Catanzaro

Away · Serie B

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Mantova		Catanzaro	15
2	Palermo		Catanzaro	15
3	Sudtirol	2–0	Catanzaro	15	86′ Home
4	Modena		Catanzaro	15
5	Ascoli		Catanzaro	15
6	Padova		Catanzaro	15
7	Cesena		Catanzaro	15
8	Avellino		Catanzaro	15
9	Verona		Catanzaro	15
10	Benevento		Catanzaro	15
11	Pisa	2–1	Catanzaro	15	22′ Away
12	Cremonese		Catanzaro	15
13	Empoli		Catanzaro	15
14	Vicenza	3–2	Catanzaro	15	17′ Away
15 · Catanzaro
16	Juve Stabia		Catanzaro	15
17	Arezzo		Catanzaro	15
18	Virtus Entella		Catanzaro	15
19	Sampdoria	2–1	Catanzaro	15	—
20	Carrarese		Catanzaro	15

Verona Home Catanzaro Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie B · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Verona

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.50	1.40
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.00	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.40
Total goals / match	3.67	3.00	3.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	3
61–75	2	0
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Catanzaro

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.00	1.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	2.25	1.50
Total goals / match	1.00	3.25	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	0 of 3	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Verona	Draw	Catanzaro	How it works
Strength (Elo)	37.6%	32.2%	30.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	26.2%	19.9%	50.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.61–2.30 Model expected goals

71.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

69.1% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.5%

1-17.4%

2-26.9%

1-36.5%

2-16.0%

0-25.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Verona	Catanzaro	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1501	1509	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-32	-58	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1491	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	56.1%	46.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	55.0%	51.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	936	988	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	28.9%	39.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.7%	59.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Verona	0.40	0.95	0.75	0.65
Catanzaro	0.95	0.89	0.63	1.16

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Verona	2%	15%	25%	32%	25%
Catanzaro	5%	15%	22%	18%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Verona at home, 11 matches

0.82 Catanzaro away, 11 matches

26d Days of rest for Verona

27d Days of rest for Catanzaro

— Manager of Verona

— Manager of Catanzaro

0 Matches for Verona in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Catanzaro in the last 14 days

7 Points for Verona behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Catanzaro behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.52 League goals per match

32.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Verona, the right bar represents Catanzaro.

On the ball

20 matches

13.44

shots

12.41

4.61

shots on target

4.94

34.3%

accuracy

39.8%

5.65

corners

4.58

15.95

fouls

12.32

2.8

yellow cards

1.79

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Verona	WLWDLWLLDL	1.10	1.50–1.80	1W
Catanzaro	LWWLLLLLWD	1.00	1.50–1.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Verona	2	11	7	0	1
Catanzaro	10	5	4	1	7

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Verona

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Catanzaro

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.